TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079114
Played Sep 5Finished
Andrii Fastov
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
14121311711811811
Roman Boklah
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:22 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRoman Boklah to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Fastov above · Roman Boklah below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 106 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Roman Boklah at 54.0%
106 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Fastov 3–16 Roman Boklah Andrii Fastov has won 3 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:22What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Boklah
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-16 in 19
Boklah
Correct
gap of 13 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fastov 1216 vs Boklah 1093
Fastov
Wrong
both rated, 123 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fastov 60% vs Boklah 0%
Fastov
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fastov 60% vs Boklah 10%
Fastov
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fastov +1 · Boklah -5
Boklah
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Boklah)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Boklah form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFastov 2.00 / Boklah 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Boklah)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13079114
Fastov2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog26% won 18 of 70
Down 0–1, comes back10% 4 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 23
Boklah1.73
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite68% won 62 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it100% 25 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it83% 44 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFastov2wins
AwayBoklah8wins
6 of 10 to a deciderBoklah leads 8–2, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFastov50%2 of 4
AwayBoklah100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fastov4Boklah6n = 10Boklah took 6 of 10
S2Fastov4Boklah6n = 10Boklah took 6 of 10
S3Fastov3Boklah7n = 10Boklah took 7 of 10
S4Fastov3Boklah5n = 8Boklah took 5 of 8
S5Fastov2Boklah4n = 6Boklah took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricFastovBoklahF − BBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.343.1−5.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFastovBoklahBasisWin rate · lifetime112 / 216 vs 259 / 62151.9%41.7%112 / 216 vs 259 / 621Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.935.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BoklahFastov 2.00/Boklah 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Boklah · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Boklah won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 1 · 05:00A. Fastov—10119111R. Boklah—12611133
LJul 29 · 13:00A. Fastov—112811102R. Boklah—711115123
LJul 27 · 12:00A. Fastov—77100R. Boklah—1111123
LJul 25 · 07:30A. Fastov—6411111R. Boklah—11118133
LJul 22 · 16:00A. Fastov—86111142R. Boklah—111198113
WJul 20 · 12:30A. Fastov—111178113R. Boklah—94111192
LJul 17 · 13:00A. Fastov—711111082R. Boklah—118812113
LJul 12 · 15:30A. Fastov—3080R. Boklah—1111113
WJul 8 · 14:30A. Fastov—1110711113R. Boklah—81211662
LJul 4 · 06:30A. Fastov—11115832R. Boklah—851111113
A. Fastov10
WSep 5 · 09:00Y. Priadko4.50991181A. Fastov1.1711119113LSep 5 · 08:00A. Fastov1.73931211102O. Kolos2.001111103123WSep 5 · 07:00V. Ananiev2.6396111152A. Fastov1.44111198113LSep 5 · 05:30A. Fastov2.75137761I. Serdiuk1.40111111113WAug 29 · 10:30R. Boklah1.577870A. Fastov2.251111113LAug 29 · 09:30A. Fastov1.8011237782O. Kolos1.919211111113LAug 29 · 08:30A. Fastov3.4012961192I. Torhachov1.301011118113WAug 29 · 07:00A. Fastov3.401111411153I. Serdiuk1.30713118132WAug 29 · 05:00A. Fastov3.001111510113S. Priadko1.3699111292WAug 22 · 10:30R. Boklah1.50111471122A. Fastov2.50616115113
R. Boklah10
LSep 6 · 17:29R. Boklah4.508680V. Ziakun1.171111113LSep 6 · 16:00S. Priadko1.6181111103R. Boklah2.20115931WSep 6 · 14:30I. Torhachov1.50111261292R. Boklah2.508101114113WSep 6 · 13:00I. Serdiuk1.2081231182R. Boklah4.331110113113LSep 6 · 12:00V. Ziakun1.171111113R. Boklah4.504680LSep 5 · 10:00O. Kolos3.00121399113R. Boklah1.361011111132LSep 5 · 08:30V. Ananiev1.571211113R. Boklah2.2510290LSep 5 · 06:30I. Serdiuk1.2011119113R. Boklah4.33471151LAug 29 · 10:30R. Boklah1.577870A. Fastov2.251111113LAug 22 · 10:30R. Boklah1.50111471122A. Fastov2.50616115113
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