TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13022546
Played Aug 27Finished
Oleksandr Maslovskyi
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911117611611––
Dmitriy Belanchik
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:53 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeDmitriy Belanchik to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Maslovskyi above · Dmitriy Belanchik below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 72 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Dmitriy Belanchik at 61.2%
72 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Maslovskyi 6–11 Dmitriy Belanchik Oleksandr Maslovskyi has won 6 of their 17 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:53What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Belanchik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-11 in 17
Belanchik
Correct
gap of 5 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maslovskyi 1148 vs Belanchik 1211
Belanchik
Correct
both rated, 63 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maslovskyi 40% vs Belanchik 60%
Belanchik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maslovskyi 40% vs Belanchik 70%
Belanchik
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maslovskyi -3 · Belanchik +2
Maslovskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Belanchik)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaslovskyi 2.38 / Belanchik 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Belanchik)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13022546
Maslovskyi2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog34% won 72 of 209
Down 0–1, comes back21% 30 of 140
Down 0–2, comes back8% 7 of 83
Belanchik1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 29 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it90% 9 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it81% 17 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaslovskyi5wins
AwayBelanchik5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaslovskyi75%3 of 4
AwayBelanchik66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maslovskyi4Belanchik6n = 10Belanchik took 6 of 10
S2Maslovskyi7Belanchik3n = 10Maslovskyi took 7 of 10
S3Maslovskyi5Belanchik5n = 10split evenly
S4Maslovskyi3Belanchik4n = 7Belanchik took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaslovskyiBelanchikM − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.334.9+1.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaslovskyiBelanchikBasisWin rate · lifetime436 / 848 vs 105 / 23551.4%44.7%436 / 848 vs 105 / 235Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.635.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BelanchikMaslovskyi 2.38/Belanchik 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.2%
Belanchik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Belanchik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 11:55O. Maslovskyi—911661D. Belanchik—11711113
LAug 24 · 09:25O. Maslovskyi—7118111D. Belanchik—11711133
LAug 20 · 06:55O. Maslovskyi—8470D. Belanchik—1111113
LAug 19 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi—111151282D. Belanchik—281114113
WJul 30 · 06:55O. Maslovskyi—911811113D. Belanchik—11711762
WJul 29 · 15:25O. Maslovskyi—11611113D. Belanchik—611491
WJul 27 · 09:25O. Maslovskyi—1111113D. Belanchik—7750
WJul 26 · 13:25O. Maslovskyi—1111113D. Belanchik—9940
WJul 3 · 06:55O. Maslovskyi—31111113D. Belanchik—119571
LJul 2 · 17:55O. Maslovskyi—981281D. Belanchik—111110113
O. Maslovskyi10
WSep 3 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.73111287113V. Ivanytskyi2.00610111132WSep 3 · 08:55M. Dunas1.57118781O. Maslovskyi2.2591111113LSep 3 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi4.3391111672O. Maksymkiv1.20116611113WSep 3 · 06:55M. Treschetka2.0065111182O. Maslovskyi1.73111189113WSep 3 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi1.36111116113A. Nikolenko3.00471841LSep 2 · 18:55O. Maslovskyi2.00241181M. Dunas1.7311119113WSep 2 · 16:55A. Nikolenko3.00155331O. Maslovskyi1.36131111113LSep 2 · 14:55M. Treschetka2.2051111113O. Maslovskyi1.61115471LSep 2 · 13:55O. Maslovskyi1.50117541V. Ivanytskyi2.5071111113LSep 2 · 12:55Y. Melnyk2.75129117113O. Maslovskyi1.40101131172
D. Belanchik10
LAug 28 · 10:25M. Treschetka2.201112113D. Belanchik1.6141050WAug 28 · 09:25D. Belanchik1.44911125113O. Maslovskyi2.63115101172LAug 28 · 08:25D. Belanchik2.20111311972O. Maksymkiv1.61915711113WAug 28 · 06:55D. Belanchik1.409121111113M. Vivatenko2.7511146652WAug 28 · 04:55D. Belanchik1.40891111113M. Dunas2.7511116552WAug 27 · 18:25H. Oliynyk1.224860D. Belanchik4.001111113LAug 27 · 17:25M. Treschetka2.389111112133D. Belanchik1.531191310112WAug 27 · 15:55M. Dunas2.1061070D. Belanchik1.671112113LAug 27 · 13:55O. Maksymkiv1.831111143D. Belanchik1.8379120WAug 24 · 10:25M. Treschetka2.10312881D. Belanchik1.67111011113
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