TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13015991
Played Aug 26Finished
Dmytro Ponomarenko
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114117116––––
Andriy Didyk
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:50 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeDmytro Ponomarenko to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Ponomarenko above · Andriy Didyk below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 50 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Dmytro Ponomarenko at 56.6%
50 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Ponomarenko 1–0 Andriy Didyk Andriy Didyk has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:50What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Ponomarenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Ponomarenko 1370 vs Didyk 1344
Ponomarenko
Correct
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ponomarenko 40% vs Didyk 60%
Didyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ponomarenko 60% vs Didyk 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ponomarenko -2 · Didyk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Ponomarenko) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Didyk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPonomarenko 1.67 / Didyk 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Ponomarenko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13015991
Ponomarenko1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 13 of 24
Up 2–0, closes it80% 4 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it67% 10 of 15
Didyk2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 52 of 121
Down 0–1, comes back25% 16 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePonomarenko1wins
AwayDidyk0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderPonomarenko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPonomarenkoDidykP − DBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match46.041.0+5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPonomarenkoDidykBasisWin rate · lifetime30 / 75 vs 216 / 46040%47%30 / 75 vs 216 / 460Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.434.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PonomarenkoPonomarenko 1.67/Didyk 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Ponomarenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Ponomarenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 25 · 16:55D. Ponomarenko—491111113A. Didyk—11116852
D. Ponomarenko10
WAug 26 · 09:55A. Didyk2.2564100D. Ponomarenko1.571111123LAug 26 · 07:55D. Ponomarenko1.83611111072V. Kheresko1.83118812113LAug 26 · 06:25D. Ponomarenko1.578680R. Mazur2.251111113WAug 26 · 05:25D. Ponomarenko1.831111113D. Kozoriz1.836860LAug 25 · 18:55D. Ponomarenko1.91561131D. Kozoriz1.8011116113WAug 25 · 16:55A. Didyk1.8311116852D. Ponomarenko1.83491111113WAug 25 · 14:55S. Kryvoshyi1.831431161D. Ponomarenko1.8316116113WAug 25 · 13:55D. Ponomarenko2.001111311113V. Kheresko1.7313611592WAug 25 · 12:55D. Kasian2.0011811562D. Ponomarenko1.73611811113LAug 9 · 17:40V. Ziakun3.5071111113D. Ponomarenko1.28113861
A. Didyk10
WSep 2 · 10:25S. Kryvoshyi2.0051111111A. Didyk1.7311134133WSep 2 · 09:25A. Didyk1.57127129113O. Melnik2.251011101162WSep 2 · 08:25A. Didyk1.91471211113D. Kozoriz1.80111110882WSep 2 · 06:55A. Didyk1.44113811113O. Maksymkiv2.6391111682WSep 2 · 04:55A. Didyk1.4071112113V. Kheresko2.751181061WSep 1 · 17:55D. Kozoriz1.73881181A. Didyk2.0011112113WSep 1 · 16:55A. Didyk1.611161110113O. Melnik2.2081171262WSep 1 · 15:55A. Didyk1.36911118113V. Kheresko3.0011881162LAug 26 · 09:55A. Didyk2.2564100D. Ponomarenko1.571111123LAug 25 · 16:55A. Didyk1.8311116852D. Ponomarenko1.83491111113
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