TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13022670
Played Aug 27Finished
Oleksandr Maslovskyi
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1172119111012––
Hryhoriy Oliynyk
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:58 and never touched — 71.2% is still 71.2%
Graded at full timeHryhoriy Oliynyk to win
71.2%
71.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Maslovskyi above · Hryhoriy Oliynyk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 73 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Hryhoriy Oliynyk at 71.2%
73 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Maslovskyi 5–12 Hryhoriy Oliynyk Oleksandr Maslovskyi has won 5 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:58What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Oliynyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-12 in 17
Oliynyk
Correct
gap of 7 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maslovskyi 1148 vs Oliynyk 1298
Oliynyk
Correct
both rated, 150 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maslovskyi 20% vs Oliynyk 80%
Oliynyk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maslovskyi 50% vs Oliynyk 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Maslovskyi -1 · Oliynyk +3
Oliynyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Oliynyk) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maslovskyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaslovskyi 3.00 / Oliynyk 1.36
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Oliynyk)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13022670
Maslovskyi3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 72 of 209
Down 0–1, comes back21% 30 of 140
Down 0–2, comes back8% 7 of 83
Oliynyk1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 22 of 36
Up 2–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it72% 18 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaslovskyi3wins
AwayOliynyk7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderOliynyk leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaslovskyin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayOliynyk87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maslovskyi2Oliynyk8n = 10Oliynyk took 8 of 10
S2Maslovskyi5Oliynyk5n = 10split evenly
S3Maslovskyi4Oliynyk6n = 10Oliynyk took 6 of 10
S4Maslovskyi4Oliynyk3n = 7Maslovskyi took 4 of 7
S5Maslovskyi1Oliynyk2n = 3Oliynyk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaslovskyiOliynykM − OBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match34.238.8−4.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaslovskyiOliynykBasisWin rate · lifetime437 / 850 vs 109 / 21751.4%50.2%437 / 850 vs 109 / 217Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.635.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OliynykMaslovskyi 3.00/Oliynyk 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.4%
Oliynyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Oliynyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 13 · 14:55O. Maslovskyi—5660H. Oliynyk—1111113
WJun 1 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi—11411143H. Oliynyk—7116121
LApr 2 · 11:55O. Maslovskyi—5114101H. Oliynyk—11711123
LFeb 27 · 07:25O. Maslovskyi—41040H. Oliynyk—1112113
WNov 24 · 17:25O. Maslovskyi—911411113H. Oliynyk—11811862
LNov 3 · 13:25O. Maslovskyi—41141242H. Oliynyk—1191110113
LOct 9 · 15:25O. Maslovskyi—981191H. Oliynyk—11118113
LSep 11 · 14:25O. Maslovskyi—913981H. Oliynyk—111111113
LAug 28 · 14:25O. Maslovskyi—97111192H. Oliynyk—111146113
WAug 21 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi—1111113H. Oliynyk—7490
O. Maslovskyi10
WSep 3 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.73111287113V. Ivanytskyi2.00610111132WSep 3 · 08:55M. Dunas1.57118781O. Maslovskyi2.2591111113LSep 3 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi4.3391111672O. Maksymkiv1.20116611113WSep 3 · 06:55M. Treschetka2.0065111182O. Maslovskyi1.73111189113WSep 3 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi1.36111116113A. Nikolenko3.00471841LSep 2 · 18:55O. Maslovskyi2.00241181M. Dunas1.7311119113WSep 2 · 16:55A. Nikolenko3.00155331O. Maslovskyi1.36131111113LSep 2 · 14:55M. Treschetka2.2051111113O. Maslovskyi1.61115471LSep 2 · 13:55O. Maslovskyi1.50117541V. Ivanytskyi2.5071111113LSep 2 · 12:55Y. Melnyk2.75129117113O. Maslovskyi1.40101131172
H. Oliynyk10
WSep 7 · 07:25H. Oliynyk1.5311911113V. Kheresko2.38811861WSep 7 · 05:55H. Oliynyk3.40812711113S. Kryvoshyi1.30111011772LSep 7 · 04:25H. Oliynyk1.308950V. Salivonchyk3.401111113LAug 27 · 18:25H. Oliynyk1.224860D. Belanchik4.001111113WAug 27 · 15:25H. Oliynyk1.221111113M. Treschetka4.006460WAug 27 · 14:25M. Dunas2.384111091H. Oliynyk1.5311912113WAug 27 · 12:55H. Oliynyk1.2841111113O. Maksymkiv3.50113681LAug 13 · 18:55H. Oliynyk1.53981191D. Kasian2.3811117113WAug 13 · 16:55M. Treschetka4.3311651142H. Oliynyk1.20511115113WAug 13 · 14:55O. Maslovskyi2.635660H. Oliynyk1.441111113
Upcoming Matches
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