TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13031524
Played Aug 28Finished
Dmitriy Belanchik
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111214116116115
Mykhailo Vivatenko
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:13 and never touched — 69.8% is still 69.8%
Graded at full timeDmitriy Belanchik to win
69.8%
69.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmitriy Belanchik above · Mykhailo Vivatenko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 96 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Dmitriy Belanchik at 69.8%
96 points played in total.
H2H Dmitriy Belanchik 10–2 Mykhailo Vivatenko Mykhailo Vivatenko has won 2 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:13What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Belanchik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-2 in 12
Belanchik
Correct
gap of 8 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Belanchik 1207 vs Vivatenko 1197
Belanchik
Correct
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Belanchik 60% vs Vivatenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Belanchik 70% vs Vivatenko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Belanchik +2 · Vivatenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Belanchik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vivatenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBelanchik 1.40 / Vivatenko 2.75
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Belanchik)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13031524
Belanchik1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite55% won 31 of 56
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it78% 18 of 23
Vivatenko2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog35% won 9 of 26
Down 0–1, comes back15% 2 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBelanchik8wins
AwayVivatenko2wins
6 of 10 to a deciderBelanchik leads 8–2, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBelanchik80%4 of 5
AwayVivatenko20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Belanchik5Vivatenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Belanchik6Vivatenko4n = 10Belanchik took 6 of 10
S3Belanchik8Vivatenko2n = 10Belanchik took 8 of 10
S4Belanchik5Vivatenko3n = 8Belanchik took 5 of 8
S5Belanchik4Vivatenko2n = 6Belanchik took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBelanchikVivatenkoB − VBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.938.8+5.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBelanchikVivatenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime107 / 239 vs 150 / 27144.8%55.4%107 / 239 vs 150 / 271Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.438.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BelanchikBelanchik 1.40/Vivatenko 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.8%
Belanchik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Belanchik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 06:55D. Belanchik—9121111113M. Vivatenko—11146652
WAug 24 · 06:55D. Belanchik—1111113M. Vivatenko—7890
WJul 27 · 06:55D. Belanchik—771111113M. Vivatenko—11117352
LJul 3 · 09:25D. Belanchik—12611372M. Vivatenko—1011511113
WMar 21 · 09:55D. Belanchik—811112113M. Vivatenko—11661192
WFeb 28 · 10:25D. Belanchik—91111133M. Vivatenko—1163111
WJan 30 · 19:25D. Belanchik—1211113M. Vivatenko—10480
WAug 29 · 09:25D. Belanchik—11115123M. Vivatenko—9611101
LAug 22 · 09:25D. Belanchik—1111118122M. Vivatenko—137911143
WAug 14 · 09:25D. Belanchik—1110812123M. Vivatenko—8121110102
D. Belanchik10
LAug 28 · 10:25M. Treschetka2.201112113D. Belanchik1.6141050WAug 28 · 09:25D. Belanchik1.44911125113O. Maslovskyi2.63115101172LAug 28 · 08:25D. Belanchik2.20111311972O. Maksymkiv1.61915711113WAug 28 · 04:55D. Belanchik1.40891111113M. Dunas2.7511116552WAug 27 · 18:25H. Oliynyk1.224860D. Belanchik4.001111113LAug 27 · 17:25M. Treschetka2.389111112133D. Belanchik1.531191310112WAug 27 · 15:55M. Dunas2.1061070D. Belanchik1.671112113LAug 27 · 13:55O. Maksymkiv1.831111143D. Belanchik1.8379120WAug 27 · 11:55O. Maslovskyi2.38911661D. Belanchik1.5311711113WAug 24 · 10:25M. Treschetka2.10312881D. Belanchik1.67111011113
M. Vivatenko10
WAug 31 · 11:25M. Vivatenko1.61131129113M. Dunas2.20115111192LAug 31 · 09:25M. Treschetka2.63111111113M. Vivatenko1.44138821LAug 31 · 07:25V. Salivonchyk2.633111211113M. Vivatenko1.4411914552LAug 31 · 06:25M. Vivatenko1.677121091O. Maksymkiv2.10111012113WAug 31 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi3.5011119752M. Vivatenko1.28971111113LAug 28 · 10:55M. Vivatenko1.5711118762O. Maksymkiv2.25571111113WAug 28 · 08:55M. Treschetka2.6311781182M. Vivatenko1.44611116113LAug 28 · 07:55M. Vivatenko1.5711115772M. Dunas2.25861111113WAug 28 · 05:25M. Vivatenko1.331111113O. Maslovskyi3.255560LAug 24 · 10:55M. Vivatenko2.251110361D. Kasian1.5791211113
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