TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084193
Played Sep 6Finished
Viktor Ziakun
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
115117911101296
Serhii Priadko
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:19 and never touched — 73.3% is still 73.3%
Graded at full timeViktor Ziakun to win
73.3%
73.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViktor Ziakun above · Serhii Priadko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 9-6
Point 91 set 5, 9-6 — our read held Viktor Ziakun at 73.3%
91 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Ziakun 125–64 Serhii Priadko Serhii Priadko has won 64 of their 189 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:19What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Ziakun
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
125-64 in 189
Ziakun
Correct
gap of 61 in 189, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ziakun 1363 vs Priadko 1191
Ziakun
Correct
both rated, 172 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ziakun 80% vs Priadko 20%
Ziakun
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ziakun 50% vs Priadko 30%
Ziakun
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ziakun +4 · Priadko -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Ziakun) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Priadko form (20%) is below what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZiakun 1.33 / Priadko 3.25
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Ziakun)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13084193
Ziakun1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite80% won 170 of 212
Up 2–0, closes it95% 104 of 109
Up 1–0, closes it87% 136 of 156
Priadko3.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog27% won 48 of 178
Down 0–1, comes back14% 14 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZiakun7wins
AwayPriadko3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZiakun leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZiakun100%6 of 6
AwayPriadko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ziakun6Priadko4n = 10Ziakun took 6 of 10
S2Ziakun8Priadko2n = 10Ziakun took 8 of 10
S3Ziakun5Priadko5n = 10split evenly
S4Ziakun4Priadko2n = 6Ziakun took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZiakunPriadkoZ − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.534.2+3.3per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZiakunPriadkoBasisWin rate · lifetime377 / 628 vs 261 / 62660%41.7%377 / 628 vs 261 / 626Avg sets wonper match2.21.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.736.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZiakunZiakun 1.33/Priadko 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.3%
Ziakun · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Ziakun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 15:00V. Ziakun—111191093S. Priadko—57111262
WSep 2 · 17:10V. Ziakun—11115123S. Priadko—7711101
WSep 2 · 13:30V. Ziakun—51411113S. Priadko—1112951
WAug 26 · 13:30V. Ziakun—1111113S. Priadko—9880
WAug 23 · 17:09V. Ziakun—1181183S. Priadko—911811
LAug 23 · 16:00V. Ziakun—1012691S. Priadko—121011113
WAug 19 · 15:00V. Ziakun—1111143S. Priadko—67120
LAug 12 · 16:58V. Ziakun—8660S. Priadko—1111113
WAug 12 · 12:30V. Ziakun—1111113S. Priadko—8760
LAug 9 · 14:30V. Ziakun—111181172S. Priadko—138119113
V. Ziakun10
WSep 6 · 17:29R. Boklah4.508680V. Ziakun1.171111113LSep 6 · 16:30I. Serdiuk2.7511116113V. Ziakun1.40631141WSep 6 · 13:30V. Ziakun1.441311833I. Torhachov2.631141121WSep 6 · 12:00V. Ziakun1.171111113R. Boklah4.504680WSep 2 · 17:10V. Ziakun1.3311115123S. Priadko3.257711101WSep 2 · 15:30I. Torhachov2.637790V. Ziakun1.441111113LSep 2 · 14:30V. Ziakun3.25137981S. Miroshnychenko1.33111111113WSep 2 · 13:30S. Priadko3.251112951V. Ziakun1.3351411113LSep 2 · 12:30V. Ziakun1.1491111982R. Boklah5.00115411113LSep 1 · 11:30V. Ziakun3.403880D. Kuzmenko1.301111113
S. Priadko10
WSep 6 · 16:00S. Priadko1.6181111103R. Boklah2.20115931LSep 6 · 14:00I. Serdiuk1.5711713113S. Priadko2.255111151LSep 6 · 12:30I. Torhachov1.67916115113S. Priadko2.10111441172LSep 2 · 17:10V. Ziakun1.3311115123S. Priadko3.257711101LSep 2 · 16:30I. Torhachov1.6111911113S. Priadko2.20711841WSep 2 · 15:00S. Priadko1.531181011113R. Boklah2.3851112962LSep 2 · 13:30S. Priadko3.251112951V. Ziakun1.3351411113LSep 2 · 12:00S. Priadko4.504590S. Miroshnychenko1.171111113WAug 29 · 11:30O. Kolos4.503590S. Priadko1.171111113WAug 29 · 10:00S. Priadko2.00111177123I. Torhachov1.73421111102
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