TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13048251
Played Aug 31Finished
Oleksandr Maslovskyi
Home
3.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119117911711511
Mykhailo Vivatenko
Away
1.29
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:19 and never touched — 79.4% is still 79.4%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Vivatenko to win
79.4%
79.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Maslovskyi above · Mykhailo Vivatenko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 92 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Mykhailo Vivatenko at 79.4%
92 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Maslovskyi 7–35 Mykhailo Vivatenko Oleksandr Maslovskyi has won 7 of their 42 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:19What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Vivatenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-35 in 42
Vivatenko
Correct
gap of 28 in 42, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maslovskyi 1070 vs Vivatenko 1204
Vivatenko
Correct
both rated, 134 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maslovskyi 20% vs Vivatenko 40%
Vivatenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maslovskyi 20% vs Vivatenko 40%
Vivatenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maslovskyi -1 · Vivatenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Vivatenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vivatenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaslovskyi 3.50 / Vivatenko 1.28
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Vivatenko)+6.3pp
Setka Cup · #13048251
Maslovskyi3.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog33% won 72 of 221
Down 0–1, comes back20% 30 of 149
Down 0–2, comes back8% 7 of 87
Vivatenko1.28
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 55 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it80% 28 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it73% 43 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaslovskyi4wins
AwayVivatenko6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVivatenko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaslovskyi66.7%2 of 3
AwayVivatenko71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maslovskyi3Vivatenko7n = 10Vivatenko took 7 of 10
S2Maslovskyi5Vivatenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Maslovskyi4Vivatenko6n = 10Vivatenko took 6 of 10
S4Maslovskyi4Vivatenko3n = 7Maslovskyi took 4 of 7
S5Maslovskyi2Vivatenko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaslovskyiVivatenkoM − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.238.3−3.1per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaslovskyiVivatenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime435 / 858 vs 151 / 27250.7%55.5%435 / 858 vs 151 / 272Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VivatenkoMaslovskyi 3.50/Vivatenko 1.28
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.4%
Vivatenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vivatenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi—11119752M. Vivatenko—971111113
LAug 28 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi—5560M. Vivatenko—1111113
WAug 24 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi—761111113M. Vivatenko—11113482
LAug 14 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi—8750M. Vivatenko—1111113
WAug 1 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi—1111113M. Vivatenko—3940
WJul 27 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi—11714113M. Vivatenko—8111271
WJul 13 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi—1011911113M. Vivatenko—12911792
LJul 3 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi—9117121M. Vivatenko—11411143
LJun 20 · 04:55O. Maslovskyi—71161152M. Vivatenko—116119113
LJun 15 · 06:55O. Maslovskyi—221151M. Vivatenko—11118113
O. Maslovskyi10
WSep 3 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.73111287113V. Ivanytskyi2.00610111132WSep 3 · 08:55M. Dunas1.57118781O. Maslovskyi2.2591111113LSep 3 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi4.3391111672O. Maksymkiv1.20116611113WSep 3 · 06:55M. Treschetka2.0065111182O. Maslovskyi1.73111189113WSep 3 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi1.36111116113A. Nikolenko3.00471841LSep 2 · 18:55O. Maslovskyi2.00241181M. Dunas1.7311119113WSep 2 · 16:55A. Nikolenko3.00155331O. Maslovskyi1.36131111113LSep 2 · 14:55M. Treschetka2.2051111113O. Maslovskyi1.61115471LSep 2 · 13:55O. Maslovskyi1.50117541V. Ivanytskyi2.5071111113LSep 2 · 12:55Y. Melnyk2.75129117113O. Maslovskyi1.40101131172
M. Vivatenko10
WAug 31 · 11:25M. Vivatenko1.61131129113M. Dunas2.20115111192LAug 31 · 09:25M. Treschetka2.63111111113M. Vivatenko1.44138821LAug 31 · 07:25V. Salivonchyk2.633111211113M. Vivatenko1.4411914552LAug 31 · 06:25M. Vivatenko1.677121091O. Maksymkiv2.10111012113LAug 28 · 10:55M. Vivatenko1.5711118762O. Maksymkiv2.25571111113WAug 28 · 08:55M. Treschetka2.6311781182M. Vivatenko1.44611116113LAug 28 · 07:55M. Vivatenko1.5711115772M. Dunas2.25861111113LAug 28 · 06:55D. Belanchik1.409121111113M. Vivatenko2.7511146652WAug 28 · 05:25M. Vivatenko1.331111113O. Maslovskyi3.255560LAug 24 · 10:55M. Vivatenko2.251110361D. Kasian1.5791211113
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