TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12481780
Played Aug 24Finished
Mykolay Treschetka
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
71112109111012––
Danylo Kasian
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:37 and never touched — 71.8% is still 71.8%
Graded at full timeDanylo Kasian to win
71.8%
71.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykolay Treschetka above · Danylo Kasian below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 82 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Danylo Kasian at 71.8%
82 points played in total.
H2H Mykolay Treschetka 3–6 Danylo Kasian Mykolay Treschetka has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:37What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Kasian
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-6 in 9
Kasian
Correct
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Treschetka 1183 vs Kasian 1264
Kasian
Correct
both rated, 81 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Treschetka 20% vs Kasian 60%
Kasian
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Treschetka 40% vs Kasian 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Treschetka -3 · Kasian +1
Treschetka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Kasian)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kasian form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTreschetka 3.00 / Kasian 1.36
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Kasian)+3.0pp
Setka Cup · #12481780
Treschetka3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 91 of 219
Down 0–1, comes back21% 24 of 116
Down 0–2, comes back11% 8 of 73
Kasian1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite53% won 9 of 17
Up 2–0, closes it80% 4 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it57% 4 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeTreschetka3wins
AwayKasian6wins
3 of 9 to a deciderKasian leads 6–3, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTreschetka25%1 of 4
AwayKasian60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Treschetka4Kasian5n = 9Kasian took 5 of 9
S2Treschetka3Kasian6n = 9Kasian took 6 of 9
S3Treschetka4Kasian5n = 9Kasian took 5 of 9
S4Treschetka2Kasian3n = 5Kasian took 3 of 5
S5Treschetka1Kasian2n = 3Kasian took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away333%
These 9 meetings
MetricTreschetkaKasianT − KBasisWins36−3in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match33.338.2−4.9per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTreschetkaKasianBasisWin rate · lifetime478 / 953 vs 26 / 4850.2%54.2%478 / 953 vs 26 / 48Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KasianTreschetka 3.00/Kasian 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.8%
Kasian · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kasian won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 23 · 12:25M. Treschetka—8650D. Kasian—1111113
WAug 17 · 10:25M. Treschetka—51111113D. Kasian—118691
LAug 16 · 12:55M. Treschetka—7750D. Kasian—1111113
WAug 14 · 10:25M. Treschetka—621111153D. Kasian—111139132
LAug 13 · 12:25M. Treschetka—1138101D. Kasian—91111123
LAug 10 · 08:25M. Treschetka—9880D. Kasian—1111113
LAug 9 · 18:25M. Treschetka—11129992D. Kasian—6101111113
LJul 30 · 04:25M. Treschetka—11511752D. Kasian—911911113
WJul 29 · 11:55M. Treschetka—1111113D. Kasian—9390
M. Treschetka10
LSep 7 · 08:25M. Treschetka2.101110731V. Salivonchyk1.6761211113LSep 7 · 06:55M. Treschetka1.404911111O. Maksymkiv2.7511116133LSep 7 · 04:55M. Treschetka4.338670S. Kryvoshyi1.201111113LSep 6 · 18:55M. Treschetka2.10861241V. Kheresko1.67111110113WSep 6 · 16:55V. Salivonchyk1.73771181M. Treschetka2.0011111103WSep 6 · 14:55O. Sapuzhak2.38116841M. Treschetka1.5381111113WSep 6 · 13:55M. Treschetka1.3611911113O. Maksymkiv3.00611861LSep 6 · 12:55S. Kryvoshyi1.22111173M. Treschetka4.003520WSep 3 · 10:25M. Dunas2.206780M. Treschetka1.611111113WSep 3 · 09:25M. Treschetka1.67711119163A. Nikolenko2.10118811142
D. Kasian10
WAug 25 · 18:25D. Kasian3.001011116123V. Kheresko1.36128811102WAug 25 · 16:25S. Kryvoshyi1.83115116112D. Kasian1.83911811133LAug 25 · 15:25D. Kasian2.10813421D. Kozoriz1.67111111113WAug 25 · 14:25A. Didyk1.7310890D. Kasian2.001211113LAug 25 · 12:55D. Kasian2.0011811562D. Ponomarenko1.73611811113WAug 24 · 10:55M. Vivatenko2.251110361D. Kasian1.5791211113LAug 24 · 09:55V. Salivonchyk2.10101111123D. Kasian1.671285101WAug 24 · 08:25D. Belanchik2.257880D. Kasian1.571111113LAug 24 · 06:25O. Maslovskyi2.20711912113D. Kasian1.61118111062WAug 23 · 18:55D. Belanchik2.00111167102D. Kasian1.73371111123
Upcoming Matches
M. Treschetka
D. Kasian
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