TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12481680
Played Aug 24Finished
Oleksandr Maslovskyi
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7111189111210116
Danylo Kasian
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:39 and never touched — 60.7% is still 60.7%
Graded at full timeDanylo Kasian to win
60.7%
60.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Maslovskyi above · Danylo Kasian below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 96 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Danylo Kasian at 60.7%
96 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Maslovskyi 5–5 Danylo Kasian Dead even across their 10 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:39What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kasian
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-5 in 10
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maslovskyi 1158 vs Kasian 1298
Kasian
Wrong
both rated, 140 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maslovskyi 60% vs Kasian 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maslovskyi 50% vs Kasian 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Maslovskyi +3 · Kasian +2
Maslovskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Kasian)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maslovskyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaslovskyi 2.20 / Kasian 1.61
Signal prob.40% / 61%
Edge (Kasian)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #12481680
Maslovskyi2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 72 of 211
Down 0–1, comes back21% 30 of 142
Down 0–2, comes back8% 7 of 85
Kasian1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 15 of 27
Up 2–0, closes it86% 6 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it58% 7 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaslovskyi5wins
AwayKasian5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaslovskyi57.1%4 of 7
AwayKasian66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maslovskyi7Kasian3n = 10Maslovskyi took 7 of 10
S2Maslovskyi6Kasian4n = 10Maslovskyi took 6 of 10
S3Maslovskyi4Kasian6n = 10Kasian took 6 of 10
S4Maslovskyi4Kasian4n = 8split evenly
S5Maslovskyi1Kasian2n = 3Kasian took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaslovskyiKasianM − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.838.5+0.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaslovskyiKasianBasisWin rate · lifetime444 / 857 vs 32 / 5851.8%55.2%444 / 857 vs 32 / 58Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KasianMaslovskyi 2.20/Kasian 1.61
Miss
What we said
60.5%
Kasian · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Maslovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 24 · 06:25O. Maslovskyi—711912113D. Kasian—118111062
WAug 17 · 06:55O. Maslovskyi—13116113D. Kasian—1171141
LAug 16 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi—1151061D. Kasian—71112113
LAug 14 · 06:55O. Maslovskyi—114591D. Kasian—61111113
LAug 13 · 13:25O. Maslovskyi—1615411102D. Kasian—1417118123
LAug 9 · 15:55O. Maslovskyi—51211692D. Kasian—1110711113
WJul 30 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi—1111113D. Kasian—6750
LJul 29 · 17:29O. Maslovskyi—951131D. Kasian—11114113
WJul 29 · 12:55O. Maslovskyi—11128113D. Kasian—6101171
WJul 20 · 07:53O. Maslovskyi—1112113D. Kasian—61090
O. Maslovskyi10
WSep 3 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.73111287113V. Ivanytskyi2.00610111132WSep 3 · 08:55M. Dunas1.57118781O. Maslovskyi2.2591111113LSep 3 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi4.3391111672O. Maksymkiv1.20116611113WSep 3 · 06:55M. Treschetka2.0065111182O. Maslovskyi1.73111189113WSep 3 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi1.36111116113A. Nikolenko3.00471841LSep 2 · 18:55O. Maslovskyi2.00241181M. Dunas1.7311119113WSep 2 · 16:55A. Nikolenko3.00155331O. Maslovskyi1.36131111113LSep 2 · 14:55M. Treschetka2.2051111113O. Maslovskyi1.61115471LSep 2 · 13:55O. Maslovskyi1.50117541V. Ivanytskyi2.5071111113LSep 2 · 12:55Y. Melnyk2.75129117113O. Maslovskyi1.40101131172
D. Kasian10
WAug 25 · 18:25D. Kasian3.001011116123V. Kheresko1.36128811102WAug 25 · 16:25S. Kryvoshyi1.83115116112D. Kasian1.83911811133LAug 25 · 15:25D. Kasian2.10813421D. Kozoriz1.67111111113WAug 25 · 14:25A. Didyk1.7310890D. Kasian2.001211113LAug 25 · 12:55D. Kasian2.0011811562D. Ponomarenko1.73611811113WAug 24 · 10:55M. Vivatenko2.251110361D. Kasian1.5791211113LAug 24 · 09:55V. Salivonchyk2.10101111123D. Kasian1.671285101WAug 24 · 08:25D. Belanchik2.257880D. Kasian1.571111113WAug 24 · 04:25M. Treschetka3.007129101D. Kasian1.36111011123WAug 23 · 18:55D. Belanchik2.00111167102D. Kasian1.73371111123
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