TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13031547
Played Aug 28Finished
Mykhailo Vivatenko
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
118116511711711
Mykhailo Dunas
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:14 and never touched — 67.6% is still 67.6%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Vivatenko to win
67.6%
67.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMykhailo Vivatenko above · Mykhailo Dunas below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 88 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Mykhailo Vivatenko at 67.6%
88 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Vivatenko 1–1 Mykhailo Dunas Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:14What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Vivatenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Vivatenko 1197 vs Dunas 1124
Vivatenko
Wrong
both rated, 72 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vivatenko 60% vs Dunas 40%
Vivatenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vivatenko 50% vs Dunas 30%
Vivatenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vivatenko -1 · Dunas +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Vivatenko) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVivatenko 1.57 / Dunas 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Vivatenko)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13031547
Vivatenko1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 55 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it80% 28 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it73% 43 of 59
Dunas2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 9 of 24
Down 0–1, comes back13% 2 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back10% 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeVivatenko1wins
AwayDunas1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricVivatenkoDunasV − DBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match37.536.5+1.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVivatenkoDunasBasisWin rate · lifetime150 / 271 vs 13 / 3355.4%39.4%150 / 271 vs 13 / 33Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.034.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VivatenkoVivatenko 1.57/Dunas 2.25
Miss
What we said
59.7%
Vivatenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dunas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 28 · 07:55M. Vivatenko—11115772M. Dunas—861111113
WAug 14 · 06:25M. Vivatenko—1211113M. Dunas—10880
M. Vivatenko10
WAug 31 · 11:25M. Vivatenko1.61131129113M. Dunas2.20115111192LAug 31 · 09:25M. Treschetka2.63111111113M. Vivatenko1.44138821LAug 31 · 07:25V. Salivonchyk2.633111211113M. Vivatenko1.4411914552LAug 31 · 06:25M. Vivatenko1.677121091O. Maksymkiv2.10111012113WAug 31 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi3.5011119752M. Vivatenko1.28971111113LAug 28 · 10:55M. Vivatenko1.5711118762O. Maksymkiv2.25571111113WAug 28 · 08:55M. Treschetka2.6311781182M. Vivatenko1.44611116113LAug 28 · 06:55D. Belanchik1.409121111113M. Vivatenko2.7511146652WAug 28 · 05:25M. Vivatenko1.331111113O. Maslovskyi3.255560LAug 24 · 10:55M. Vivatenko2.251110361D. Kasian1.5791211113
M. Dunas10
LSep 3 · 10:25M. Dunas2.206780M. Treschetka1.611111113LSep 3 · 08:55M. Dunas1.57118781O. Maslovskyi2.2591111113WSep 3 · 07:25M. Dunas1.671113125113A. Nikolenko2.10711141122LSep 3 · 05:55M. Dunas3.40971541O. Maksymkiv1.30111113113LSep 3 · 04:25M. Dunas1.5011119692V. Ivanytskyi2.40041111113WSep 2 · 18:55O. Maslovskyi2.00241181M. Dunas1.7311119113WSep 2 · 17:25M. Dunas1.671112113V. Ivanytskyi2.1081070LSep 2 · 15:25Y. Melnyk1.801111113M. Dunas1.916860LSep 2 · 13:25M. Treschetka1.8351111113M. Dunas1.83119421LAug 31 · 11:25M. Vivatenko1.61131129113M. Dunas2.20115111192
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