TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084889
Played Sep 6Finished
Serhii Priadko
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811115119103––
Roman Boklah
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:29 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeSerhii Priadko to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Priadko above · Roman Boklah below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 10-3
Point 68 set 4, 10-3 — our read held Serhii Priadko at 60.9%
68 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Priadko 71–69 Roman Boklah Roman Boklah has won 69 of their 140 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:29What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Priadko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
71-69 in 140
Priadko
Correct
gap of 2 in 140, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Priadko 1191 vs Boklah 1168
Priadko
Correct
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Priadko 0% vs Boklah 60%
Boklah
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Priadko 30% vs Boklah 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Priadko -5 · Boklah +2
Priadko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Priadko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Boklah form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPriadko 1.61 / Boklah 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Priadko)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13084889
Priadko1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite76% won 99 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it96% 51 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it89% 71 of 80
Boklah2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog27% won 51 of 186
Down 0–1, comes back13% 16 of 126
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 81
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePriadko8wins
AwayBoklah2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPriadko leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePriadko100%6 of 6
AwayBoklah50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Priadko6Boklah4n = 10Priadko took 6 of 10
S2Priadko6Boklah4n = 10Priadko took 6 of 10
S3Priadko7Boklah3n = 10Priadko took 7 of 10
S4Priadko7Boklah2n = 9Priadko took 7 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPriadkoBoklahP − BBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.232.3+7.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPriadkoBoklahBasisWin rate · lifetime261 / 626 vs 259 / 62241.7%41.6%261 / 626 vs 259 / 622Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.535.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PriadkoPriadko 1.61/Boklah 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.9%
Priadko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Priadko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 16:00S. Priadko—81111103R. Boklah—115931
WSep 2 · 15:00S. Priadko—1181011113R. Boklah—51112962
WAug 29 · 06:00S. Priadko—11115113R. Boklah—261131
WAug 26 · 12:00S. Priadko—11512113R. Boklah—9111051
WAug 23 · 12:00S. Priadko—11811123R. Boklah—5116101
WAug 22 · 04:30S. Priadko—11911113R. Boklah—711571
WAug 19 · 17:34S. Priadko—51111113R. Boklah—118581
LAug 19 · 12:00S. Priadko—7118111R. Boklah—11711133
LAug 12 · 14:30S. Priadko—91111562R. Boklah—118911113
WAug 8 · 05:00S. Priadko—1111113R. Boklah—2520
S. Priadko10
LSep 6 · 15:00V. Ziakun1.33111191093S. Priadko3.2557111262LSep 6 · 14:00I. Serdiuk1.5711713113S. Priadko2.255111151LSep 6 · 12:30I. Torhachov1.67916115113S. Priadko2.10111441172LSep 2 · 17:10V. Ziakun1.3311115123S. Priadko3.257711101LSep 2 · 16:30I. Torhachov1.6111911113S. Priadko2.20711841WSep 2 · 15:00S. Priadko1.531181011113R. Boklah2.3851112962LSep 2 · 13:30S. Priadko3.251112951V. Ziakun1.3351411113LSep 2 · 12:00S. Priadko4.504590S. Miroshnychenko1.171111113WAug 29 · 11:30O. Kolos4.503590S. Priadko1.171111113WAug 29 · 10:00S. Priadko2.00111177123I. Torhachov1.73421111102
R. Boklah10
LSep 6 · 17:29R. Boklah4.508680V. Ziakun1.171111113WSep 6 · 14:30I. Torhachov1.50111261292R. Boklah2.508101114113WSep 6 · 13:00I. Serdiuk1.2081231182R. Boklah4.331110113113LSep 6 · 12:00V. Ziakun1.171111113R. Boklah4.504680WSep 5 · 11:00A. Fastov2.0014137882R. Boklah1.7312111111113LSep 5 · 10:00O. Kolos3.00121399113R. Boklah1.361011111132LSep 5 · 08:30V. Ananiev1.571211113R. Boklah2.2510290LSep 5 · 06:30I. Serdiuk1.2011119113R. Boklah4.33471151LSep 5 · 04:30Y. Priadko1.80111168113R. Boklah1.9198111142LSep 2 · 15:00S. Priadko1.531181011113R. Boklah2.3851112962
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.