TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084161
Played Sep 6Finished
Serhii Kryvoshyi
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811811118511––
Oleh Maksymkiv
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:09 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeSerhii Kryvoshyi to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingSerhii Kryvoshyi above · Oleh Maksymkiv below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 73 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Serhii Kryvoshyi at 65.7%
73 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Kryvoshyi 4–3 Oleh Maksymkiv Oleh Maksymkiv has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:09What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Kryvoshyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kryvoshyi 1243 vs Maksymkiv 1224
Kryvoshyi
Wrong
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kryvoshyi 40% vs Maksymkiv 60%
Maksymkiv
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kryvoshyi 40% vs Maksymkiv 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kryvoshyi -2 · Maksymkiv +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Kryvoshyi) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maksymkiv form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKryvoshyi 1.40 / Maksymkiv 2.75
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Kryvoshyi)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13084161
Kryvoshyi1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 64 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it94% 43 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it83% 55 of 66
Maksymkiv2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 62 of 159
Down 0–1, comes back22% 19 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKryvoshyi4wins
AwayMaksymkiv3wins
2 of 7 to a deciderKryvoshyi leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKryvoshyi100%4 of 4
AwayMaksymkiv100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kryvoshyi4Maksymkiv3n = 7Kryvoshyi took 4 of 7
S2Kryvoshyi6Maksymkiv1n = 7Kryvoshyi took 6 of 7
S3Kryvoshyi7Maksymkiv0n = 7Kryvoshyi took 7 of 7
S4Kryvoshyi0Maksymkiv3n = 3Maksymkiv took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home457%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricKryvoshyiMaksymkivK − MBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match36.631.6+5.0per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKryvoshyiMaksymkivBasisWin rate · lifetime252 / 552 vs 375 / 71645.7%52.4%252 / 552 vs 375 / 716Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.637.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryvoshyiKryvoshyi 1.40/Maksymkiv 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.7%
Kryvoshyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Maksymkiv won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 2 · 08:55S. Kryvoshyi—1011131062O. Maksymkiv—1271112113
WAug 19 · 07:55S. Kryvoshyi—1111133O. Maksymkiv—64110
WJul 15 · 10:55S. Kryvoshyi—1311113O. Maksymkiv—11460
WJul 14 · 11:55S. Kryvoshyi—1111113O. Maksymkiv—4880
LMay 5 · 13:25S. Kryvoshyi—5101141O. Maksymkiv—11128113
LMar 2 · 05:55S. Kryvoshyi—61111932O. Maksymkiv—119811113
WJan 11 · 14:55S. Kryvoshyi—1111113O. Maksymkiv—2840
S. Kryvoshyi10
LSep 7 · 05:55H. Oliynyk3.40812711113S. Kryvoshyi1.30111011772WSep 7 · 04:55M. Treschetka4.338670S. Kryvoshyi1.201111113LSep 6 · 16:25O. Sapuzhak2.00111011113S. Kryvoshyi1.73812181LSep 6 · 15:25S. Kryvoshyi1.5341111752V. Kheresko2.38118811113WSep 6 · 14:25V. Salivonchyk4.0011115382S. Kryvoshyi1.22591111113WSep 6 · 12:55S. Kryvoshyi1.22111173M. Treschetka4.003520LSep 2 · 10:25S. Kryvoshyi2.0051111111A. Didyk1.7311134133LSep 2 · 08:55S. Kryvoshyi1.251011131062O. Maksymkiv3.751271112113LSep 2 · 07:25S. Kryvoshyi1.2278110O. Melnik4.001111133LSep 2 · 05:55S. Kryvoshyi1.36711612102V. Kheresko3.001191110123
O. Maksymkiv10
WSep 7 · 06:55M. Treschetka1.404911111O. Maksymkiv2.7511116133LSep 7 · 05:25O. Maksymkiv1.4410940V. Kheresko2.631211113WSep 6 · 17:25V. Kheresko2.5011118141O. Maksymkiv1.5013711163WSep 6 · 15:55V. Salivonchyk1.9111196892O. Maksymkiv1.807171111113LSep 6 · 13:55M. Treschetka1.3611911113O. Maksymkiv3.00611861WSep 6 · 11:55O. Sapuzhak2.009111181O. Maksymkiv1.7311136113LSep 3 · 11:25A. Nikolenko3.25121211113O. Maksymkiv1.331410141LSep 3 · 09:55O. Maksymkiv1.4411119992V. Ivanytskyi2.63751111113WSep 3 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi4.3391111672O. Maksymkiv1.20116611113WSep 2 · 08:55S. Kryvoshyi1.251011131062O. Maksymkiv3.751271112113
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