TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055394
Played Sep 1Finished
Kyrylo Tkachenko
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111151012811––
Serhii Kryvoshyi
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:47 and never touched — 73.2% is still 73.2%
Graded at full timeKyrylo Tkachenko to win
73.2%
73.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingKyrylo Tkachenko above · Serhii Kryvoshyi below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 77 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Kyrylo Tkachenko at 73.2%
77 points played in total.
H2H Kyrylo Tkachenko 18–6 Serhii Kryvoshyi Serhii Kryvoshyi has won 6 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:47What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Tkachenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-6 in 24
Tkachenko
Wrong
gap of 12 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tkachenko 1433 vs Kryvoshyi 1242
Tkachenko
Wrong
both rated, 190 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tkachenko 100% vs Kryvoshyi 0%
Tkachenko
Wrong
100pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tkachenko 70% vs Kryvoshyi 20%
Tkachenko
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tkachenko +5 · Kryvoshyi -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Tkachenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kryvoshyi form (0%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTkachenko 1.36 / Kryvoshyi 3.00
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Tkachenko)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13055394
Tkachenko1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite74% won 68 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it97% 34 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it83% 52 of 63
Kryvoshyi3.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog32% won 29 of 90
Down 0–1, comes back22% 12 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTkachenko8wins
AwayKryvoshyi2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderTkachenko leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTkachenko87.5%7 of 8
AwayKryvoshyin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tkachenko8Kryvoshyi2n = 10Tkachenko took 8 of 10
S2Tkachenko6Kryvoshyi4n = 10Tkachenko took 6 of 10
S3Tkachenko9Kryvoshyi1n = 10Tkachenko took 9 of 10
S4Tkachenko2Kryvoshyi3n = 5Kryvoshyi took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTkachenkoKryvoshyiT − KBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.431.3+7.1per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTkachenkoKryvoshyiBasisWin rate · lifetime95 / 171 vs 254 / 55055.6%46.2%95 / 171 vs 254 / 550Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.535.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TkachenkoTkachenko 1.36/Kryvoshyi 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73.2%
Tkachenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kryvoshyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 18 · 16:25K. Tkachenko—1811113S. Kryvoshyi—16770
WAug 6 · 16:55K. Tkachenko—1111133S. Kryvoshyi—94110
WAug 4 · 15:25K. Tkachenko—11513163S. Kryvoshyi—81111141
LJul 28 · 15:25K. Tkachenko—11612111S. Kryvoshyi—81114133
WJul 21 · 16:25K. Tkachenko—1111153S. Kryvoshyi—68130
WJul 14 · 18:25K. Tkachenko—1111113S. Kryvoshyi—8340
LMay 27 · 15:55K. Tkachenko—491161S. Kryvoshyi—11119113
WMay 20 · 14:25K. Tkachenko—91111113S. Kryvoshyi—112491
WMay 13 · 16:55K. Tkachenko—118118113S. Kryvoshyi—81121172
WMay 5 · 16:25K. Tkachenko—1111113S. Kryvoshyi—8930
K. Tkachenko10
WSep 1 · 18:25K. Tkachenko1.251111113V. Kheresko3.758870LSep 1 · 16:25D. Kozoriz1.911111113K. Tkachenko1.802520WSep 1 · 14:25A. Didyk2.20611121092K. Tkachenko1.611161012113WSep 1 · 12:55K. Tkachenko1.201211113O. Melnik4.3310440WAug 18 · 18:25K. Tkachenko2.501211113M. Styranets1.5010970WAug 18 · 16:25S. Kryvoshyi2.7516770K. Tkachenko1.401811113WAug 18 · 15:25K. Tkachenko1.301111113V. Kheresko3.403470LAug 18 · 14:25A. Didyk2.501111113K. Tkachenko1.507740WAug 18 · 12:55K. Tkachenko1.2012129123O. Melnik4.33101011101LAug 11 · 18:55K. Tkachenko1.57911591D. Kozoriz2.2511911113
S. Kryvoshyi10
WSep 7 · 07:55O. Maksymkiv2.101021521S. Kryvoshyi1.67121113113LSep 7 · 05:55H. Oliynyk3.40812711113S. Kryvoshyi1.30111011772WSep 7 · 04:55M. Treschetka4.338670S. Kryvoshyi1.201111113LSep 6 · 18:25S. Kryvoshyi1.40881151O. Maksymkiv2.7511118113LSep 6 · 16:25O. Sapuzhak2.00111011113S. Kryvoshyi1.73812181LSep 6 · 15:25S. Kryvoshyi1.5341111752V. Kheresko2.38118811113WSep 6 · 14:25V. Salivonchyk4.0011115382S. Kryvoshyi1.22591111113WSep 6 · 12:55S. Kryvoshyi1.22111173M. Treschetka4.003520LSep 2 · 10:25S. Kryvoshyi2.0051111111A. Didyk1.7311134133LAug 18 · 16:25S. Kryvoshyi2.7516770K. Tkachenko1.401811113
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S. Kryvoshyi
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