TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055538
Played Sep 1Finished
Kyrylo Tkachenko
Home
1.20
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210114114––––
Orest Melnik
Away
4.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:17 and never touched — 84.6% is still 84.6%
Graded at full timeKyrylo Tkachenko to win
84.6%
84.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKyrylo Tkachenko above · Orest Melnik below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 52 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Kyrylo Tkachenko at 84.6%
52 points played in total.
H2H Kyrylo Tkachenko 17–1 Orest Melnik Orest Melnik has won 1 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:17What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Tkachenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-1 in 18
Tkachenko
Correct
gap of 16 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tkachenko 1416 vs Melnik 1262
Tkachenko
Correct
both rated, 155 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tkachenko 80% vs Melnik 40%
Tkachenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tkachenko 70% vs Melnik 40%
Tkachenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tkachenko +3 · Melnik +1
Tkachenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 85% — Strong (leans Tkachenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Melnik form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (23%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTkachenko 1.20 / Melnik 4.33
Signal prob.85% / 15%
Edge (Tkachenko)+6.3pp
Setka Cup · #13055538
Tkachenko1.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite74% won 68 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it97% 34 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it83% 52 of 63
Melnik4.33
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 38 of 124
Down 0–1, comes back14% 12 of 84
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTkachenko10wins
AwayMelnik0wins
2 of 10 to a deciderTkachenko leads 10–0, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTkachenko100%10 of 10
AwayMelnikn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tkachenko10Melnik0n = 10Tkachenko took 10 of 10
S2Tkachenko6Melnik4n = 10Tkachenko took 6 of 10
S3Tkachenko9Melnik1n = 10Tkachenko took 9 of 10
S4Tkachenko3Melnik2n = 5Tkachenko took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTkachenkoMelnikT − MBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set100+10of 10Avg pointsper match39.129.9+9.2per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTkachenkoMelnikBasisWin rate · lifetime93 / 169 vs 173 / 36855%47%93 / 169 vs 173 / 368Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.535.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TkachenkoTkachenko 1.20/Melnik 4.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
84.6%
Tkachenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Tkachenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 18 · 12:55K. Tkachenko—12129123O. Melnik—101011101
WAug 11 · 12:55K. Tkachenko—11711113O. Melnik—611851
WAug 4 · 12:55K. Tkachenko—1111113O. Melnik—6450
WJul 28 · 12:55K. Tkachenko—1111103O. Melnik—3780
WJul 21 · 12:55K. Tkachenko—11817113O. Melnik—3111591
WJul 14 · 12:55K. Tkachenko—118115113O. Melnik—51181162
WJul 7 · 12:55K. Tkachenko—1111113O. Melnik—7770
WJun 30 · 12:55K. Tkachenko—112118113O. Melnik—11181172
WJun 4 · 12:25K. Tkachenko—1311113O. Melnik—11890
WApr 21 · 16:55K. Tkachenko—1511113O. Melnik—13970
K. Tkachenko10
WSep 1 · 18:25K. Tkachenko1.251111113V. Kheresko3.758870LSep 1 · 16:25D. Kozoriz1.911111113K. Tkachenko1.802520LSep 1 · 15:25K. Tkachenko1.369111081S. Kryvoshyi3.0011512113WSep 1 · 14:25A. Didyk2.20611121092K. Tkachenko1.611161012113WAug 18 · 18:25K. Tkachenko2.501211113M. Styranets1.5010970WAug 18 · 16:25S. Kryvoshyi2.7516770K. Tkachenko1.401811113WAug 18 · 15:25K. Tkachenko1.301111113V. Kheresko3.403470LAug 18 · 14:25A. Didyk2.501111113K. Tkachenko1.507740WAug 18 · 12:55K. Tkachenko1.2012129123O. Melnik4.33101011101LAug 11 · 18:55K. Tkachenko1.57911591D. Kozoriz2.2511911113
O. Melnik10
WSep 2 · 11:25O. Melnik1.73118117113V. Kheresko2.0081181192LSep 2 · 09:25A. Didyk1.57127129113O. Melnik2.251011101162WSep 2 · 07:25S. Kryvoshyi1.2278110O. Melnik4.001111133LSep 2 · 06:25O. Melnik1.8011113792D. Kozoriz1.91001111113WSep 2 · 05:25O. Maksymkiv3.006540O. Melnik1.361111113LSep 1 · 18:55O. Melnik3.754590S. Kryvoshyi1.251111113LSep 1 · 16:55A. Didyk1.611161110113O. Melnik2.2081171262WSep 1 · 14:55D. Kozoriz2.00118251O. Melnik1.7361111113LSep 1 · 13:55O. Melnik1.6761070V. Kheresko2.101112113LAug 18 · 12:55K. Tkachenko1.2012129123O. Melnik4.33101011101
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.