TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12391287
Played Aug 9Finished
Viktor Ziakun
Home
3.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711113118116––
Dmytro Ponomarenko
Away
1.29
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingViktor Ziakun above · Dmytro Ponomarenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 68 set 4, 11-6
68 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Ziakun 3–4 Dmytro Ponomarenko Viktor Ziakun has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Ponomarenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ponomarenko form (60%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZiakun 3.50 / Ponomarenko 1.28
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Ponomarenko)+1.0pp
Setka Cup · #12391287
Ziakun3.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog24% won 19 of 78
Down 0–1, comes back14% 6 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 28
Ponomarenko1.28
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 10 of 18
Up 2–0, closes it80% 4 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it73% 8 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeZiakun3wins
AwayPonomarenko4wins
3 of 7 to a deciderPonomarenko leads 4–3, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZiakunn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayPonomarenko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ziakun2Ponomarenko5n = 7Ponomarenko took 5 of 7
S2Ziakun2Ponomarenko5n = 7Ponomarenko took 5 of 7
S3Ziakun5Ponomarenko2n = 7Ziakun took 5 of 7
S4Ziakun3Ponomarenko4n = 7Ponomarenko took 4 of 7
S5Ziakun2Ponomarenko1n = 3Ziakun took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away343%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricZiakunPonomarenkoZ − PBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match38.743.4−4.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZiakunPonomarenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime369 / 622 vs 24 / 6559.3%36.9%369 / 622 vs 24 / 65Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PonomarenkoZiakun 3.50/Ponomarenko 1.28
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
74.1%
Ponomarenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Ziakun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 9 · 12:00V. Ziakun—11611113D. Ponomarenko—811981
LAug 8 · 07:30V. Ziakun—10121071D. Ponomarenko—121012113
LAug 7 · 17:29V. Ziakun—951151D. Ponomarenko—11118113
LAug 7 · 15:00V. Ziakun—81181162D. Ponomarenko—116114113
WJul 14 · 06:30V. Ziakun—931114113D. Ponomarenko—111151282
LJul 1 · 11:00V. Ziakun—5101261D. Ponomarenko—111210113
WJun 26 · 09:00V. Ziakun—112113113D. Ponomarenko—81191192
V. Ziakun10
WSep 6 · 17:29R. Boklah4.508680V. Ziakun1.171111113LSep 6 · 16:30I. Serdiuk2.7511116113V. Ziakun1.40631141WSep 6 · 15:00V. Ziakun1.33111191093S. Priadko3.2557111262WSep 6 · 13:30V. Ziakun1.441311833I. Torhachov2.631141121WSep 6 · 12:00V. Ziakun1.171111113R. Boklah4.504680WSep 2 · 17:10V. Ziakun1.3311115123S. Priadko3.257711101WSep 2 · 15:30I. Torhachov2.637790V. Ziakun1.441111113LSep 2 · 14:30V. Ziakun3.25137981S. Miroshnychenko1.33111111113WSep 2 · 13:30S. Priadko3.251112951V. Ziakun1.3351411113LSep 2 · 12:30V. Ziakun1.1491111982R. Boklah5.00115411113
D. Ponomarenko10
WAug 26 · 09:55A. Didyk2.2564100D. Ponomarenko1.571111123WAug 26 · 08:55D. Ponomarenko1.671111113A. Didyk2.104760LAug 26 · 07:55D. Ponomarenko1.83611111072V. Kheresko1.83118812113LAug 26 · 06:25D. Ponomarenko1.578680R. Mazur2.251111113WAug 26 · 05:25D. Ponomarenko1.831111113D. Kozoriz1.836860LAug 25 · 18:55D. Ponomarenko1.91561131D. Kozoriz1.8011116113WAug 25 · 16:55A. Didyk1.8311116852D. Ponomarenko1.83491111113WAug 25 · 14:55S. Kryvoshyi1.831431161D. Ponomarenko1.8316116113WAug 25 · 13:55D. Ponomarenko2.001111311113V. Kheresko1.7313611592WAug 25 · 12:55D. Kasian2.0011811562D. Ponomarenko1.73611811113
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