TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079251
Played Sep 5Finished
Yurii Priadko
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1178113111214––
Vitalii Ananiev
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:38 and never touched — 64.9% is still 64.9%
Graded at full timeVitalii Ananiev to win
64.9%
64.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Priadko above · Vitalii Ananiev below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 12-14
Point 77 set 4, 12-14 — our read held Vitalii Ananiev at 64.9%
77 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Priadko 12–20 Vitalii Ananiev Yurii Priadko has won 12 of their 32 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:38What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Ananiev
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-20 in 32
Ananiev
Correct
gap of 8 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Priadko 1101 vs Ananiev 1235
Ananiev
Correct
both rated, 135 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Priadko 40% vs Ananiev 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Priadko 60% vs Ananiev 30%
Priadko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Priadko -2 · Ananiev +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Ananiev)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ananiev form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPriadko 2.63 / Ananiev 1.44
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Ananiev)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13079251
Priadko2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog18% won 10 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 28
Ananiev1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite81% won 26 of 32
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it85% 17 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePriadko2wins
AwayAnaniev8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderAnaniev leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePriadko33.3%2 of 6
AwayAnaniev100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Priadko6Ananiev4n = 10Priadko took 6 of 10
S2Priadko4Ananiev6n = 10Ananiev took 6 of 10
S3Priadko2Ananiev8n = 10Ananiev took 8 of 10
S4Priadko0Ananiev7n = 7Ananiev took 7 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPriadkoAnanievP − ABasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.138.6−4.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPriadkoAnanievBasisWin rate · lifetime113 / 234 vs 124 / 29048.3%42.8%113 / 234 vs 124 / 290Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AnanievPriadko 2.63/Ananiev 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.9%
Ananiev · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Ananiev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 10:30Y. Priadko—1183121V. Ananiev—71111143
LAug 15 · 09:30Y. Priadko—114791V. Ananiev—51111103
LJul 18 · 05:30Y. Priadko—12850V. Ananiev—1411113
LJun 6 · 07:30Y. Priadko—61112101V. Ananiev—11814123
LMay 26 · 14:00Y. Priadko—111186112V. Ananiev—691111133
LApr 5 · 13:00Y. Priadko—911981V. Ananiev—11511113
WFeb 7 · 10:00Y. Priadko—1111103V. Ananiev—9890
LJan 17 · 10:00Y. Priadko—9750V. Ananiev—1111113
LJan 10 · 10:00Y. Priadko—115561V. Ananiev—41111113
WJan 3 · 06:00Y. Priadko—117118113V. Ananiev—71151172
Y. Priadko10
LSep 5 · 09:00Y. Priadko4.50991181A. Fastov1.1711119113LSep 5 · 07:30Y. Priadko4.0091111101I. Serdiuk1.2211135123WSep 5 · 06:00Y. Priadko1.8014711133O. Kolos1.9112116111WSep 5 · 04:30Y. Priadko1.80111168113R. Boklah1.9198111142LAug 31 · 17:34V. Ivnytskyi3.00111146113Y. Priadko1.3668111182WAug 31 · 16:30Y. Priadko1.2851111123V. Klymenko3.501197101WAug 31 · 15:30Y. Priadko1.401111113D. Aldayev2.753760WAug 31 · 14:00Y. Priadko1.308121111113V. Ivnytskyi3.40111013772WAug 31 · 13:00Y. Priadko1.071111113M. Bukata7.506680LAug 24 · 17:43O. Kolos2.001011128113Y. Priadko1.73126101182
V. Ananiev10
WSep 5 · 09:30V. Ananiev3.401111113I. Serdiuk1.304980WSep 5 · 08:30V. Ananiev1.571211113R. Boklah2.2510290LSep 5 · 07:00V. Ananiev2.6396111152A. Fastov1.44111198113LSep 5 · 05:00V. Ananiev2.101111121262O. Kolos1.675131014113LAug 22 · 11:30O. Kolos1.73119511113V. Ananiev2.0071111852LAug 22 · 10:00V. Ananiev2.631151151S. Priadko1.4481113113LAug 22 · 08:00I. Serdiuk1.3381111113V. Ananiev3.25119671WAug 22 · 06:00R. Boklah2.258730V. Ananiev1.571111113LAug 22 · 05:00A. Fastov1.611111113V. Ananiev2.206740LAug 19 · 16:30V. Ananiev2.639111061S. Priadko1.4411912113
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