TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12415518
Played Aug 13Finished
Hryhoriy Oliynyk
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119118114––––
Oleh Maksymkiv
Away
3.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:32 and never touched — 67.9% is still 67.9%
Graded at full timeHryhoriy Oliynyk to win
67.9%
67.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingHryhoriy Oliynyk above · Oleh Maksymkiv below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 54 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Hryhoriy Oliynyk at 67.9%
54 points played in total.
H2H Hryhoriy Oliynyk 8–1 Oleh Maksymkiv Oleh Maksymkiv has won 1 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:32What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Oliynyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-1 in 9
Oliynyk
Correct
gap of 7 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Oliynyk 1240 vs Maksymkiv 1270
Maksymkiv
Wrong
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oliynyk 0% vs Maksymkiv 60%
Maksymkiv
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oliynyk 20% vs Maksymkiv 60%
Maksymkiv
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Oliynyk -5 · Maksymkiv +2
Oliynyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Oliynyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maksymkiv form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOliynyk 1.33 / Maksymkiv 3.25
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Oliynyk)-3.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #12415518
Oliynyk1.33
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 23 of 36
Up 2–0, closes it88% 15 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it73% 19 of 26
Maksymkiv3.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 62 of 146
Down 0–1, comes back24% 19 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeOliynyk8wins
AwayMaksymkiv1wins
2 of 9 to a deciderOliynyk leads 8–1, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOliynyk100%7 of 7
AwayMaksymkivn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oliynyk7Maksymkiv2n = 9Oliynyk took 7 of 9
S2Oliynyk7Maksymkiv2n = 9Oliynyk took 7 of 9
S3Oliynyk8Maksymkiv1n = 9Oliynyk took 8 of 9
S4Oliynyk3Maksymkiv1n = 4Oliynyk took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home556%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricOliynykMaksymkivO − MBasisWins81+7in 9 meetingsFirst set72+5of 9Avg pointsper match38.626.1+12.5per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOliynykMaksymkivBasisWin rate · lifetime110 / 219 vs 347 / 65850.2%52.7%110 / 219 vs 347 / 658Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.437.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OliynykOliynyk 1.33/Maksymkiv 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.9%
Oliynyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Oliynyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WJul 15 · 08:25H. Oliynyk—1111113O. Maksymkiv—7330
WJul 1 · 05:55H. Oliynyk—651111113O. Maksymkiv—11117482
LJun 24 · 04:25H. Oliynyk—711117142O. Maksymkiv—115711163
WJun 17 · 08:55H. Oliynyk—1311113O. Maksymkiv—11550
WJun 5 · 06:55H. Oliynyk—1111113O. Maksymkiv—5840
WApr 23 · 15:55H. Oliynyk—111111113O. Maksymkiv—481351
WApr 2 · 13:55H. Oliynyk—1111113O. Maksymkiv—8670
WDec 3 · 14:25H. Oliynyk—11911113O. Maksymkiv—211781
WNov 10 · 18:55H. Oliynyk—1111113O. Maksymkiv—4640
H. Oliynyk10
WSep 7 · 07:25H. Oliynyk1.5311911113V. Kheresko2.38811861WSep 7 · 05:55H. Oliynyk3.40812711113S. Kryvoshyi1.30111011772LSep 7 · 04:25H. Oliynyk1.308950V. Salivonchyk3.401111113LAug 27 · 18:25H. Oliynyk1.224860D. Belanchik4.001111113WAug 27 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi3.001129101H. Oliynyk1.3671111123WAug 27 · 15:25H. Oliynyk1.221111113M. Treschetka4.006460WAug 27 · 14:25M. Dunas2.384111091H. Oliynyk1.5311912113WAug 27 · 12:55H. Oliynyk1.2841111113O. Maksymkiv3.50113681LAug 13 · 18:55H. Oliynyk1.53981191D. Kasian2.3811117113WAug 13 · 16:55M. Treschetka4.3311651142H. Oliynyk1.20511115113
O. Maksymkiv10
LSep 7 · 07:55O. Maksymkiv2.101021521S. Kryvoshyi1.67121113113WSep 7 · 06:55M. Treschetka1.404911111O. Maksymkiv2.7511116133LSep 7 · 05:25O. Maksymkiv1.4410940V. Kheresko2.631211113WSep 6 · 18:25S. Kryvoshyi1.40881151O. Maksymkiv2.7511118113WSep 6 · 17:25V. Kheresko2.5011118141O. Maksymkiv1.5013711163WSep 6 · 15:55V. Salivonchyk1.9111196892O. Maksymkiv1.807171111113LSep 6 · 13:55M. Treschetka1.3611911113O. Maksymkiv3.00611861WSep 6 · 11:55O. Sapuzhak2.009111181O. Maksymkiv1.7311136113LSep 3 · 11:25A. Nikolenko3.25121211113O. Maksymkiv1.331410141LAug 27 · 12:55H. Oliynyk1.2841111113O. Maksymkiv3.50113681
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