TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13022653
Played Aug 27Finished
Hryhoriy Oliynyk
Home
1.22
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116114116––––
Mykolay Treschetka
Away
4.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:56 and never touched — 78.2% is still 78.2%
Graded at full timeHryhoriy Oliynyk to win
78.2%
78.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingHryhoriy Oliynyk above · Mykolay Treschetka below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 49 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Hryhoriy Oliynyk at 78.2%
49 points played in total.
H2H Hryhoriy Oliynyk 11–2 Mykolay Treschetka Mykolay Treschetka has won 2 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:56What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Oliynyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-2 in 13
Oliynyk
Correct
gap of 9 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Oliynyk 1287 vs Treschetka 1174
Oliynyk
Correct
both rated, 113 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oliynyk 80% vs Treschetka 40%
Oliynyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oliynyk 50% vs Treschetka 20%
Oliynyk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Oliynyk +2 · Treschetka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 80% — Strong (leans Oliynyk) · live re-read · sealed at 78% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Treschetka form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOliynyk 1.22 / Treschetka 4.00
Signal prob.80% / 20%
Edge (Oliynyk)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13022653
Oliynyk1.22
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 22 of 36
Up 2–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it72% 18 of 25
Treschetka4.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 90 of 218
Down 0–1, comes back21% 24 of 117
Down 0–2, comes back11% 8 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOliynyk9wins
AwayTreschetka1wins
1 of 10 to a deciderOliynyk leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOliynyk100%8 of 8
AwayTreschetkan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oliynyk8Treschetka2n = 10Oliynyk took 8 of 10
S2Oliynyk8Treschetka2n = 10Oliynyk took 8 of 10
S3Oliynyk9Treschetka1n = 10Oliynyk took 9 of 10
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home770%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricOliynykTreschetkaO − TBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match34.123.5+10.6per matchSweeps71+63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOliynykTreschetkaBasisWin rate · lifetime110 / 219 vs 474 / 94350.2%50.3%110 / 219 vs 474 / 943Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.238.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OliynykOliynyk 1.22/Treschetka 4.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
80.1%
Oliynyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Oliynyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 15:25H. Oliynyk—1111113M. Treschetka—6460
WAug 13 · 16:55H. Oliynyk—511115113M. Treschetka—11651142
WApr 23 · 13:55H. Oliynyk—1111113M. Treschetka—9510
WFeb 27 · 09:25H. Oliynyk—1311113M. Treschetka—11190
WJan 22 · 15:25H. Oliynyk—11711113M. Treschetka—811981
WOct 31 · 14:25H. Oliynyk—1115113M. Treschetka—81370
WOct 9 · 18:55H. Oliynyk—1111113M. Treschetka—8560
LOct 1 · 18:25H. Oliynyk—8850M. Treschetka—1111113
WJul 22 · 12:25H. Oliynyk—1111113M. Treschetka—5940
WJul 3 · 18:55H. Oliynyk—1111113M. Treschetka—2190
H. Oliynyk10
WSep 7 · 07:25H. Oliynyk1.5311911113V. Kheresko2.38811861WSep 7 · 05:55H. Oliynyk3.40812711113S. Kryvoshyi1.30111011772LSep 7 · 04:25H. Oliynyk1.308950V. Salivonchyk3.401111113LAug 27 · 18:25H. Oliynyk1.224860D. Belanchik4.001111113WAug 27 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi3.001129101H. Oliynyk1.3671111123WAug 27 · 14:25M. Dunas2.384111091H. Oliynyk1.5311912113WAug 27 · 12:55H. Oliynyk1.2841111113O. Maksymkiv3.50113681LAug 13 · 18:55H. Oliynyk1.53981191D. Kasian2.3811117113WAug 13 · 16:55M. Treschetka4.3311651142H. Oliynyk1.20511115113WAug 13 · 14:55O. Maslovskyi2.635660H. Oliynyk1.441111113
M. Treschetka10
LSep 7 · 08:25M. Treschetka2.101110731V. Salivonchyk1.6761211113LSep 7 · 06:55M. Treschetka1.404911111O. Maksymkiv2.7511116133LSep 7 · 04:55M. Treschetka4.338670S. Kryvoshyi1.201111113LSep 6 · 18:55M. Treschetka2.10861241V. Kheresko1.67111110113WSep 6 · 16:55V. Salivonchyk1.73771181M. Treschetka2.0011111103WSep 6 · 14:55O. Sapuzhak2.38116841M. Treschetka1.5381111113WSep 6 · 13:55M. Treschetka1.3611911113O. Maksymkiv3.00611861LSep 6 · 12:55S. Kryvoshyi1.22111173M. Treschetka4.003520WSep 3 · 10:25M. Dunas2.206780M. Treschetka1.611111113LAug 13 · 16:55M. Treschetka4.3311651142H. Oliynyk1.20511115113
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