TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088986
Played Sep 7Finished
Oleh Maksymkiv
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10122111513211––
Serhii Kryvoshyi
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:44 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeSerhii Kryvoshyi to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Maksymkiv above · Serhii Kryvoshyi below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 15-13
Set 4 · 2-11
Point 76 set 4, 2-11 — our read held Serhii Kryvoshyi at 55.8%
76 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Maksymkiv 4–4 Serhii Kryvoshyi Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:44What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kryvoshyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-4 in 8
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maksymkiv 1250 vs Kryvoshyi 1214
Maksymkiv
Wrong
both rated, 36 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maksymkiv 80% vs Kryvoshyi 20%
Maksymkiv
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maksymkiv 60% vs Kryvoshyi 30%
Maksymkiv
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maksymkiv +1 · Kryvoshyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Kryvoshyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kryvoshyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaksymkiv 2.10 / Kryvoshyi 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Kryvoshyi)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13088986
Maksymkiv2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 63 of 161
Down 0–1, comes back22% 19 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 48
Kryvoshyi1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 66 of 110
Up 2–0, closes it94% 44 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it84% 56 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeMaksymkiv4wins
AwayKryvoshyi4wins
2 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaksymkiv100%4 of 4
AwayKryvoshyi100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maksymkiv4Kryvoshyi4n = 8split evenly
S2Maksymkiv2Kryvoshyi6n = 8Kryvoshyi took 6 of 8
S3Maksymkiv0Kryvoshyi8n = 8Kryvoshyi took 8 of 8
S4Maksymkiv4Kryvoshyi0n = 4Maksymkiv took 4 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away450%
These 8 meetings
MetricMaksymkivKryvoshyiM − KBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match32.836.0−3.2per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaksymkivKryvoshyiBasisWin rate · lifetime377 / 719 vs 253 / 55552.4%45.6%377 / 719 vs 253 / 555Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.235.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryvoshyiMaksymkiv 2.10/Kryvoshyi 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Kryvoshyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kryvoshyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 6 · 18:25O. Maksymkiv—11118113S. Kryvoshyi—881151
WSep 2 · 08:55O. Maksymkiv—1271112113S. Kryvoshyi—1011131062
LAug 19 · 07:55O. Maksymkiv—64110S. Kryvoshyi—1111133
LJul 15 · 10:55O. Maksymkiv—11460S. Kryvoshyi—1311113
LJul 14 · 11:55O. Maksymkiv—4880S. Kryvoshyi—1111113
WMay 5 · 13:25O. Maksymkiv—11128113S. Kryvoshyi—5101141
WMar 2 · 05:55O. Maksymkiv—119811113S. Kryvoshyi—61111932
LJan 11 · 14:55O. Maksymkiv—2840S. Kryvoshyi—1111113
O. Maksymkiv10
WSep 7 · 06:55M. Treschetka1.404911111O. Maksymkiv2.7511116133LSep 7 · 05:25O. Maksymkiv1.4410940V. Kheresko2.631211113WSep 6 · 18:25S. Kryvoshyi1.40881151O. Maksymkiv2.7511118113WSep 6 · 17:25V. Kheresko2.5011118141O. Maksymkiv1.5013711163WSep 6 · 15:55V. Salivonchyk1.9111196892O. Maksymkiv1.807171111113LSep 6 · 13:55M. Treschetka1.3611911113O. Maksymkiv3.00611861WSep 6 · 11:55O. Sapuzhak2.009111181O. Maksymkiv1.7311136113LSep 3 · 11:25A. Nikolenko3.25121211113O. Maksymkiv1.331410141LSep 3 · 09:55O. Maksymkiv1.4411119992V. Ivanytskyi2.63751111113WSep 3 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi4.3391111672O. Maksymkiv1.20116611113
S. Kryvoshyi10
LSep 7 · 05:55H. Oliynyk3.40812711113S. Kryvoshyi1.30111011772WSep 7 · 04:55M. Treschetka4.338670S. Kryvoshyi1.201111113LSep 6 · 18:25S. Kryvoshyi1.40881151O. Maksymkiv2.7511118113LSep 6 · 16:25O. Sapuzhak2.00111011113S. Kryvoshyi1.73812181LSep 6 · 15:25S. Kryvoshyi1.5341111752V. Kheresko2.38118811113WSep 6 · 14:25V. Salivonchyk4.0011115382S. Kryvoshyi1.22591111113WSep 6 · 12:55S. Kryvoshyi1.22111173M. Treschetka4.003520LSep 2 · 10:25S. Kryvoshyi2.0051111111A. Didyk1.7311134133LSep 2 · 08:55S. Kryvoshyi1.251011131062O. Maksymkiv3.751271112113LSep 2 · 07:25S. Kryvoshyi1.2278110O. Melnik4.001111133
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