TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060676
Played Sep 2Finished
Serhii Kryvoshyi
Home
1.22
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7118111113––––
Orest Melnik
Away
4.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:13 and never touched — 80.9% is still 80.9%
Graded at full timeSerhii Kryvoshyi to win
80.9%
80.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingSerhii Kryvoshyi above · Orest Melnik below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 61 set 3, 11-13 — our read held Serhii Kryvoshyi at 80.9%
61 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Kryvoshyi 59–11 Orest Melnik Orest Melnik has won 11 of their 70 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:13What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Kryvoshyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
59-11 in 70
Kryvoshyi
Wrong
gap of 48 in 70, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kryvoshyi 1260 vs Melnik 1255
Kryvoshyi
Wrong
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kryvoshyi 80% vs Melnik 40%
Kryvoshyi
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kryvoshyi 40% vs Melnik 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kryvoshyi -1 · Melnik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Kryvoshyi) · live re-read · sealed at 81% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Melnik form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKryvoshyi 1.22 / Melnik 4.00
Signal prob.78% / 22%
Edge (Kryvoshyi)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13060676
Kryvoshyi1.22
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 64 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it94% 43 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it83% 55 of 66
Melnik4.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog30% won 39 of 129
Down 0–1, comes back14% 12 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKryvoshyi9wins
AwayMelnik1wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKryvoshyi leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKryvoshyi100%8 of 8
AwayMelnikn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kryvoshyi8Melnik2n = 10Kryvoshyi took 8 of 10
S2Kryvoshyi8Melnik2n = 10Kryvoshyi took 8 of 10
S3Kryvoshyi6Melnik4n = 10Kryvoshyi took 6 of 10
S4Kryvoshyi2Melnik2n = 4split evenly
S5Kryvoshyi3Melnik0n = 3Kryvoshyi took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKryvoshyiMelnikK − MBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.331.0+7.3per matchSweeps51+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKryvoshyiMelnikBasisWin rate · lifetime258 / 558 vs 177 / 37846.2%46.8%258 / 558 vs 177 / 378Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.735.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryvoshyiKryvoshyi 1.22/Melnik 4.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
78.2%
Kryvoshyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Melnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 07:25S. Kryvoshyi—78110O. Melnik—1111133
WSep 1 · 18:55S. Kryvoshyi—1111113O. Melnik—4590
WAug 19 · 05:25S. Kryvoshyi—1111113O. Melnik—8870
WAug 18 · 14:55S. Kryvoshyi—1711113O. Melnik—15850
WAug 5 · 06:55S. Kryvoshyi—11116123O. Melnik—9511101
WAug 4 · 18:55S. Kryvoshyi—1111113O. Melnik—5870
WJul 29 · 06:25S. Kryvoshyi—111177113O. Melnik—66111162
WJul 28 · 18:55S. Kryvoshyi—1111113O. Melnik—5970
WJul 22 · 06:25S. Kryvoshyi—711811113O. Melnik—11811592
WJul 21 · 14:55S. Kryvoshyi—1110118113O. Melnik—81281172
S. Kryvoshyi10
LSep 7 · 05:55H. Oliynyk3.40812711113S. Kryvoshyi1.30111011772WSep 7 · 04:55M. Treschetka4.338670S. Kryvoshyi1.201111113LSep 6 · 18:25S. Kryvoshyi1.40881151O. Maksymkiv2.7511118113LSep 6 · 16:25O. Sapuzhak2.00111011113S. Kryvoshyi1.73812181LSep 6 · 15:25S. Kryvoshyi1.5341111752V. Kheresko2.38118811113WSep 6 · 14:25V. Salivonchyk4.0011115382S. Kryvoshyi1.22591111113WSep 6 · 12:55S. Kryvoshyi1.22111173M. Treschetka4.003520LSep 2 · 10:25S. Kryvoshyi2.0051111111A. Didyk1.7311134133LSep 2 · 08:55S. Kryvoshyi1.251011131062O. Maksymkiv3.751271112113LSep 2 · 05:55S. Kryvoshyi1.36711612102V. Kheresko3.001191110123
O. Melnik10
WSep 2 · 11:25O. Melnik1.73118117113V. Kheresko2.0081181192LSep 2 · 09:25A. Didyk1.57127129113O. Melnik2.251011101162LSep 2 · 06:25O. Melnik1.8011113792D. Kozoriz1.91001111113WSep 2 · 05:25O. Maksymkiv3.006540O. Melnik1.361111113LSep 1 · 18:55O. Melnik3.754590S. Kryvoshyi1.251111113LSep 1 · 16:55A. Didyk1.611161110113O. Melnik2.2081171262WSep 1 · 14:55D. Kozoriz2.00118251O. Melnik1.7361111113LSep 1 · 13:55O. Melnik1.6761070V. Kheresko2.101112113LSep 1 · 12:55K. Tkachenko1.201211113O. Melnik4.3310440WAug 19 · 11:25O. Melnik1.3614411113O. Maksymkiv3.001211851
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