TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084043
Played Sep 6Finished
Ihor Serdiuk
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116113611114––
Viktor Ziakun
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:49 and never touched — 68.7% is still 68.7%
Graded at full timeViktor Ziakun to win
68.7%
68.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingIhor Serdiuk above · Viktor Ziakun below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 63 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Viktor Ziakun at 68.7%
63 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Serdiuk 17–35 Viktor Ziakun Ihor Serdiuk has won 17 of their 52 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:49What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Ziakun
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-35 in 52
Ziakun
Wrong
gap of 18 in 52, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Serdiuk 1214 vs Ziakun 1416
Ziakun
Wrong
both rated, 202 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Serdiuk 20% vs Ziakun 100%
Ziakun
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Serdiuk 50% vs Ziakun 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Serdiuk -1 · Ziakun +5
Ziakun
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Ziakun) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ziakun form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSerdiuk 2.75 / Ziakun 1.40
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Ziakun)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13084043
Serdiuk2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 12 of 35
Down 0–1, comes back29% 7 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 12
Ziakun1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite80% won 170 of 212
Up 2–0, closes it95% 104 of 109
Up 1–0, closes it87% 136 of 156
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSerdiuk2wins
AwayZiakun8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZiakun leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSerdiuk50%2 of 4
AwayZiakun100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Serdiuk4Ziakun6n = 10Ziakun took 6 of 10
S2Serdiuk2Ziakun8n = 10Ziakun took 8 of 10
S3Serdiuk2Ziakun8n = 10Ziakun took 8 of 10
S4Serdiuk3Ziakun3n = 6split evenly
S5Serdiuk1Ziakun2n = 3Ziakun took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricSerdiukZiakunS − ZBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.040.1−7.1per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSerdiukZiakunBasisWin rate · lifetime230 / 348 vs 376 / 62666.1%60.1%230 / 348 vs 376 / 626Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.036.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZiakunSerdiuk 2.75/Ziakun 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.7%
Ziakun · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Serdiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 23 · 14:00I. Serdiuk—37111382V. Ziakun—1111611113
LAug 9 · 13:00I. Serdiuk—118100V. Ziakun—1311123
LAug 8 · 05:30I. Serdiuk—312111282V. Ziakun—1114810113
LJul 26 · 13:00I. Serdiuk—1135121V. Ziakun—61111143
LJul 24 · 16:30I. Serdiuk—116461V. Ziakun—41111113
LJul 19 · 16:30I. Serdiuk—8960V. Ziakun—1111113
LJun 28 · 17:13I. Serdiuk—9670V. Ziakun—1111113
WJun 28 · 15:30I. Serdiuk—1111612113V. Ziakun—69111482
LJun 21 · 15:30I. Serdiuk—5850V. Ziakun—1111113
WJun 7 · 17:29I. Serdiuk—11118113V. Ziakun—981171
I. Serdiuk10
WSep 6 · 17:00I. Torhachov2.2590I. Serdiuk1.57111LSep 6 · 15:30I. Serdiuk1.91671121I. Torhachov1.801111733WSep 6 · 14:00I. Serdiuk1.5711713113S. Priadko2.255111151LSep 6 · 13:00I. Serdiuk1.2081231182R. Boklah4.331110113113LSep 5 · 11:30I. Serdiuk1.2588100O. Kolos3.751111123LSep 5 · 09:30V. Ananiev3.401111113I. Serdiuk1.304980WSep 5 · 07:30Y. Priadko4.0091111101I. Serdiuk1.2211135123WSep 5 · 06:30I. Serdiuk1.2011119113R. Boklah4.33471151WSep 5 · 05:30A. Fastov2.75137761I. Serdiuk1.40111111113LAug 29 · 11:00I. Serdiuk1.83121160I. Torhachov1.83141393
V. Ziakun10
WSep 6 · 17:29R. Boklah4.508680V. Ziakun1.171111113WSep 6 · 15:00V. Ziakun1.33111191093S. Priadko3.2557111262WSep 6 · 13:30V. Ziakun1.441311833I. Torhachov2.631141121WSep 6 · 12:00V. Ziakun1.171111113R. Boklah4.504680WSep 2 · 17:10V. Ziakun1.3311115123S. Priadko3.257711101WSep 2 · 15:30I. Torhachov2.637790V. Ziakun1.441111113LSep 2 · 14:30V. Ziakun3.25137981S. Miroshnychenko1.33111111113WSep 2 · 13:30S. Priadko3.251112951V. Ziakun1.3351411113LSep 2 · 12:30V. Ziakun1.1491111982R. Boklah5.00115411113LSep 1 · 11:30V. Ziakun3.403880D. Kuzmenko1.301111113
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