TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13022560
Played Aug 27Finished
Hryhoriy Oliynyk
Home
1.29
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
411113116118––
Oleh Maksymkiv
Away
3.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:53 and never touched — 74.7% is still 74.7%
Graded at full timeHryhoriy Oliynyk to win
74.7%
74.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingHryhoriy Oliynyk above · Oleh Maksymkiv below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 65 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Hryhoriy Oliynyk at 74.7%
65 points played in total.
H2H Hryhoriy Oliynyk 8–1 Oleh Maksymkiv Oleh Maksymkiv has won 1 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:53What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Oliynyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-1 in 9
Oliynyk
Correct
gap of 7 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Oliynyk 1276 vs Maksymkiv 1138
Oliynyk
Correct
both rated, 138 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oliynyk 60% vs Maksymkiv 20%
Oliynyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oliynyk 30% vs Maksymkiv 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Oliynyk -1 · Maksymkiv -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Oliynyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oliynyk form (60%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOliynyk 1.28 / Maksymkiv 3.50
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Oliynyk)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13022560
Oliynyk1.28
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 22 of 36
Up 2–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it72% 18 of 25
Maksymkiv3.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog40% won 60 of 150
Down 0–1, comes back23% 18 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeOliynyk8wins
AwayMaksymkiv1wins
2 of 9 to a deciderOliynyk leads 8–1, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOliynyk100%7 of 7
AwayMaksymkivn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oliynyk7Maksymkiv2n = 9Oliynyk took 7 of 9
S2Oliynyk7Maksymkiv2n = 9Oliynyk took 7 of 9
S3Oliynyk8Maksymkiv1n = 9Oliynyk took 8 of 9
S4Oliynyk3Maksymkiv1n = 4Oliynyk took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home556%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricOliynykMaksymkivO − MBasisWins81+7in 9 meetingsFirst set72+5of 9Avg pointsper match38.626.1+12.5per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOliynykMaksymkivBasisWin rate · lifetime106 / 214 vs 354 / 68249.5%51.9%106 / 214 vs 354 / 682Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.237.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OliynykOliynyk 1.28/Maksymkiv 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.7%
Oliynyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Oliynyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WJul 15 · 08:25H. Oliynyk—1111113O. Maksymkiv—7330
WJul 1 · 05:55H. Oliynyk—651111113O. Maksymkiv—11117482
LJun 24 · 04:25H. Oliynyk—711117142O. Maksymkiv—115711163
WJun 17 · 08:55H. Oliynyk—1311113O. Maksymkiv—11550
WJun 5 · 06:55H. Oliynyk—1111113O. Maksymkiv—5840
WApr 23 · 15:55H. Oliynyk—111111113O. Maksymkiv—481351
WApr 2 · 13:55H. Oliynyk—1111113O. Maksymkiv—8670
WDec 3 · 14:25H. Oliynyk—11911113O. Maksymkiv—211781
WNov 10 · 18:55H. Oliynyk—1111113O. Maksymkiv—4640
H. Oliynyk10
WSep 7 · 07:25H. Oliynyk1.5311911113V. Kheresko2.38811861WSep 7 · 05:55H. Oliynyk3.40812711113S. Kryvoshyi1.30111011772LSep 7 · 04:25H. Oliynyk1.308950V. Salivonchyk3.401111113LAug 27 · 18:25H. Oliynyk1.224860D. Belanchik4.001111113WAug 27 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi3.001129101H. Oliynyk1.3671111123WAug 27 · 15:25H. Oliynyk1.221111113M. Treschetka4.006460WAug 27 · 14:25M. Dunas2.384111091H. Oliynyk1.5311912113LAug 13 · 18:55H. Oliynyk1.53981191D. Kasian2.3811117113WAug 13 · 16:55M. Treschetka4.3311651142H. Oliynyk1.20511115113WAug 13 · 14:55O. Maslovskyi2.635660H. Oliynyk1.441111113
O. Maksymkiv10
LSep 7 · 07:55O. Maksymkiv2.101021521S. Kryvoshyi1.67121113113WSep 7 · 06:55M. Treschetka1.404911111O. Maksymkiv2.7511116133LSep 7 · 05:25O. Maksymkiv1.4410940V. Kheresko2.631211113WSep 6 · 18:25S. Kryvoshyi1.40881151O. Maksymkiv2.7511118113WSep 6 · 17:25V. Kheresko2.5011118141O. Maksymkiv1.5013711163WSep 6 · 15:55V. Salivonchyk1.9111196892O. Maksymkiv1.807171111113LSep 6 · 13:55M. Treschetka1.3611911113O. Maksymkiv3.00611861WSep 6 · 11:55O. Sapuzhak2.009111181O. Maksymkiv1.7311136113LSep 3 · 11:25A. Nikolenko3.25121211113O. Maksymkiv1.331410141LSep 3 · 09:55O. Maksymkiv1.4411119992V. Ivanytskyi2.63751111113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.