TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13031478
Played Aug 28Finished
Mykhailo Vivatenko
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115115116––––
Oleksandr Maslovskyi
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:11 and never touched — 74.4% is still 74.4%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Vivatenko to win
74.4%
74.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykhailo Vivatenko above · Oleksandr Maslovskyi below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 49 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Mykhailo Vivatenko at 74.4%
49 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Vivatenko 33–7 Oleksandr Maslovskyi Oleksandr Maslovskyi has won 7 of their 40 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:11What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Vivatenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
33-7 in 40
Vivatenko
Correct
gap of 26 in 40, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vivatenko 1213 vs Maslovskyi 1128
Vivatenko
Correct
both rated, 84 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vivatenko 40% vs Maslovskyi 20%
Vivatenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vivatenko 60% vs Maslovskyi 30%
Vivatenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vivatenko -1 · Maslovskyi -3
Maslovskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Vivatenko) · live re-read · sealed at 74% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maslovskyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVivatenko 1.33 / Maslovskyi 3.25
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Vivatenko)+4.3pp
Setka Cup · #13031478
Vivatenko1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 53 of 89
Up 2–0, closes it84% 27 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it75% 42 of 56
Maslovskyi3.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog34% won 72 of 213
Down 0–1, comes back21% 30 of 142
Down 0–2, comes back8% 7 of 83
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVivatenko6wins
AwayMaslovskyi4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVivatenko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVivatenko75%6 of 8
AwayMaslovskyin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vivatenko8Maslovskyi2n = 10Vivatenko took 8 of 10
S2Vivatenko6Maslovskyi4n = 10Vivatenko took 6 of 10
S3Vivatenko5Maslovskyi5n = 10split evenly
S4Vivatenko3Maslovskyi4n = 7Maslovskyi took 4 of 7
S5Vivatenko1Maslovskyi2n = 3Maslovskyi took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVivatenkoMaslovskyiV − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match37.435.0+2.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVivatenkoMaslovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime150 / 271 vs 437 / 85255.4%51.3%150 / 271 vs 437 / 852Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VivatenkoVivatenko 1.33/Maslovskyi 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.2%
Vivatenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vivatenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 24 · 05:25M. Vivatenko—11113482O. Maslovskyi—761111113
WAug 14 · 05:25M. Vivatenko—1111113O. Maslovskyi—8750
LAug 1 · 05:25M. Vivatenko—3940O. Maslovskyi—1111113
LJul 27 · 05:25M. Vivatenko—8111271O. Maslovskyi—11714113
LJul 13 · 05:25M. Vivatenko—12911792O. Maslovskyi—1011911113
WJul 3 · 05:25M. Vivatenko—11411143O. Maslovskyi—9117121
WJun 20 · 04:55M. Vivatenko—116119113O. Maslovskyi—71161152
WJun 15 · 06:55M. Vivatenko—11118113O. Maslovskyi—221151
WJun 11 · 05:25M. Vivatenko—1111113O. Maslovskyi—9780
WJun 8 · 07:55M. Vivatenko—11117113O. Maslovskyi—491191
M. Vivatenko10
WAug 31 · 11:25M. Vivatenko1.61131129113M. Dunas2.20115111192LAug 31 · 09:25M. Treschetka2.63111111113M. Vivatenko1.44138821LAug 31 · 07:25V. Salivonchyk2.633111211113M. Vivatenko1.4411914552LAug 31 · 06:25M. Vivatenko1.677121091O. Maksymkiv2.10111012113WAug 31 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi3.5011119752M. Vivatenko1.28971111113LAug 28 · 10:55M. Vivatenko1.5711118762O. Maksymkiv2.25571111113WAug 28 · 08:55M. Treschetka2.6311781182M. Vivatenko1.44611116113LAug 28 · 07:55M. Vivatenko1.5711115772M. Dunas2.25861111113LAug 28 · 06:55D. Belanchik1.409121111113M. Vivatenko2.7511146652LAug 24 · 10:55M. Vivatenko2.251110361D. Kasian1.5791211113
O. Maslovskyi10
WSep 3 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.73111287113V. Ivanytskyi2.00610111132WSep 3 · 08:55M. Dunas1.57118781O. Maslovskyi2.2591111113LSep 3 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi4.3391111672O. Maksymkiv1.20116611113WSep 3 · 06:55M. Treschetka2.0065111182O. Maslovskyi1.73111189113WSep 3 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi1.36111116113A. Nikolenko3.00471841LSep 2 · 18:55O. Maslovskyi2.00241181M. Dunas1.7311119113WSep 2 · 16:55A. Nikolenko3.00155331O. Maslovskyi1.36131111113LSep 2 · 14:55M. Treschetka2.2051111113O. Maslovskyi1.61115471LSep 2 · 13:55O. Maslovskyi1.50117541V. Ivanytskyi2.5071111113LAug 31 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi3.5011119752M. Vivatenko1.28971111113
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