TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13006776
Played Aug 25Finished
Danylo Kasian
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
10121181186111210
Vsevolod Kheresko
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:09 and never touched — 68.8% is still 68.8%
Graded at full timeVsevolod Kheresko to win
68.8%
68.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDanylo Kasian above · Vsevolod Kheresko below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 99 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Vsevolod Kheresko at 68.8%
99 points played in total.
H2H Danylo Kasian 0–2 Vsevolod Kheresko Danylo Kasian has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:09What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Kheresko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kasian 1281 vs Kheresko 1215
Kasian
Correct
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kasian 60% vs Kheresko 20%
Kasian
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kasian 60% vs Kheresko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kasian +1 · Kheresko -4
Kheresko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Kheresko) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kheresko form (20%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKasian 3.00 / Kheresko 1.36
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Kheresko)-5.5pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13006776
Kasian3.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog56% won 14 of 25
Down 0–1, comes back29% 4 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back10% 1 of 10
Kheresko1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 96 of 140
Up 2–0, closes it92% 61 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it79% 79 of 100
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKasian0wins
AwayKheresko2wins
Kheresko leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away2
These 2 meetings
MetricKasianKhereskoKasian − KhereskoBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match22.535.5−13.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKasianKhereskoBasisWin rate · lifetime31 / 57 vs 197 / 38954.4%50.6%31 / 57 vs 197 / 389Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhereskoKasian 3.00/Kheresko 1.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.3%
Kheresko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kasian won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 10 · 09:55D. Kasian—11760V. Kheresko—1311113
LJul 20 · 11:25D. Kasian—81120V. Kheresko—1111143
D. Kasian10
WAug 25 · 16:25S. Kryvoshyi1.83115116112D. Kasian1.83911811133LAug 25 · 15:25D. Kasian2.10813421D. Kozoriz1.67111111113WAug 25 · 14:25A. Didyk1.7310890D. Kasian2.001211113LAug 25 · 12:55D. Kasian2.0011811562D. Ponomarenko1.73611811113WAug 24 · 10:55M. Vivatenko2.251110361D. Kasian1.5791211113LAug 24 · 09:55V. Salivonchyk2.10101111123D. Kasian1.671285101WAug 24 · 08:25D. Belanchik2.257880D. Kasian1.571111113LAug 24 · 06:25O. Maslovskyi2.20711912113D. Kasian1.61118111062WAug 24 · 04:25M. Treschetka3.007129101D. Kasian1.36111011123WAug 23 · 18:55D. Belanchik2.00111167102D. Kasian1.73371111123
V. Kheresko10
LSep 7 · 07:25H. Oliynyk1.5311911113V. Kheresko2.38811861WSep 7 · 06:25V. Kheresko1.80101112113V. Salivonchyk1.911271071WSep 7 · 05:25O. Maksymkiv1.4410940V. Kheresko2.631211113WSep 6 · 18:55M. Treschetka2.10861241V. Kheresko1.67111110113LSep 6 · 17:25V. Kheresko2.5011118141O. Maksymkiv1.5013711163WSep 6 · 15:25S. Kryvoshyi1.5341111752V. Kheresko2.38118811113WSep 6 · 13:25O. Sapuzhak3.50611641V. Kheresko1.2811911113LSep 6 · 12:25V. Salivonchyk2.00126811113V. Kheresko1.73101111472LSep 2 · 11:25O. Melnik1.73118117113V. Kheresko2.0081181192LSep 2 · 09:55V. Kheresko3.001091351D. Kozoriz1.36121111113
Upcoming Matches
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V. Kheresko
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