TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079266
Played Sep 5Finished
Vitalii Ananiev
Home
3.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114119118––––
Ihor Serdiuk
Away
1.30
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:43 and never touched — 76.7% is still 76.7%
Graded at full timeIhor Serdiuk to win
76.7%
76.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVitalii Ananiev above · Ihor Serdiuk below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 54 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Ihor Serdiuk at 76.7%
54 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Ananiev 9–20 Ihor Serdiuk Vitalii Ananiev has won 9 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:43What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Serdiuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-20 in 29
Serdiuk
Wrong
gap of 11 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ananiev 1209 vs Serdiuk 1306
Serdiuk
Wrong
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ananiev 20% vs Serdiuk 80%
Serdiuk
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ananiev 20% vs Serdiuk 80%
Serdiuk
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ananiev +1 · Serdiuk +3
Serdiuk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Serdiuk)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAnaniev 3.40 / Serdiuk 1.30
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Serdiuk)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13079266
Ananiev3.40
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog28% won 28 of 102
Down 0–1, comes back18% 10 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 30
Serdiuk1.30
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite73% won 83 of 114
Up 2–0, closes it98% 43 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it88% 60 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAnaniev3wins
AwaySerdiuk7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSerdiuk leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAnaniev50%3 of 6
AwaySerdiuk100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ananiev6Serdiuk4n = 10Ananiev took 6 of 10
S2Ananiev3Serdiuk7n = 10Serdiuk took 7 of 10
S3Ananiev4Serdiuk6n = 10Serdiuk took 6 of 10
S4Ananiev4Serdiuk3n = 7Ananiev took 4 of 7
S5Ananiev0Serdiuk3n = 3Serdiuk took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricAnanievSerdiukA − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.140.0−2.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAnanievSerdiukBasisWin rate · lifetime123 / 289 vs 233 / 34942.6%66.8%123 / 289 vs 233 / 349Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.239.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SerdiukAnaniev 3.40/Serdiuk 1.30
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
76.7%
Serdiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Ananiev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 09:30V. Ananiev—1111113I. Serdiuk—4980
LAug 22 · 08:00V. Ananiev—119671I. Serdiuk—81111113
LJul 24 · 13:00V. Ananiev—21480I. Serdiuk—1116113
LJul 22 · 15:30V. Ananiev—101171512I. Serdiuk—1291113113
LMay 31 · 05:30V. Ananiev—3760I. Serdiuk—1111113
WApr 19 · 13:00V. Ananiev—11813133I. Serdiuk—71111111
LFeb 21 · 12:00V. Ananiev—11441192I. Serdiuk—311116113
WJan 24 · 06:30V. Ananiev—111012113I. Serdiuk—6121071
LJan 10 · 06:30V. Ananiev—13911972I. Serdiuk—1111411113
LJan 3 · 08:00V. Ananiev—111112101I. Serdiuk—13714123
V. Ananiev10
WSep 5 · 10:30Y. Priadko2.631183121V. Ananiev1.4471111143WSep 5 · 08:30V. Ananiev1.571211113R. Boklah2.2510290LSep 5 · 07:00V. Ananiev2.6396111152A. Fastov1.44111198113LSep 5 · 05:00V. Ananiev2.101111121262O. Kolos1.675131014113LAug 22 · 11:30O. Kolos1.73119511113V. Ananiev2.0071111852LAug 22 · 10:00V. Ananiev2.631151151S. Priadko1.4481113113LAug 22 · 08:00I. Serdiuk1.3381111113V. Ananiev3.25119671WAug 22 · 06:00R. Boklah2.258730V. Ananiev1.571111113LAug 22 · 05:00A. Fastov1.611111113V. Ananiev2.206740LAug 19 · 16:30V. Ananiev2.639111061S. Priadko1.4411912113
I. Serdiuk10
WSep 6 · 17:00I. Torhachov2.2590I. Serdiuk1.57111WSep 6 · 16:30I. Serdiuk2.7511116113V. Ziakun1.40631141LSep 6 · 15:30I. Serdiuk1.91671121I. Torhachov1.801111733WSep 6 · 14:00I. Serdiuk1.5711713113S. Priadko2.255111151LSep 6 · 13:00I. Serdiuk1.2081231182R. Boklah4.331110113113LSep 5 · 11:30I. Serdiuk1.2588100O. Kolos3.751111123WSep 5 · 07:30Y. Priadko4.0091111101I. Serdiuk1.2211135123WSep 5 · 06:30I. Serdiuk1.2011119113R. Boklah4.33471151WSep 5 · 05:30A. Fastov2.75137761I. Serdiuk1.40111111113WAug 22 · 08:00I. Serdiuk1.3381111113V. Ananiev3.25119671
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