TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13031347
Played Aug 28Finished
Mykhailo Vivatenko
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
115117811711611
Oleh Maksymkiv
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:20 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Vivatenko to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMykhailo Vivatenko above · Oleh Maksymkiv below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 88 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Mykhailo Vivatenko at 60.1%
88 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Vivatenko 12–5 Oleh Maksymkiv Oleh Maksymkiv has won 5 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:20What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Vivatenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-5 in 17
Vivatenko
Wrong
gap of 7 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vivatenko 1208 vs Maksymkiv 1174
Vivatenko
Wrong
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vivatenko 40% vs Maksymkiv 60%
Maksymkiv
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vivatenko 50% vs Maksymkiv 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vivatenko +1 · Maksymkiv +3
Maksymkiv
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Vivatenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maksymkiv form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVivatenko 1.57 / Maksymkiv 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Vivatenko)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13031347
Vivatenko1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 53 of 89
Up 2–0, closes it84% 27 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it75% 42 of 56
Maksymkiv2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 60 of 152
Down 0–1, comes back22% 18 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVivatenko6wins
AwayMaksymkiv4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVivatenko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVivatenko100%4 of 4
AwayMaksymkiv66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vivatenko4Maksymkiv6n = 10Maksymkiv took 6 of 10
S2Vivatenko5Maksymkiv5n = 10split evenly
S3Vivatenko8Maksymkiv2n = 10Vivatenko took 8 of 10
S4Vivatenko2Maksymkiv5n = 7Maksymkiv took 5 of 7
S5Vivatenko3Maksymkiv1n = 4Vivatenko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVivatenkoMaksymkivV − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.537.4+1.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVivatenkoMaksymkivBasisWin rate · lifetime152 / 275 vs 360 / 69155.3%52.1%152 / 275 vs 360 / 691Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VivatenkoVivatenko 1.57/Maksymkiv 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Vivatenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Maksymkiv won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 14 · 11:25M. Vivatenko—13711113O. Maksymkiv—1111571
WAug 1 · 06:25M. Vivatenko—1011114113O. Maksymkiv—12791152
LJul 27 · 08:55M. Vivatenko—1031351O. Maksymkiv—121111113
LJun 15 · 10:55M. Vivatenko—4980O. Maksymkiv—1111113
LJun 11 · 11:25M. Vivatenko—1211119122O. Maksymkiv—147511143
WMay 15 · 05:25M. Vivatenko—611411143O. Maksymkiv—116118122
WMay 13 · 05:35M. Vivatenko—1111113O. Maksymkiv—2960
LMay 4 · 06:25M. Vivatenko—471161O. Maksymkiv—11112113
WApr 27 · 11:25M. Vivatenko—118118113O. Maksymkiv—81181172
WApr 24 · 05:25M. Vivatenko—1111113O. Maksymkiv—9490
M. Vivatenko10
WAug 31 · 11:25M. Vivatenko1.61131129113M. Dunas2.20115111192LAug 31 · 09:25M. Treschetka2.63111111113M. Vivatenko1.44138821LAug 31 · 07:25V. Salivonchyk2.633111211113M. Vivatenko1.4411914552LAug 31 · 06:25M. Vivatenko1.677121091O. Maksymkiv2.10111012113WAug 31 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi3.5011119752M. Vivatenko1.28971111113WAug 28 · 08:55M. Treschetka2.6311781182M. Vivatenko1.44611116113LAug 28 · 07:55M. Vivatenko1.5711115772M. Dunas2.25861111113LAug 28 · 06:55D. Belanchik1.409121111113M. Vivatenko2.7511146652WAug 28 · 05:25M. Vivatenko1.331111113O. Maslovskyi3.255560LAug 24 · 10:55M. Vivatenko2.251110361D. Kasian1.5791211113
O. Maksymkiv10
WSep 7 · 08:55H. Oliynyk1.289880O. Maksymkiv3.501111113LSep 7 · 07:55O. Maksymkiv2.101021521S. Kryvoshyi1.67121113113WSep 7 · 06:55M. Treschetka1.404911111O. Maksymkiv2.7511116133LSep 7 · 05:25O. Maksymkiv1.4410940V. Kheresko2.631211113WSep 6 · 18:25S. Kryvoshyi1.40881151O. Maksymkiv2.7511118113WSep 6 · 17:25V. Kheresko2.5011118141O. Maksymkiv1.5013711163WSep 6 · 15:55V. Salivonchyk1.9111196892O. Maksymkiv1.807171111113LSep 6 · 13:55M. Treschetka1.3611911113O. Maksymkiv3.00611861WSep 6 · 11:55O. Sapuzhak2.009111181O. Maksymkiv1.7311136113WAug 31 · 06:25M. Vivatenko1.677121091O. Maksymkiv2.10111012113
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