TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13006829
Played Aug 25Finished
Dmytro Ponomarenko
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1113116311115119
Vsevolod Kheresko
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:11 and never touched — 57.3% is still 57.3%
Graded at full timeDmytro Ponomarenko to win
57.3%
57.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Ponomarenko above · Vsevolod Kheresko below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 91 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Dmytro Ponomarenko at 57.3%
91 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:11What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kheresko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Ponomarenko 1390 vs Kheresko 1240
Ponomarenko
Correct
both rated, 150 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ponomarenko 60% vs Kheresko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ponomarenko 60% vs Kheresko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ponomarenko +1 · Kheresko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Ponomarenko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPonomarenko 2.00 / Kheresko 1.73
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Ponomarenko)+11.0pp
Setka Cup · #13006829
Ponomarenko2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog30% won 13 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back7% 2 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 21
Kheresko1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 96 of 140
Up 2–0, closes it92% 61 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it79% 79 of 100
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricPonomarenkoKhereskoBasisWin rate · lifetime26 / 68 vs 197 / 38638.2%51%26 / 68 vs 197 / 386Avg sets wonper match1.72.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PonomarenkoPonomarenko 2.00/Kheresko 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.3%
Ponomarenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Ponomarenko won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Ponomarenko10
WAug 26 · 09:55A. Didyk2.2564100D. Ponomarenko1.571111123WAug 26 · 08:55D. Ponomarenko1.671111113A. Didyk2.104760LAug 26 · 07:55D. Ponomarenko1.83611111072V. Kheresko1.83118812113LAug 26 · 06:25D. Ponomarenko1.578680R. Mazur2.251111113WAug 26 · 05:25D. Ponomarenko1.831111113D. Kozoriz1.836860LAug 25 · 18:55D. Ponomarenko1.91561131D. Kozoriz1.8011116113WAug 25 · 16:55A. Didyk1.8311116852D. Ponomarenko1.83491111113WAug 25 · 14:55S. Kryvoshyi1.831431161D. Ponomarenko1.8316116113WAug 25 · 12:55D. Kasian2.0011811562D. Ponomarenko1.73611811113LAug 9 · 17:40V. Ziakun3.5071111113D. Ponomarenko1.28113861
V. Kheresko10
LSep 7 · 07:25H. Oliynyk1.5311911113V. Kheresko2.38811861WSep 7 · 06:25V. Kheresko1.80101112113V. Salivonchyk1.911271071WSep 7 · 05:25O. Maksymkiv1.4410940V. Kheresko2.631211113WSep 6 · 18:55M. Treschetka2.10861241V. Kheresko1.67111110113LSep 6 · 17:25V. Kheresko2.5011118141O. Maksymkiv1.5013711163WSep 6 · 15:25S. Kryvoshyi1.5341111752V. Kheresko2.38118811113WSep 6 · 13:25O. Sapuzhak3.50611641V. Kheresko1.2811911113LSep 6 · 12:25V. Salivonchyk2.00126811113V. Kheresko1.73101111472LSep 2 · 11:25O. Melnik1.73118117113V. Kheresko2.0081181192WAug 26 · 07:55D. Ponomarenko1.83611111072V. Kheresko1.83118812113
Upcoming Matches
D. Ponomarenko
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V. Kheresko
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