TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079143
Played Sep 5Finished
Andrii Fastov
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
91131112101131012
Oleksandr Kolos
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:25 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeAndrii Fastov to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingAndrii Fastov above · Oleksandr Kolos below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-3
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 92 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Andrii Fastov at 54.7%
92 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Fastov 11–10 Oleksandr Kolos Oleksandr Kolos has won 10 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:25What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Fastov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-10 in 21
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fastov 1219 vs Kolos 1160
Fastov
Wrong
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fastov 40% vs Kolos 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fastov 50% vs Kolos 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fastov +1 · Kolos -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Fastov) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fastov form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFastov 1.73 / Kolos 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Fastov)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13079143
Fastov1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite75% won 67 of 89
Up 2–0, closes it93% 41 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it90% 54 of 60
Kolos2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog35% won 20 of 58
Down 0–1, comes back19% 6 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFastov4wins
AwayKolos6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKolos leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFastov50%3 of 6
AwayKolos75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fastov6Kolos4n = 10Fastov took 6 of 10
S2Fastov6Kolos4n = 10Fastov took 6 of 10
S3Fastov3Kolos7n = 10Kolos took 7 of 10
S4Fastov2Kolos4n = 6Kolos took 4 of 6
S5Fastov1Kolos2n = 3Kolos took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricFastovKolosF − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.039.5−3.5per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFastovKolosBasisWin rate · lifetime111 / 214 vs 157 / 30051.9%52.3%111 / 214 vs 157 / 300Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FastovFastov 1.73/Kolos 2.00
Miss
What we said
56.9%
Fastov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kolos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 29 · 09:30A. Fastov—11237782O. Kolos—9211111113
LAug 22 · 09:30A. Fastov—111468102O. Kolos—9121111123
LAug 15 · 08:00A. Fastov—811931O. Kolos—11811113
WAug 10 · 15:00A. Fastov—11116113O. Kolos—921191
LAug 1 · 08:30A. Fastov—1870O. Kolos—1111113
LJul 11 · 08:30A. Fastov—1264101O. Kolos—101111123
LJul 4 · 11:30A. Fastov—10590O. Kolos—1211113
WJul 1 · 17:28A. Fastov—1112113O. Kolos—91090
WJul 1 · 13:30A. Fastov—1111113O. Kolos—7760
WJun 27 · 07:00A. Fastov—581111113O. Kolos—11119782
A. Fastov10
LSep 5 · 11:00A. Fastov2.0014137882R. Boklah1.7312111111113WSep 5 · 09:00Y. Priadko4.50991181A. Fastov1.1711119113WSep 5 · 07:00V. Ananiev2.6396111152A. Fastov1.44111198113LSep 5 · 05:30A. Fastov2.75137761I. Serdiuk1.40111111113WAug 29 · 10:30R. Boklah1.577870A. Fastov2.251111113LAug 29 · 09:30A. Fastov1.8011237782O. Kolos1.919211111113LAug 29 · 08:30A. Fastov3.4012961192I. Torhachov1.301011118113WAug 29 · 07:00A. Fastov3.401111411153I. Serdiuk1.30713118132WAug 29 · 05:00A. Fastov3.001111510113S. Priadko1.3699111292WAug 22 · 10:30R. Boklah1.50111471122A. Fastov2.50616115113
O. Kolos10
WSep 5 · 11:30I. Serdiuk1.2588100O. Kolos3.751111123WSep 5 · 10:00O. Kolos3.00121399113R. Boklah1.361011111132LSep 5 · 06:00Y. Priadko1.8014711133O. Kolos1.9112116111WSep 5 · 05:00V. Ananiev2.101111121262O. Kolos1.675131014113LAug 29 · 11:30O. Kolos4.503590S. Priadko1.171111113WAug 29 · 09:30A. Fastov1.8011237782O. Kolos1.919211111113LAug 29 · 07:30R. Boklah1.3611611113O. Kolos3.00811771LAug 29 · 06:30O. Kolos4.0013151081I. Torhachov1.22151312113LAug 29 · 05:30I. Serdiuk1.301111113O. Kolos3.405950WAug 24 · 17:43O. Kolos2.001011128113Y. Priadko1.73126101182
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