TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12415614
Played Aug 13Finished
Hryhoriy Oliynyk
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911811117911––
Danylo Kasian
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:31 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeHryhoriy Oliynyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingHryhoriy Oliynyk above · Danylo Kasian below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 77 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Hryhoriy Oliynyk at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
H2H Hryhoriy Oliynyk 0–1 Danylo Kasian Hryhoriy Oliynyk has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:31What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Oliynyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Oliynyk 1276 vs Kasian 1245
Oliynyk
Wrong
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oliynyk 60% vs Kasian 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oliynyk 40% vs Kasian 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Oliynyk +3 · Kasian +1
Oliynyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Oliynyk) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kasian form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOliynyk 1.53 / Kasian 2.38
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Oliynyk)-5.5pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #12415614
Oliynyk1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 23 of 36
Up 2–0, closes it88% 15 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it73% 19 of 26
Kasian2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog50% won 10 of 20
Down 0–1, comes back23% 3 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back10% 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeOliynyk0wins
AwayKasian1wins
Kasian leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricOliynykKasianO − KBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match37.040.0−3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOliynykKasianBasisWin rate · lifetime113 / 223 vs 14 / 2850.7%50%113 / 223 vs 14 / 28Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.537.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OliynykOliynyk 1.53/Kasian 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.3%
Oliynyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kasian won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 13 · 18:55H. Oliynyk—981191D. Kasian—11117113
H. Oliynyk10
WSep 7 · 07:25H. Oliynyk1.5311911113V. Kheresko2.38811861WSep 7 · 05:55H. Oliynyk3.40812711113S. Kryvoshyi1.30111011772LSep 7 · 04:25H. Oliynyk1.308950V. Salivonchyk3.401111113LAug 27 · 18:25H. Oliynyk1.224860D. Belanchik4.001111113WAug 27 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi3.001129101H. Oliynyk1.3671111123WAug 27 · 15:25H. Oliynyk1.221111113M. Treschetka4.006460WAug 27 · 14:25M. Dunas2.384111091H. Oliynyk1.5311912113WAug 27 · 12:55H. Oliynyk1.2841111113O. Maksymkiv3.50113681WAug 13 · 16:55M. Treschetka4.3311651142H. Oliynyk1.20511115113WAug 13 · 14:55O. Maslovskyi2.635660H. Oliynyk1.441111113
D. Kasian10
WAug 25 · 18:25D. Kasian3.001011116123V. Kheresko1.36128811102WAug 25 · 16:25S. Kryvoshyi1.83115116112D. Kasian1.83911811133LAug 25 · 15:25D. Kasian2.10813421D. Kozoriz1.67111111113WAug 25 · 14:25A. Didyk1.7310890D. Kasian2.001211113LAug 25 · 12:55D. Kasian2.0011811562D. Ponomarenko1.73611811113WAug 24 · 10:55M. Vivatenko2.251110361D. Kasian1.5791211113LAug 24 · 09:55V. Salivonchyk2.10101111123D. Kasian1.671285101WAug 24 · 08:25D. Belanchik2.257880D. Kasian1.571111113LAug 24 · 06:25O. Maslovskyi2.20711912113D. Kasian1.61118111062WAug 24 · 04:25M. Treschetka3.007129101D. Kasian1.36111011123
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