TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088755
Played Sep 7Finished
Hryhoriy Oliynyk
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118911118116––
Vsevolod Kheresko
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:18 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeHryhoriy Oliynyk to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingHryhoriy Oliynyk above · Vsevolod Kheresko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 75 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Hryhoriy Oliynyk at 60.8%
75 points played in total.
H2H Hryhoriy Oliynyk 3–1 Vsevolod Kheresko Vsevolod Kheresko has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:18What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Oliynyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Oliynyk
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Oliynyk 1291 vs Kheresko 1222
Oliynyk
Correct
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oliynyk 60% vs Kheresko 80%
Kheresko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oliynyk 70% vs Kheresko 50%
Oliynyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Oliynyk +1 · Kheresko +3
Kheresko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Oliynyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kheresko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOliynyk 1.53 / Kheresko 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Oliynyk)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13088755
Oliynyk1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 26 of 41
Up 2–0, closes it88% 15 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it74% 20 of 27
Kheresko2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 57 of 152
Down 0–1, comes back22% 18 of 82
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeOliynyk3wins
AwayKheresko1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderOliynyk leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOliynyk100%3 of 3
AwayKhereskon = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oliynyk3Kheresko1n = 4Oliynyk took 3 of 4
S2Oliynyk3Kheresko1n = 4Oliynyk took 3 of 4
S3Oliynyk3Kheresko1n = 4Oliynyk took 3 of 4
S4Oliynyk2Kheresko1n = 3Oliynyk took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricOliynykKhereskoO − KBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match42.534.0+8.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOliynykKhereskoBasisWin rate · lifetime111 / 217 vs 207 / 41351.2%50.1%111 / 217 vs 207 / 413Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.337.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OliynykOliynyk 1.53/Kheresko 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Oliynyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Oliynyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 7 · 07:25H. Oliynyk—11911113V. Kheresko—811861
WJul 22 · 05:55H. Oliynyk—1111113V. Kheresko—8570
WJul 8 · 04:55H. Oliynyk—11119143V. Kheresko—9811121
LJun 1 · 07:25H. Oliynyk—121111882V. Kheresko—144311113
H. Oliynyk10
WSep 7 · 05:55H. Oliynyk3.40812711113S. Kryvoshyi1.30111011772LSep 7 · 04:25H. Oliynyk1.308950V. Salivonchyk3.401111113LAug 27 · 18:25H. Oliynyk1.224860D. Belanchik4.001111113WAug 27 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi3.001129101H. Oliynyk1.3671111123WAug 27 · 15:25H. Oliynyk1.221111113M. Treschetka4.006460WAug 27 · 14:25M. Dunas2.384111091H. Oliynyk1.5311912113WAug 27 · 12:55H. Oliynyk1.2841111113O. Maksymkiv3.50113681LAug 13 · 18:55H. Oliynyk1.53981191D. Kasian2.3811117113WAug 13 · 16:55M. Treschetka4.3311651142H. Oliynyk1.20511115113WAug 13 · 14:55O. Maslovskyi2.635660H. Oliynyk1.441111113
V. Kheresko10
WSep 7 · 06:25V. Kheresko1.80101112113V. Salivonchyk1.911271071WSep 7 · 05:25O. Maksymkiv1.4410940V. Kheresko2.631211113WSep 6 · 18:55M. Treschetka2.10861241V. Kheresko1.67111110113LSep 6 · 17:25V. Kheresko2.5011118141O. Maksymkiv1.5013711163WSep 6 · 15:25S. Kryvoshyi1.5341111752V. Kheresko2.38118811113WSep 6 · 13:25O. Sapuzhak3.50611641V. Kheresko1.2811911113LSep 6 · 12:25V. Salivonchyk2.00126811113V. Kheresko1.73101111472LSep 2 · 11:25O. Melnik1.73118117113V. Kheresko2.0081181192LSep 2 · 09:55V. Kheresko3.001091351D. Kozoriz1.36121111113LSep 2 · 07:55O. Maksymkiv1.44911112113V. Kheresko2.6311871172
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