TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055399
Played Sep 1Finished
Denys Kozoriz
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911116114113––
Vsevolod Kheresko
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:46 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeDenys Kozoriz to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDenys Kozoriz above · Vsevolod Kheresko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 66 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Denys Kozoriz at 60.1%
66 points played in total.
H2H Denys Kozoriz 3–2 Vsevolod Kheresko Vsevolod Kheresko has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:46What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kozoriz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kozoriz 1318 vs Kheresko 1227
Kozoriz
Correct
both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kozoriz 20% vs Kheresko 60%
Kheresko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kozoriz 50% vs Kheresko 30%
Kozoriz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kozoriz -4 · Kheresko -1
Kozoriz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Kozoriz) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kheresko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKozoriz 1.50 / Kheresko 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Kozoriz)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13055399
Kozoriz1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite65% won 58 of 89
Up 2–0, closes it93% 39 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it83% 49 of 59
Kheresko2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 56 of 142
Down 0–1, comes back24% 19 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKozoriz3wins
AwayKheresko2wins
Kozoriz leads 3–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKozoriz75%3 of 4
AwayKhereskon = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kozoriz4Kheresko1n = 5Kozoriz took 4 of 5
S2Kozoriz3Kheresko2n = 5Kozoriz took 3 of 5
S3Kozoriz2Kheresko3n = 5Kheresko took 3 of 5
S4Kozoriz2Kheresko2n = 4split evenly
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricKozorizKhereskoKozoriz − KhereskoBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match36.430.0+6.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKozorizKhereskoBasisWin rate · lifetime270 / 513 vs 200 / 39552.6%50.6%270 / 513 vs 200 / 395Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match34.337.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KozorizKozoriz 1.50/Kheresko 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.7%
Kozoriz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kozoriz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 26 · 06:55D. Kozoriz—116541V. Kheresko—91111113
WAug 25 · 17:25D. Kozoriz—11119113V. Kheresko—671151
LAug 12 · 08:25D. Kozoriz—9111181V. Kheresko—11132113
WAug 11 · 12:25D. Kozoriz—1111113V. Kheresko—6420
WDec 18 · 19:55D. Kozoriz—11119113V. Kheresko—391171
D. Kozoriz10
WSep 2 · 10:55O. Maksymkiv3.75113611D. Kozoriz1.2581111113WSep 2 · 09:55V. Kheresko3.001091351D. Kozoriz1.36121111113LSep 2 · 08:25A. Didyk1.91471211113D. Kozoriz1.80111110882WSep 2 · 06:25O. Melnik1.8011113792D. Kozoriz1.91001111113LSep 2 · 04:25S. Kryvoshyi2.251111113D. Kozoriz1.576370LSep 1 · 17:55D. Kozoriz1.73881181A. Didyk2.0011112113WSep 1 · 16:25D. Kozoriz1.911111113K. Tkachenko1.802520LSep 1 · 14:55D. Kozoriz2.00118251O. Melnik1.7361111113WSep 1 · 13:25D. Kozoriz1.5711911113S. Kryvoshyi2.25511681LAug 26 · 08:25R. Mazur2.10815712113D. Kozoriz1.671113111072
V. Kheresko10
LSep 7 · 07:25H. Oliynyk1.5311911113V. Kheresko2.38811861WSep 7 · 06:25V. Kheresko1.80101112113V. Salivonchyk1.911271071WSep 7 · 05:25O. Maksymkiv1.4410940V. Kheresko2.631211113WSep 6 · 18:55M. Treschetka2.10861241V. Kheresko1.67111110113LSep 6 · 17:25V. Kheresko2.5011118141O. Maksymkiv1.5013711163WSep 6 · 15:25S. Kryvoshyi1.5341111752V. Kheresko2.38118811113WSep 6 · 13:25O. Sapuzhak3.50611641V. Kheresko1.2811911113LSep 6 · 12:25V. Salivonchyk2.00126811113V. Kheresko1.73101111472LSep 2 · 11:25O. Melnik1.73118117113V. Kheresko2.0081181192LSep 2 · 09:55V. Kheresko3.001091351D. Kozoriz1.36121111113
Upcoming Matches
D. Kozoriz
Nothing scheduled
V. Kheresko
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.