TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084525
Played Sep 6Finished
Viktor Ziakun
Home
1.17
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114116118––––
Roman Boklah
Away
4.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:49 and never touched — 85.6% is still 85.6%
Graded at full timeViktor Ziakun to win
85.6%
85.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViktor Ziakun above · Roman Boklah below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 51 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Viktor Ziakun at 85.6%
51 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Ziakun 107–18 Roman Boklah Roman Boklah has won 18 of their 125 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:49What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Ziakun
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
107-18 in 125
Ziakun
Correct
gap of 89 in 125, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ziakun 1353 vs Boklah 1108
Ziakun
Correct
both rated, 245 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ziakun 60% vs Boklah 20%
Ziakun
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ziakun 40% vs Boklah 20%
Ziakun
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ziakun +2 · Boklah +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Ziakun)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ziakun form (60%) is below what odds imply (86%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZiakun 1.17 / Boklah 4.50
Signal prob.86% / 14%
Edge (Ziakun)+6.2pp
Setka Cup · #13084525
Ziakun1.17
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite80% won 170 of 212
Up 2–0, closes it95% 104 of 109
Up 1–0, closes it87% 136 of 156
Boklah4.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog27% won 51 of 186
Down 0–1, comes back13% 16 of 126
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 81
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZiakun8wins
AwayBoklah2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderZiakun leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZiakun100%7 of 7
AwayBoklah66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ziakun7Boklah3n = 10Ziakun took 7 of 10
S2Ziakun8Boklah2n = 10Ziakun took 8 of 10
S3Ziakun6Boklah4n = 10Ziakun took 6 of 10
S4Ziakun6Boklah2n = 8Ziakun took 6 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZiakunBoklahZ − BBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.929.5+10.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZiakunBoklahBasisWin rate · lifetime376 / 627 vs 257 / 61760%41.7%376 / 627 vs 257 / 617Avg sets wonper match2.21.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.735.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZiakunZiakun 1.17/Boklah 4.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85.6%
Ziakun · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Ziakun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 12:30V. Ziakun—91111982R. Boklah—115411113
WAug 26 · 16:59V. Ziakun—91111113R. Boklah—118561
WAug 26 · 14:30V. Ziakun—11119113R. Boklah—291161
WAug 23 · 15:00V. Ziakun—11119123R. Boklah—7711101
WAug 19 · 16:00V. Ziakun—1111113R. Boklah—8530
LAug 12 · 16:00V. Ziakun—1111771R. Boklah—13511113
WAug 8 · 09:30V. Ziakun—11711113R. Boklah—511961
WAug 7 · 16:00V. Ziakun—11611113R. Boklah—511681
WAug 5 · 16:00V. Ziakun—1111113R. Boklah—9630
WJul 31 · 14:00V. Ziakun—111110113R. Boklah—381221
V. Ziakun10
WSep 6 · 17:29R. Boklah4.508680V. Ziakun1.171111113LSep 6 · 16:30I. Serdiuk2.7511116113V. Ziakun1.40631141WSep 6 · 15:00V. Ziakun1.33111191093S. Priadko3.2557111262WSep 6 · 13:30V. Ziakun1.441311833I. Torhachov2.631141121WSep 2 · 17:10V. Ziakun1.3311115123S. Priadko3.257711101WSep 2 · 15:30I. Torhachov2.637790V. Ziakun1.441111113LSep 2 · 14:30V. Ziakun3.25137981S. Miroshnychenko1.33111111113WSep 2 · 13:30S. Priadko3.251112951V. Ziakun1.3351411113LSep 2 · 12:30V. Ziakun1.1491111982R. Boklah5.00115411113LSep 1 · 11:30V. Ziakun3.403880D. Kuzmenko1.301111113
R. Boklah10
LSep 6 · 17:29R. Boklah4.508680V. Ziakun1.171111113LSep 6 · 16:00S. Priadko1.6181111103R. Boklah2.20115931WSep 6 · 14:30I. Torhachov1.50111261292R. Boklah2.508101114113WSep 6 · 13:00I. Serdiuk1.2081231182R. Boklah4.331110113113WSep 5 · 11:00A. Fastov2.0014137882R. Boklah1.7312111111113LSep 5 · 10:00O. Kolos3.00121399113R. Boklah1.361011111132LSep 5 · 08:30V. Ananiev1.571211113R. Boklah2.2510290LSep 5 · 06:30I. Serdiuk1.2011119113R. Boklah4.33471151LSep 5 · 04:30Y. Priadko1.80111168113R. Boklah1.9198111142WSep 2 · 12:30V. Ziakun1.1491111982R. Boklah5.00115411113
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