TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13078972
Played Sep 5Finished
Yurii Priadko
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119118611811114
Roman Boklah
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:51 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeYurii Priadko to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Priadko above · Roman Boklah below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 90 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Yurii Priadko at 54.9%
90 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Priadko 19–10 Roman Boklah Roman Boklah has won 10 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:51What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Priadko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-10 in 29
Priadko
Correct
gap of 9 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Priadko 1096 vs Boklah 1156
Boklah
Wrong
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Priadko 80% vs Boklah 20%
Priadko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Priadko 70% vs Boklah 20%
Priadko
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Priadko -1 · Boklah -3
Boklah
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Priadko) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Boklah form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPriadko 1.80 / Boklah 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Priadko)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13078972
Priadko1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 39 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it100% 22 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it81% 26 of 32
Boklah1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog28% won 51 of 185
Down 0–1, comes back13% 16 of 125
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePriadko6wins
AwayBoklah4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPriadko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePriadko71.4%5 of 7
AwayBoklah66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Priadko7Boklah3n = 10Priadko took 7 of 10
S2Priadko5Boklah5n = 10split evenly
S3Priadko5Boklah5n = 10split evenly
S4Priadko3Boklah4n = 7Boklah took 4 of 7
S5Priadko2Boklah1n = 3Priadko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPriadkoBoklahP − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.034.5+3.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPriadkoBoklahBasisWin rate · lifetime111 / 229 vs 261 / 62248.5%42%111 / 229 vs 261 / 622Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.735.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PriadkoPriadko 1.80/Boklah 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Priadko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Priadko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 25 · 06:00Y. Priadko—11911742R. Boklah—911711113
LJul 20 · 14:00Y. Priadko—71060R. Boklah—1112113
LJul 13 · 13:00Y. Priadko—115641R. Boklah—81111113
WJul 4 · 08:30Y. Priadko—111367113R. Boklah—611111162
LMay 7 · 16:30Y. Priadko—811991R. Boklah—11311113
WMar 7 · 11:00Y. Priadko—1111113R. Boklah—4450
WFeb 28 · 11:30Y. Priadko—1113911113R. Boklah—91511932
WFeb 7 · 08:00Y. Priadko—91111113R. Boklah—115831
WJan 19 · 18:30Y. Priadko—13611113R. Boklah—1111891
WJan 19 · 14:00Y. Priadko—1111113R. Boklah—2750
Y. Priadko10
LSep 5 · 10:30Y. Priadko2.631183121V. Ananiev1.4471111143LSep 5 · 09:00Y. Priadko4.50991181A. Fastov1.1711119113LSep 5 · 07:30Y. Priadko4.0091111101I. Serdiuk1.2211135123WSep 5 · 06:00Y. Priadko1.8014711133O. Kolos1.9112116111LAug 31 · 17:34V. Ivnytskyi3.00111146113Y. Priadko1.3668111182WAug 31 · 16:30Y. Priadko1.2851111123V. Klymenko3.501197101WAug 31 · 15:30Y. Priadko1.401111113D. Aldayev2.753760WAug 31 · 14:00Y. Priadko1.308121111113V. Ivnytskyi3.40111013772WAug 31 · 13:00Y. Priadko1.071111113M. Bukata7.506680LAug 24 · 17:43O. Kolos2.001011128113Y. Priadko1.73126101182
R. Boklah10
LSep 6 · 17:29R. Boklah4.508680V. Ziakun1.171111113LSep 6 · 16:00S. Priadko1.6181111103R. Boklah2.20115931WSep 6 · 14:30I. Torhachov1.50111261292R. Boklah2.508101114113WSep 6 · 13:00I. Serdiuk1.2081231182R. Boklah4.331110113113LSep 6 · 12:00V. Ziakun1.171111113R. Boklah4.504680WSep 5 · 11:00A. Fastov2.0014137882R. Boklah1.7312111111113LSep 5 · 10:00O. Kolos3.00121399113R. Boklah1.361011111132LSep 5 · 08:30V. Ananiev1.571211113R. Boklah2.2510290LSep 5 · 06:30I. Serdiuk1.2011119113R. Boklah4.33471151LSep 2 · 16:00R. Boklah4.00912113112S. Miroshnychenko1.221110811133
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