TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061215
Played Sep 2Finished
Serhii Priadko
Home
3.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1151214911511––
Viktor Ziakun
Away
1.33
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:03 and never touched — 72.5% is still 72.5%
Graded at full timeViktor Ziakun to win
72.5%
72.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Priadko above · Viktor Ziakun below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 78 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Viktor Ziakun at 72.5%
78 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Priadko 63–120 Viktor Ziakun Serhii Priadko has won 63 of their 183 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:03What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Ziakun
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
63-120 in 183
Ziakun
Correct
gap of 57 in 183, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Priadko 1257 vs Ziakun 1342
Ziakun
Correct
both rated, 85 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Priadko 60% vs Ziakun 20%
Priadko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Priadko 40% vs Ziakun 10%
Priadko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Priadko -1 · Ziakun -4
Ziakun
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Ziakun)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ziakun form (20%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPriadko 3.25 / Ziakun 1.33
Signal prob.28% / 73%
Edge (Ziakun)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13061215
Priadko3.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog28% won 49 of 177
Down 0–1, comes back14% 15 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 62
Ziakun1.33
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite81% won 171 of 212
Up 2–0, closes it95% 104 of 109
Up 1–0, closes it87% 138 of 158
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePriadko2wins
AwayZiakun8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZiakun leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePriadko40%2 of 5
AwayZiakun100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Priadko5Ziakun5n = 10split evenly
S2Priadko1Ziakun9n = 10Ziakun took 9 of 10
S3Priadko3Ziakun7n = 10Ziakun took 7 of 10
S4Priadko2Ziakun3n = 5Ziakun took 3 of 5
S5Priadko1Ziakun2n = 3Ziakun took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricPriadkoZiakunP − ZBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match30.937.7−6.8per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPriadkoZiakunBasisWin rate · lifetime262 / 624 vs 374 / 62542%59.8%262 / 624 vs 374 / 625Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZiakunPriadko 3.25/Ziakun 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.5%
Ziakun · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Ziakun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 19 · 15:00S. Priadko—67120V. Ziakun—1111143
WAug 12 · 16:58S. Priadko—1111113V. Ziakun—8660
LAug 12 · 12:30S. Priadko—8760V. Ziakun—1111113
WAug 9 · 14:30S. Priadko—138119113V. Ziakun—111181172
LAug 8 · 11:30S. Priadko—11561152V. Ziakun—611118113
LAug 7 · 12:30S. Priadko—75111322V. Ziakun—1111811113
LAug 5 · 17:03S. Priadko—5350V. Ziakun—1111113
LAug 5 · 12:30S. Priadko—9750V. Ziakun—1111113
LJul 31 · 16:30S. Priadko—114691V. Ziakun—31111113
LJul 26 · 14:30S. Priadko—1111971V. Ziakun—41311113
S. Priadko10
WSep 6 · 16:00S. Priadko1.6181111103R. Boklah2.20115931LSep 6 · 15:00V. Ziakun1.33111191093S. Priadko3.2557111262LSep 6 · 14:00I. Serdiuk1.5711713113S. Priadko2.255111151LSep 6 · 12:30I. Torhachov1.67916115113S. Priadko2.10111441172LSep 2 · 17:10V. Ziakun1.3311115123S. Priadko3.257711101LSep 2 · 16:30I. Torhachov1.6111911113S. Priadko2.20711841WSep 2 · 15:00S. Priadko1.531181011113R. Boklah2.3851112962LSep 2 · 12:00S. Priadko4.504590S. Miroshnychenko1.171111113WAug 29 · 11:30O. Kolos4.503590S. Priadko1.171111113WAug 29 · 10:00S. Priadko2.00111177123I. Torhachov1.73421111102
V. Ziakun10
WSep 6 · 17:29R. Boklah4.508680V. Ziakun1.171111113LSep 6 · 16:30I. Serdiuk2.7511116113V. Ziakun1.40631141WSep 6 · 15:00V. Ziakun1.33111191093S. Priadko3.2557111262WSep 6 · 13:30V. Ziakun1.441311833I. Torhachov2.631141121WSep 6 · 12:00V. Ziakun1.171111113R. Boklah4.504680WSep 2 · 17:10V. Ziakun1.3311115123S. Priadko3.257711101WSep 2 · 15:30I. Torhachov2.637790V. Ziakun1.441111113LSep 2 · 14:30V. Ziakun3.25137981S. Miroshnychenko1.33111111113LSep 2 · 12:30V. Ziakun1.1491111982R. Boklah5.00115411113LSep 1 · 11:30V. Ziakun3.403880D. Kuzmenko1.301111113
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