TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037600
Played Aug 29Finished
Ihor Serdiuk
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115119115––––
Oleksandr Kolos
Away
3.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:02 and never touched — 70.0% is still 70.0%
Graded at full timeIhor Serdiuk to win
70.0%
70.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIhor Serdiuk above · Oleksandr Kolos below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 52 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Ihor Serdiuk at 70.0%
52 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Serdiuk 15–9 Oleksandr Kolos Oleksandr Kolos has won 9 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:02What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Serdiuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-9 in 24
Serdiuk
Correct
gap of 6 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Serdiuk 1326 vs Kolos 1193
Serdiuk
Correct
both rated, 133 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Serdiuk 60% vs Kolos 80%
Kolos
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Serdiuk 50% vs Kolos 70%
Kolos
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Serdiuk +2 · Kolos +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Serdiuk) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolos form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSerdiuk 1.30 / Kolos 3.40
Signal prob.74% / 27%
Edge (Serdiuk)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13037600
Serdiuk1.30
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite73% won 80 of 109
Up 2–0, closes it98% 42 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it88% 58 of 66
Kolos3.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 19 of 53
Down 0–1, comes back19% 5 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSerdiuk7wins
AwayKolos3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSerdiuk leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSerdiuk80%4 of 5
AwayKolos40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Serdiuk5Kolos5n = 10split evenly
S2Serdiuk4Kolos6n = 10Kolos took 6 of 10
S3Serdiuk8Kolos2n = 10Serdiuk took 8 of 10
S4Serdiuk5Kolos2n = 7Serdiuk took 5 of 7
S5Serdiuk2Kolos1n = 3Serdiuk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSerdiukKolosS − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.836.9+2.9per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSerdiukKolosBasisWin rate · lifetime227 / 340 vs 158 / 30366.8%52.2%227 / 340 vs 158 / 303Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.036.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SerdiukSerdiuk 1.30/Kolos 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.5%
Serdiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Serdiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 22 · 05:30I. Serdiuk—116991O. Kolos—71111113
LAug 1 · 11:00I. Serdiuk—10111111102O. Kolos—121397123
WMay 9 · 09:00I. Serdiuk—61111143O. Kolos—1198121
WMay 2 · 05:30I. Serdiuk—961211113O. Kolos—111110322
WApr 25 · 05:30I. Serdiuk—121111113O. Kolos—147571
WApr 18 · 05:30I. Serdiuk—11811113O. Kolos—511851
WApr 11 · 08:00I. Serdiuk—1112133O. Kolos—610110
WJan 10 · 10:30I. Serdiuk—1111123O. Kolos—99100
LJan 3 · 06:30I. Serdiuk—7480O. Kolos—1111113
WDec 27 · 10:30I. Serdiuk—116124113O. Kolos—911101182
I. Serdiuk10
WSep 6 · 17:00I. Torhachov2.2590I. Serdiuk1.57111WSep 6 · 16:30I. Serdiuk2.7511116113V. Ziakun1.40631141LSep 6 · 15:30I. Serdiuk1.91671121I. Torhachov1.801111733WSep 6 · 14:00I. Serdiuk1.5711713113S. Priadko2.255111151LSep 6 · 13:00I. Serdiuk1.2081231182R. Boklah4.331110113113LSep 5 · 11:30I. Serdiuk1.2588100O. Kolos3.751111123LSep 5 · 09:30V. Ananiev3.401111113I. Serdiuk1.304980WSep 5 · 07:30Y. Priadko4.0091111101I. Serdiuk1.2211135123WSep 5 · 06:30I. Serdiuk1.2011119113R. Boklah4.33471151WSep 5 · 05:30A. Fastov2.75137761I. Serdiuk1.40111111113
O. Kolos10
WSep 5 · 11:30I. Serdiuk1.2588100O. Kolos3.751111123WSep 5 · 10:00O. Kolos3.00121399113R. Boklah1.361011111132WSep 5 · 08:00A. Fastov1.73931211102O. Kolos2.001111103123LSep 5 · 06:00Y. Priadko1.8014711133O. Kolos1.9112116111WSep 5 · 05:00V. Ananiev2.101111121262O. Kolos1.675131014113LAug 29 · 11:30O. Kolos4.503590S. Priadko1.171111113WAug 29 · 09:30A. Fastov1.8011237782O. Kolos1.919211111113LAug 29 · 07:30R. Boklah1.3611611113O. Kolos3.00811771LAug 29 · 06:30O. Kolos4.0013151081I. Torhachov1.22151312113WAug 24 · 17:43O. Kolos2.001011128113Y. Priadko1.73126101182
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.