TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055288
Played Sep 1Finished
Orest Melnik
Home
3.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411511911––––
Serhii Kryvoshyi
Away
1.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:25 and never touched — 78.5% is still 78.5%
Graded at full timeSerhii Kryvoshyi to win
78.5%
78.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOrest Melnik above · Serhii Kryvoshyi below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 51 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Serhii Kryvoshyi at 78.5%
51 points played in total.
H2H Orest Melnik 10–59 Serhii Kryvoshyi Orest Melnik has won 10 of their 69 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:25What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Kryvoshyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-59 in 69
Kryvoshyi
Correct
gap of 49 in 69, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Melnik 1232 vs Kryvoshyi 1285
Kryvoshyi
Correct
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Melnik 40% vs Kryvoshyi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Melnik 40% vs Kryvoshyi 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Melnik -1 · Kryvoshyi +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Kryvoshyi) · live re-read · sealed at 79% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kryvoshyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMelnik 3.75 / Kryvoshyi 1.25
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Kryvoshyi)+4.3pp
Setka Cup · #13055288
Melnik3.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 38 of 124
Down 0–1, comes back14% 12 of 84
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 55
Kryvoshyi1.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 63 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it93% 42 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it83% 54 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMelnik0wins
AwayKryvoshyi10wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKryvoshyi leads 10–0, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMelnikn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKryvoshyi100%9 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Melnik1Kryvoshyi9n = 10Kryvoshyi took 9 of 10
S2Melnik1Kryvoshyi9n = 10Kryvoshyi took 9 of 10
S3Melnik4Kryvoshyi6n = 10Kryvoshyi took 6 of 10
S4Melnik3Kryvoshyi2n = 5Melnik took 3 of 5
S5Melnik0Kryvoshyi4n = 4Kryvoshyi took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricMelnikKryvoshyiM − KBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match31.640.7−9.1per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMelnikKryvoshyiBasisWin rate · lifetime174 / 373 vs 257 / 55346.7%46.5%174 / 373 vs 257 / 553Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.735.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryvoshyiMelnik 3.75/Kryvoshyi 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.3%
Kryvoshyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kryvoshyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 18:55O. Melnik—4590S. Kryvoshyi—1111113
LAug 19 · 05:25O. Melnik—8870S. Kryvoshyi—1111113
LAug 18 · 14:55O. Melnik—15850S. Kryvoshyi—1711113
LAug 5 · 06:55O. Melnik—9511101S. Kryvoshyi—11116123
LAug 4 · 18:55O. Melnik—5870S. Kryvoshyi—1111113
LJul 29 · 06:25O. Melnik—66111162S. Kryvoshyi—111177113
LJul 28 · 18:55O. Melnik—5970S. Kryvoshyi—1111113
LJul 22 · 06:25O. Melnik—11811592S. Kryvoshyi—711811113
LJul 21 · 14:55O. Melnik—81281172S. Kryvoshyi—1110118113
LJul 15 · 05:25O. Melnik—75131152S. Kryvoshyi—1111116113
O. Melnik10
WSep 2 · 11:25O. Melnik1.73118117113V. Kheresko2.0081181192LSep 2 · 09:25A. Didyk1.57127129113O. Melnik2.251011101162WSep 2 · 07:25S. Kryvoshyi1.2278110O. Melnik4.001111133LSep 2 · 06:25O. Melnik1.8011113792D. Kozoriz1.91001111113WSep 2 · 05:25O. Maksymkiv3.006540O. Melnik1.361111113LSep 1 · 16:55A. Didyk1.611161110113O. Melnik2.2081171262WSep 1 · 14:55D. Kozoriz2.00118251O. Melnik1.7361111113LSep 1 · 13:55O. Melnik1.6761070V. Kheresko2.101112113LSep 1 · 12:55K. Tkachenko1.201211113O. Melnik4.3310440WAug 19 · 11:25O. Melnik1.3614411113O. Maksymkiv3.001211851
S. Kryvoshyi10
WSep 7 · 07:55O. Maksymkiv2.101021521S. Kryvoshyi1.67121113113LSep 7 · 05:55H. Oliynyk3.40812711113S. Kryvoshyi1.30111011772WSep 7 · 04:55M. Treschetka4.338670S. Kryvoshyi1.201111113LSep 6 · 18:25S. Kryvoshyi1.40881151O. Maksymkiv2.7511118113LSep 6 · 16:25O. Sapuzhak2.00111011113S. Kryvoshyi1.73812181LSep 6 · 15:25S. Kryvoshyi1.5341111752V. Kheresko2.38118811113WSep 6 · 14:25V. Salivonchyk4.0011115382S. Kryvoshyi1.22591111113WSep 6 · 12:55S. Kryvoshyi1.22111173M. Treschetka4.003520LSep 2 · 10:25S. Kryvoshyi2.0051111111A. Didyk1.7311134133LSep 2 · 07:25S. Kryvoshyi1.2278110O. Melnik4.001111133
Upcoming Matches
O. Melnik
Nothing scheduled
S. Kryvoshyi
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