TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13078943
Played Sep 5Finished
Yurii Priadko
Home
4.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
91111131151012––
Ihor Serdiuk
Away
1.22
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:41 and never touched — 77.5% is still 77.5%
Graded at full timeIhor Serdiuk to win
77.5%
77.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Priadko above · Ihor Serdiuk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 82 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Ihor Serdiuk at 77.5%
82 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Priadko 4–17 Ihor Serdiuk Yurii Priadko has won 4 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:41What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Serdiuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-17 in 21
Serdiuk
Correct
gap of 13 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Priadko 1101 vs Serdiuk 1273
Serdiuk
Correct
both rated, 172 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Priadko 80% vs Serdiuk 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Priadko 80% vs Serdiuk 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Priadko +2 · Serdiuk +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Serdiuk) · live re-read · sealed at 78% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Priadko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPriadko 4.00 / Serdiuk 1.22
Signal prob.19% / 81%
Edge (Serdiuk)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13078943
Priadko4.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog17% won 10 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 30
Serdiuk1.22
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite72% won 87 of 121
Up 2–0, closes it98% 45 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it89% 63 of 71
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePriadko3wins
AwaySerdiuk7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSerdiuk leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePriadko75%3 of 4
AwaySerdiuk100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Priadko4Serdiuk6n = 10Serdiuk took 6 of 10
S2Priadko5Serdiuk5n = 10split evenly
S3Priadko3Serdiuk7n = 10Serdiuk took 7 of 10
S4Priadko4Serdiuk2n = 6Priadko took 4 of 6
S5Priadko0Serdiuk3n = 3Serdiuk took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPriadkoSerdiukP − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.238.5−2.3per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPriadkoSerdiukBasisWin rate · lifetime111 / 229 vs 232 / 35048.5%66.3%111 / 229 vs 232 / 350Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.838.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SerdiukPriadko 4.00/Serdiuk 1.22
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81%
Serdiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Serdiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 07:30Y. Priadko—91111101I. Serdiuk—11135123
LJul 25 · 08:00Y. Priadko—71171172I. Serdiuk—119118113
WApr 25 · 07:00Y. Priadko—1111123I. Serdiuk—59100
LMar 28 · 09:00Y. Priadko—111011972I. Serdiuk—712711113
WMar 21 · 10:00Y. Priadko—11129113I. Serdiuk—8101181
LMar 14 · 09:00Y. Priadko—14670I. Serdiuk—1611113
LFeb 28 · 08:00Y. Priadko—81070I. Serdiuk—1112113
LJan 10 · 08:30Y. Priadko—71161182I. Serdiuk—115117113
WJan 3 · 09:00Y. Priadko—11112113I. Serdiuk—861191
LDec 27 · 08:30Y. Priadko—58100I. Serdiuk—1111123
Y. Priadko10
LSep 5 · 10:30Y. Priadko2.631183121V. Ananiev1.4471111143LSep 5 · 09:00Y. Priadko4.50991181A. Fastov1.1711119113WSep 5 · 06:00Y. Priadko1.8014711133O. Kolos1.9112116111WSep 5 · 04:30Y. Priadko1.80111168113R. Boklah1.9198111142LAug 31 · 17:34V. Ivnytskyi3.00111146113Y. Priadko1.3668111182WAug 31 · 16:30Y. Priadko1.2851111123V. Klymenko3.501197101WAug 31 · 15:30Y. Priadko1.401111113D. Aldayev2.753760WAug 31 · 14:00Y. Priadko1.308121111113V. Ivnytskyi3.40111013772WAug 31 · 13:00Y. Priadko1.071111113M. Bukata7.506680LAug 24 · 17:43O. Kolos2.001011128113Y. Priadko1.73126101182
I. Serdiuk10
WSep 6 · 17:00I. Torhachov2.2590I. Serdiuk1.57111WSep 6 · 16:30I. Serdiuk2.7511116113V. Ziakun1.40631141LSep 6 · 15:30I. Serdiuk1.91671121I. Torhachov1.801111733WSep 6 · 14:00I. Serdiuk1.5711713113S. Priadko2.255111151LSep 6 · 13:00I. Serdiuk1.2081231182R. Boklah4.331110113113LSep 5 · 11:30I. Serdiuk1.2588100O. Kolos3.751111123LSep 5 · 09:30V. Ananiev3.401111113I. Serdiuk1.304980WSep 5 · 06:30I. Serdiuk1.2011119113R. Boklah4.33471151WSep 5 · 05:30A. Fastov2.75137761I. Serdiuk1.40111111113LAug 29 · 11:00I. Serdiuk1.83121160I. Torhachov1.83141393
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