TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13048212
Played Aug 31Finished
Mykolay Treschetka
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1113118118112––
Mykhailo Vivatenko
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:19 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Vivatenko to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMykolay Treschetka above · Mykhailo Vivatenko below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-2
Point 75 set 4, 11-2 — our read held Mykhailo Vivatenko at 65.7%
75 points played in total.
H2H Mykolay Treschetka 11–26 Mykhailo Vivatenko Mykolay Treschetka has won 11 of their 37 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:19What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Vivatenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-26 in 37
Vivatenko
Wrong
gap of 15 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Treschetka 1176 vs Vivatenko 1184
Vivatenko
Wrong
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Treschetka 40% vs Vivatenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Treschetka 60% vs Vivatenko 40%
Treschetka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Treschetka +1 · Vivatenko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Vivatenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vivatenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTreschetka 2.63 / Vivatenko 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Vivatenko)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13048212
Treschetka2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 91 of 220
Down 0–1, comes back21% 25 of 117
Down 0–2, comes back12% 9 of 73
Vivatenko1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 55 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it80% 28 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it73% 43 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTreschetka4wins
AwayVivatenko6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderVivatenko leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTreschetka50%2 of 4
AwayVivatenko66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Treschetka4Vivatenko6n = 10Vivatenko took 6 of 10
S2Treschetka3Vivatenko7n = 10Vivatenko took 7 of 10
S3Treschetka4Vivatenko6n = 10Vivatenko took 6 of 10
S4Treschetka7Vivatenko1n = 8Treschetka took 7 of 8
S5Treschetka2Vivatenko4n = 6Vivatenko took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricTreschetkaVivatenkoT − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.542.6−2.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTreschetkaVivatenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime481 / 951 vs 151 / 27450.6%55.1%481 / 951 vs 151 / 274Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VivatenkoTreschetka 2.63/Vivatenko 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.7%
Vivatenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Treschetka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 08:55M. Treschetka—11781182M. Vivatenko—611116113
LAug 24 · 08:55M. Treschetka—96111142M. Vivatenko—111189113
LAug 14 · 07:25M. Treschetka—71213762M. Vivatenko—11101111113
WAug 1 · 09:25M. Treschetka—11711113M. Vivatenko—111961
WJul 27 · 10:55M. Treschetka—12116113M. Vivatenko—1091191
LJul 13 · 09:25M. Treschetka—1141114102M. Vivatenko—6111312123
LJul 3 · 06:25M. Treschetka—9770M. Vivatenko—1111113
WMay 15 · 08:55M. Treschetka—712814113M. Vivatenko—1110111272
LMay 13 · 09:35M. Treschetka—8790M. Vivatenko—1111113
WMay 7 · 06:55M. Treschetka—571111113M. Vivatenko—11118462
M. Treschetka10
LSep 7 · 08:25M. Treschetka2.101110731V. Salivonchyk1.6761211113LSep 7 · 06:55M. Treschetka1.404911111O. Maksymkiv2.7511116133LSep 7 · 04:55M. Treschetka4.338670S. Kryvoshyi1.201111113LSep 6 · 18:55M. Treschetka2.10861241V. Kheresko1.67111110113WSep 6 · 16:55V. Salivonchyk1.73771181M. Treschetka2.0011111103WSep 6 · 14:55O. Sapuzhak2.38116841M. Treschetka1.5381111113WSep 6 · 13:55M. Treschetka1.3611911113O. Maksymkiv3.00611861LSep 6 · 12:55S. Kryvoshyi1.22111173M. Treschetka4.003520WSep 3 · 10:25M. Dunas2.206780M. Treschetka1.611111113WSep 3 · 09:25M. Treschetka1.67711119163A. Nikolenko2.10118811142
M. Vivatenko10
WAug 31 · 11:25M. Vivatenko1.61131129113M. Dunas2.20115111192LAug 31 · 07:25V. Salivonchyk2.633111211113M. Vivatenko1.4411914552LAug 31 · 06:25M. Vivatenko1.677121091O. Maksymkiv2.10111012113WAug 31 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi3.5011119752M. Vivatenko1.28971111113LAug 28 · 10:55M. Vivatenko1.5711118762O. Maksymkiv2.25571111113WAug 28 · 08:55M. Treschetka2.6311781182M. Vivatenko1.44611116113LAug 28 · 07:55M. Vivatenko1.5711115772M. Dunas2.25861111113LAug 28 · 06:55D. Belanchik1.409121111113M. Vivatenko2.7511146652WAug 28 · 05:25M. Vivatenko1.331111113O. Maslovskyi3.255560LAug 24 · 10:55M. Vivatenko2.251110361D. Kasian1.5791211113
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