TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13006754
Played Aug 25Finished
Serhii Kryvoshyi
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1195111186111113
Danylo Kasian
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:09 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeSerhii Kryvoshyi to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingSerhii Kryvoshyi above · Danylo Kasian below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 96 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Serhii Kryvoshyi at 57.0%
96 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Kryvoshyi 0–1 Danylo Kasian Serhii Kryvoshyi has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:09What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kasian
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kryvoshyi 1270 vs Kasian 1281
Kasian
Correct
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kryvoshyi 20% vs Kasian 40%
Kasian
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kryvoshyi 30% vs Kasian 50%
Kasian
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kryvoshyi -2 · Kasian -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kryvoshyi) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kasian form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKryvoshyi 1.83 / Kasian 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kryvoshyi)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13006754
Kryvoshyi1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Kasian1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKryvoshyi0wins
AwayKasian1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderKasian leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKryvoshyiKasianKryvoshyi − KasianBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match44.052.0−8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKryvoshyiKasianBasisWin rate · lifetime261 / 557 vs 31 / 5746.9%54.4%261 / 557 vs 31 / 57Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.738.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryvoshyiKryvoshyi 1.83/Kasian 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kryvoshyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kasian won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 25 · 16:25S. Kryvoshyi—115116112D. Kasian—911811133
S. Kryvoshyi10
WSep 7 · 07:55O. Maksymkiv2.101021521S. Kryvoshyi1.67121113113LSep 7 · 05:55H. Oliynyk3.40812711113S. Kryvoshyi1.30111011772WSep 7 · 04:55M. Treschetka4.338670S. Kryvoshyi1.201111113LSep 6 · 18:25S. Kryvoshyi1.40881151O. Maksymkiv2.7511118113LSep 6 · 16:25O. Sapuzhak2.00111011113S. Kryvoshyi1.73812181LSep 6 · 15:25S. Kryvoshyi1.5341111752V. Kheresko2.38118811113WSep 6 · 14:25V. Salivonchyk4.0011115382S. Kryvoshyi1.22591111113WSep 6 · 12:55S. Kryvoshyi1.22111173M. Treschetka4.003520LSep 2 · 10:25S. Kryvoshyi2.0051111111A. Didyk1.7311134133LSep 2 · 08:55S. Kryvoshyi1.251011131062O. Maksymkiv3.751271112113
D. Kasian10
WAug 25 · 18:25D. Kasian3.001011116123V. Kheresko1.36128811102LAug 25 · 15:25D. Kasian2.10813421D. Kozoriz1.67111111113WAug 25 · 14:25A. Didyk1.7310890D. Kasian2.001211113LAug 25 · 12:55D. Kasian2.0011811562D. Ponomarenko1.73611811113WAug 24 · 10:55M. Vivatenko2.251110361D. Kasian1.5791211113LAug 24 · 09:55V. Salivonchyk2.10101111123D. Kasian1.671285101WAug 24 · 08:25D. Belanchik2.257880D. Kasian1.571111113LAug 24 · 06:25O. Maslovskyi2.20711912113D. Kasian1.61118111062WAug 24 · 04:25M. Treschetka3.007129101D. Kasian1.36111011123WAug 23 · 18:55D. Belanchik2.00111167102D. Kasian1.73371111123
Upcoming Matches
S. Kryvoshyi
D. Kasian
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