TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13005359
Played Aug 24Finished
Oleksandr Kolos
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
10121161210811118
Yurii Priadko
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingOleksandr Kolos above · Yurii Priadko below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 99 set 5, 11-8
99 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Kolos 18–22 Yurii Priadko Oleksandr Kolos has won 18 of their 40 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Priadko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Priadko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolos 2.00 / Priadko 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Priadko)+1.0pp
Setka Cup · #13005359
Kolos2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 18 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back15% 4 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Priadko1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite70% won 39 of 56
Up 2–0, closes it100% 23 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it84% 27 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolos5wins
AwayPriadko5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolos83.3%5 of 6
AwayPriadko100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolos6Priadko4n = 10Kolos took 6 of 10
S2Kolos5Priadko5n = 10split evenly
S3Kolos4Priadko6n = 10Priadko took 6 of 10
S4Kolos3Priadko3n = 6split evenly
S5Kolos2Priadko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolosPriadkoK − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.239.1−0.9per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolosPriadkoBasisWin rate · lifetime159 / 307 vs 109 / 22851.8%47.8%159 / 307 vs 109 / 228Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.636.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PriadkoKolos 2.00/Priadko 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.7%
Priadko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kolos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 24 · 16:30O. Kolos—1191111132Y. Priadko—811813153
LAug 15 · 05:30O. Kolos—9712101Y. Priadko—111110123
LJul 11 · 04:30O. Kolos—8690Y. Priadko—1111113
WJul 4 · 05:00O. Kolos—111125113Y. Priadko—75111162
WJul 1 · 15:30O. Kolos—11128113Y. Priadko—9101191
LJun 27 · 09:30O. Kolos—4780Y. Priadko—1111113
WJun 20 · 07:00O. Kolos—1311113Y. Priadko—11670
LJun 6 · 10:30O. Kolos—61131582Y. Priadko—1161113113
WMay 30 · 07:30O. Kolos—1111113Y. Priadko—5870
WMay 26 · 16:30O. Kolos—1181211123Y. Priadko—711149102
O. Kolos10
WSep 5 · 11:30I. Serdiuk1.2588100O. Kolos3.751111123WSep 5 · 10:00O. Kolos3.00121399113R. Boklah1.361011111132WSep 5 · 08:00A. Fastov1.73931211102O. Kolos2.001111103123LSep 5 · 06:00Y. Priadko1.8014711133O. Kolos1.9112116111WSep 5 · 05:00V. Ananiev2.101111121262O. Kolos1.675131014113LAug 29 · 11:30O. Kolos4.503590S. Priadko1.171111113WAug 29 · 09:30A. Fastov1.8011237782O. Kolos1.919211111113LAug 29 · 07:30R. Boklah1.3611611113O. Kolos3.00811771LAug 29 · 06:30O. Kolos4.0013151081I. Torhachov1.22151312113LAug 29 · 05:30I. Serdiuk1.301111113O. Kolos3.405950
Y. Priadko10
LSep 5 · 10:30Y. Priadko2.631183121V. Ananiev1.4471111143LSep 5 · 09:00Y. Priadko4.50991181A. Fastov1.1711119113LSep 5 · 07:30Y. Priadko4.0091111101I. Serdiuk1.2211135123WSep 5 · 06:00Y. Priadko1.8014711133O. Kolos1.9112116111WSep 5 · 04:30Y. Priadko1.80111168113R. Boklah1.9198111142LAug 31 · 17:34V. Ivnytskyi3.00111146113Y. Priadko1.3668111182WAug 31 · 16:30Y. Priadko1.2851111123V. Klymenko3.501197101WAug 31 · 15:30Y. Priadko1.401111113D. Aldayev2.753760WAug 31 · 14:00Y. Priadko1.308121111113V. Ivnytskyi3.40111013772WAug 31 · 13:00Y. Priadko1.071111113M. Bukata7.506680
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