TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13006785
Played Aug 25Finished
Andriy Didyk
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
114119611811511
Dmytro Ponomarenko
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:10 and never touched — 55.5% is still 55.5%
Graded at full timeDmytro Ponomarenko to win
55.5%
55.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndriy Didyk above · Dmytro Ponomarenko below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 87 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Dmytro Ponomarenko at 55.5%
87 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:10What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Ponomarenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Didyk 1353 vs Ponomarenko 1415
Ponomarenko
Correct
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Didyk 80% vs Ponomarenko 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Didyk 80% vs Ponomarenko 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Didyk +1 · Ponomarenko +3
Ponomarenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Ponomarenko) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ponomarenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDidyk 1.83 / Ponomarenko 1.83
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Ponomarenko)+7.0pp
Setka Cup · #13006785
Didyk1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Ponomarenko1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricDidykPonomarenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime213 / 455 vs 28 / 7046.8%40%213 / 455 vs 28 / 70Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match34.736.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PonomarenkoDidyk 1.83/Ponomarenko 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Ponomarenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Ponomarenko won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
A. Didyk10
WSep 2 · 10:25S. Kryvoshyi2.0051111111A. Didyk1.7311134133WSep 2 · 09:25A. Didyk1.57127129113O. Melnik2.251011101162WSep 2 · 08:25A. Didyk1.91471211113D. Kozoriz1.80111110882WSep 2 · 06:55A. Didyk1.44113811113O. Maksymkiv2.6391111682WSep 2 · 04:55A. Didyk1.4071112113V. Kheresko2.751181061WSep 1 · 17:55D. Kozoriz1.73881181A. Didyk2.0011112113WSep 1 · 16:55A. Didyk1.611161110113O. Melnik2.2081171262WSep 1 · 15:55A. Didyk1.36911118113V. Kheresko3.0011881162LSep 1 · 14:25A. Didyk2.20611121092K. Tkachenko1.611161012113WSep 1 · 12:25A. Didyk1.731011511183S. Kryvoshyi2.00128119162
D. Ponomarenko10
WAug 26 · 09:55A. Didyk2.2564100D. Ponomarenko1.571111123WAug 26 · 08:55D. Ponomarenko1.671111113A. Didyk2.104760LAug 26 · 07:55D. Ponomarenko1.83611111072V. Kheresko1.83118812113LAug 26 · 06:25D. Ponomarenko1.578680R. Mazur2.251111113WAug 26 · 05:25D. Ponomarenko1.831111113D. Kozoriz1.836860LAug 25 · 18:55D. Ponomarenko1.91561131D. Kozoriz1.8011116113WAug 25 · 14:55S. Kryvoshyi1.831431161D. Ponomarenko1.8316116113WAug 25 · 13:55D. Ponomarenko2.001111311113V. Kheresko1.7313611592WAug 25 · 12:55D. Kasian2.0011811562D. Ponomarenko1.73611811113LAug 9 · 17:40V. Ziakun3.5071111113D. Ponomarenko1.28113861
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.