TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079156
Played Sep 5Finished
Vitalii Ananiev
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
115111312101214611
Oleksandr Kolos
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:34 and never touched — 57.5% is still 57.5%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Kolos to win
57.5%
57.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Ananiev above · Oleksandr Kolos below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 12-14
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 105 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Oleksandr Kolos at 57.5%
105 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Ananiev 9–14 Oleksandr Kolos Vitalii Ananiev has won 9 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:34What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kolos
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-14 in 23
Kolos
Correct
gap of 5 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ananiev 1169 vs Kolos 1163
Ananiev
Wrong
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ananiev 20% vs Kolos 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ananiev 20% vs Kolos 50%
Kolos
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ananiev -3 · Kolos -1
Ananiev
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kolos) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolos form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAnaniev 2.10 / Kolos 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kolos)-1.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13079156
Ananiev2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog28% won 28 of 102
Down 0–1, comes back18% 10 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 30
Kolos1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite73% won 48 of 66
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it88% 36 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAnaniev2wins
AwayKolos8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKolos leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAnaniev33.3%1 of 3
AwayKolos85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ananiev3Kolos7n = 10Kolos took 7 of 10
S2Ananiev4Kolos6n = 10Kolos took 6 of 10
S3Ananiev6Kolos4n = 10Ananiev took 6 of 10
S4Ananiev2Kolos6n = 8Kolos took 6 of 8
S5Ananiev1Kolos3n = 4Kolos took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricAnanievKolosA − KBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.341.0−5.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAnanievKolosBasisWin rate · lifetime121 / 285 vs 158 / 30342.5%52.2%121 / 285 vs 158 / 303Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolosAnaniev 2.10/Kolos 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.4%
Kolos · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kolos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 22 · 11:30V. Ananiev—71111852O. Kolos—119511113
LAug 15 · 07:00V. Ananiev—921161O. Kolos—11119113
LJun 6 · 09:30V. Ananiev—891181O. Kolos—11119113
LMay 26 · 15:00V. Ananiev—8111061O. Kolos—11612113
LMar 25 · 14:30V. Ananiev—11741162O. Kolos—811118113
WJan 31 · 08:30V. Ananiev—691111113O. Kolos—11118992
LJan 17 · 08:30V. Ananiev—11122892O. Kolos—9101111113
LJan 10 · 08:00V. Ananiev—881141O. Kolos—11113113
LJan 3 · 10:30V. Ananiev—6760O. Kolos—1111113
WDec 30 · 18:02V. Ananiev—1111113O. Kolos—6690
V. Ananiev10
WSep 5 · 10:30Y. Priadko2.631183121V. Ananiev1.4471111143WSep 5 · 09:30V. Ananiev3.401111113I. Serdiuk1.304980WSep 5 · 08:30V. Ananiev1.571211113R. Boklah2.2510290LSep 5 · 07:00V. Ananiev2.6396111152A. Fastov1.44111198113LAug 22 · 11:30O. Kolos1.73119511113V. Ananiev2.0071111852LAug 22 · 10:00V. Ananiev2.631151151S. Priadko1.4481113113LAug 22 · 08:00I. Serdiuk1.3381111113V. Ananiev3.25119671WAug 22 · 06:00R. Boklah2.258730V. Ananiev1.571111113LAug 22 · 05:00A. Fastov1.611111113V. Ananiev2.206740LAug 19 · 16:30V. Ananiev2.639111061S. Priadko1.4411912113
O. Kolos10
WSep 5 · 11:30I. Serdiuk1.2588100O. Kolos3.751111123WSep 5 · 10:00O. Kolos3.00121399113R. Boklah1.361011111132WSep 5 · 08:00A. Fastov1.73931211102O. Kolos2.001111103123LSep 5 · 06:00Y. Priadko1.8014711133O. Kolos1.9112116111LAug 29 · 11:30O. Kolos4.503590S. Priadko1.171111113WAug 29 · 09:30A. Fastov1.8011237782O. Kolos1.919211111113LAug 29 · 07:30R. Boklah1.3611611113O. Kolos3.00811771LAug 29 · 06:30O. Kolos4.0013151081I. Torhachov1.22151312113LAug 29 · 05:30I. Serdiuk1.301111113O. Kolos3.405950WAug 22 · 11:30O. Kolos1.73119511113V. Ananiev2.0071111852
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