TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061314
Played Sep 2Finished
Mykolay Treschetka
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
511119114112––
Mykhailo Dunas
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMykolay Treschetka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingMykolay Treschetka above · Mykhailo Dunas below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-2
Point 64 set 4, 11-2 — our read held Mykolay Treschetka at 54.0%
64 points played in total.
H2H Mykolay Treschetka 3–3 Mykhailo Dunas Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:23What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Dunas
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Treschetka 1187 vs Dunas 1109
Treschetka
Correct
both rated, 78 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Treschetka 60% vs Dunas 20%
Treschetka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Treschetka 60% vs Dunas 20%
Treschetka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Treschetka +1 · Dunas +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Treschetka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dunas form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTreschetka 1.83 / Dunas 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Treschetka)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13061314
Treschetka1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Dunas1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeTreschetka3wins
AwayDunas3wins
3 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTreschetkan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayDunas75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Treschetka2Dunas4n = 6Dunas took 4 of 6
S2Treschetka3Dunas3n = 6split evenly
S3Treschetka3Dunas3n = 6split evenly
S4Treschetka2Dunas2n = 4split evenly
S5Treschetka2Dunas1n = 3Treschetka took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricTreschetkaDunasT − DBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match39.039.5−0.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTreschetkaDunasBasisWin rate · lifetime483 / 953 vs 16 / 4450.7%36.4%483 / 953 vs 16 / 44Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.135.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TreschetkaTreschetka 1.83/Dunas 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Treschetka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Treschetka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 31 · 04:55M. Treschetka—913512113M. Dunas—1111111092
LAug 30 · 18:25M. Treschetka—12970M. Dunas—1411113
LAug 28 · 05:55M. Treschetka—491721M. Dunas—111115113
WAug 27 · 12:25M. Treschetka—1111113M. Dunas—8360
WAug 20 · 04:25M. Treschetka—111195113M. Dunas—85111132
LAug 14 · 04:25M. Treschetka—413111152M. Dunas—111545113
M. Treschetka10
LSep 7 · 08:25M. Treschetka2.101110731V. Salivonchyk1.6761211113LSep 7 · 06:55M. Treschetka1.404911111O. Maksymkiv2.7511116133LSep 7 · 04:55M. Treschetka4.338670S. Kryvoshyi1.201111113LSep 6 · 18:55M. Treschetka2.10861241V. Kheresko1.67111110113WSep 6 · 16:55V. Salivonchyk1.73771181M. Treschetka2.0011111103WSep 6 · 14:55O. Sapuzhak2.38116841M. Treschetka1.5381111113WSep 6 · 13:55M. Treschetka1.3611911113O. Maksymkiv3.00611861LSep 6 · 12:55S. Kryvoshyi1.22111173M. Treschetka4.003520WSep 3 · 10:25M. Dunas2.206780M. Treschetka1.611111113WSep 3 · 09:25M. Treschetka1.67711119163A. Nikolenko2.10118811142
M. Dunas10
LSep 3 · 10:25M. Dunas2.206780M. Treschetka1.611111113LSep 3 · 08:55M. Dunas1.57118781O. Maslovskyi2.2591111113WSep 3 · 07:25M. Dunas1.671113125113A. Nikolenko2.10711141122LSep 3 · 05:55M. Dunas3.40971541O. Maksymkiv1.30111113113LSep 3 · 04:25M. Dunas1.5011119692V. Ivanytskyi2.40041111113WSep 2 · 18:55O. Maslovskyi2.00241181M. Dunas1.7311119113WSep 2 · 17:25M. Dunas1.671112113V. Ivanytskyi2.1081070LSep 2 · 15:25Y. Melnyk1.801111113M. Dunas1.916860WSep 2 · 12:25A. Nikolenko1.73171191142M. Dunas2.00198118113LAug 31 · 11:25M. Vivatenko1.61131129113M. Dunas2.20115111192
Upcoming Matches
M. Treschetka
M. Dunas
Nothing scheduled
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