TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13048344
Played Aug 31Finished
Mykhailo Vivatenko
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
71112101012911––
Oleh Maksymkiv
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:54 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Vivatenko to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMykhailo Vivatenko above · Oleh Maksymkiv below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 82 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Mykhailo Vivatenko at 57.0%
82 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Vivatenko 12–7 Oleh Maksymkiv Oleh Maksymkiv has won 7 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:54What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Vivatenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-7 in 19
Vivatenko
Wrong
gap of 5 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vivatenko 1181 vs Maksymkiv 1216
Maksymkiv
Correct
both rated, 36 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vivatenko 40% vs Maksymkiv 80%
Maksymkiv
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vivatenko 50% vs Maksymkiv 80%
Maksymkiv
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vivatenko +1 · Maksymkiv -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vivatenko) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maksymkiv form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVivatenko 1.67 / Maksymkiv 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vivatenko)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13048344
Vivatenko1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 57 of 98
Up 2–0, closes it81% 29 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it71% 44 of 62
Maksymkiv2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 61 of 154
Down 0–1, comes back23% 19 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVivatenko4wins
AwayMaksymkiv6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMaksymkiv leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVivatenko66.7%2 of 3
AwayMaksymkiv71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vivatenko3Maksymkiv7n = 10Maksymkiv took 7 of 10
S2Vivatenko6Maksymkiv4n = 10Vivatenko took 6 of 10
S3Vivatenko6Maksymkiv4n = 10Vivatenko took 6 of 10
S4Vivatenko2Maksymkiv6n = 8Maksymkiv took 6 of 8
S5Vivatenko2Maksymkiv2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVivatenkoMaksymkivV − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.439.6−1.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVivatenkoMaksymkivBasisWin rate · lifetime152 / 276 vs 368 / 70355.1%52.4%152 / 276 vs 368 / 703Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VivatenkoVivatenko 1.67/Maksymkiv 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vivatenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Maksymkiv won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 06:25M. Vivatenko—7121091O. Maksymkiv—111012113
LAug 28 · 10:55M. Vivatenko—11118762O. Maksymkiv—571111113
WAug 14 · 11:25M. Vivatenko—13711113O. Maksymkiv—1111571
WAug 1 · 06:25M. Vivatenko—1011114113O. Maksymkiv—12791152
LJul 27 · 08:55M. Vivatenko—1031351O. Maksymkiv—121111113
LJun 15 · 10:55M. Vivatenko—4980O. Maksymkiv—1111113
LJun 11 · 11:25M. Vivatenko—1211119122O. Maksymkiv—147511143
WMay 15 · 05:25M. Vivatenko—611411143O. Maksymkiv—116118122
WMay 13 · 05:35M. Vivatenko—1111113O. Maksymkiv—2960
LMay 4 · 06:25M. Vivatenko—471161O. Maksymkiv—11112113
M. Vivatenko10
WAug 31 · 11:25M. Vivatenko1.61131129113M. Dunas2.20115111192LAug 31 · 09:25M. Treschetka2.63111111113M. Vivatenko1.44138821LAug 31 · 07:25V. Salivonchyk2.633111211113M. Vivatenko1.4411914552WAug 31 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi3.5011119752M. Vivatenko1.28971111113LAug 28 · 10:55M. Vivatenko1.5711118762O. Maksymkiv2.25571111113WAug 28 · 08:55M. Treschetka2.6311781182M. Vivatenko1.44611116113LAug 28 · 07:55M. Vivatenko1.5711115772M. Dunas2.25861111113LAug 28 · 06:55D. Belanchik1.409121111113M. Vivatenko2.7511146652WAug 28 · 05:25M. Vivatenko1.331111113O. Maslovskyi3.255560LAug 24 · 10:55M. Vivatenko2.251110361D. Kasian1.5791211113
O. Maksymkiv10
WSep 7 · 08:55H. Oliynyk1.289880O. Maksymkiv3.501111113LSep 7 · 07:55O. Maksymkiv2.101021521S. Kryvoshyi1.67121113113WSep 7 · 06:55M. Treschetka1.404911111O. Maksymkiv2.7511116133LSep 7 · 05:25O. Maksymkiv1.4410940V. Kheresko2.631211113WSep 6 · 18:25S. Kryvoshyi1.40881151O. Maksymkiv2.7511118113WSep 6 · 17:25V. Kheresko2.5011118141O. Maksymkiv1.5013711163WSep 6 · 15:55V. Salivonchyk1.9111196892O. Maksymkiv1.807171111113LSep 6 · 13:55M. Treschetka1.3611911113O. Maksymkiv3.00611861WSep 6 · 11:55O. Sapuzhak2.009111181O. Maksymkiv1.7311136113WAug 28 · 10:55M. Vivatenko1.5711118762O. Maksymkiv2.25571111113
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