TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13017939
Played Aug 26Finished
Andriy Didyk
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6114111012––––
Dmytro Ponomarenko
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingAndriy Didyk above · Dmytro Ponomarenko below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 54 set 3, 10-12
54 points played in total.
H2H Andriy Didyk 0–2 Dmytro Ponomarenko Andriy Didyk has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Ponomarenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ponomarenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDidyk 2.25 / Ponomarenko 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Ponomarenko)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13017939
Didyk2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 52 of 121
Down 0–1, comes back25% 16 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 36
Ponomarenko1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 13 of 24
Up 2–0, closes it80% 4 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it67% 10 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeDidyk0wins
AwayPonomarenko2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderPonomarenko leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricDidykPonomarenkoD − PBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match29.039.5−10.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDidykPonomarenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime216 / 461 vs 31 / 7646.9%40.8%216 / 461 vs 31 / 76Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match34.736.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PonomarenkoDidyk 2.25/Ponomarenko 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Ponomarenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Ponomarenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 26 · 08:55A. Didyk—4760D. Ponomarenko—1111113
LAug 25 · 16:55A. Didyk—11116852D. Ponomarenko—491111113
A. Didyk10
WSep 2 · 10:25S. Kryvoshyi2.0051111111A. Didyk1.7311134133WSep 2 · 09:25A. Didyk1.57127129113O. Melnik2.251011101162WSep 2 · 08:25A. Didyk1.91471211113D. Kozoriz1.80111110882WSep 2 · 06:55A. Didyk1.44113811113O. Maksymkiv2.6391111682WSep 2 · 04:55A. Didyk1.4071112113V. Kheresko2.751181061WSep 1 · 17:55D. Kozoriz1.73881181A. Didyk2.0011112113WSep 1 · 16:55A. Didyk1.611161110113O. Melnik2.2081171262WSep 1 · 15:55A. Didyk1.36911118113V. Kheresko3.0011881162LSep 1 · 14:25A. Didyk2.20611121092K. Tkachenko1.611161012113WSep 1 · 12:25A. Didyk1.731011511183S. Kryvoshyi2.00128119162
D. Ponomarenko10
WAug 26 · 08:55D. Ponomarenko1.671111113A. Didyk2.104760LAug 26 · 07:55D. Ponomarenko1.83611111072V. Kheresko1.83118812113LAug 26 · 06:25D. Ponomarenko1.578680R. Mazur2.251111113WAug 26 · 05:25D. Ponomarenko1.831111113D. Kozoriz1.836860LAug 25 · 18:55D. Ponomarenko1.91561131D. Kozoriz1.8011116113WAug 25 · 16:55A. Didyk1.8311116852D. Ponomarenko1.83491111113WAug 25 · 14:55S. Kryvoshyi1.831431161D. Ponomarenko1.8316116113WAug 25 · 13:55D. Ponomarenko2.001111311113V. Kheresko1.7313611592WAug 25 · 12:55D. Kasian2.0011811562D. Ponomarenko1.73611811113LAug 9 · 17:40V. Ziakun3.5071111113D. Ponomarenko1.28113861
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