TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060690
Played Sep 2Finished
Ihor Torhachov
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117911118114––
Serhii Priadko
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:24 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeIhor Torhachov to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIhor Torhachov above · Serhii Priadko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 72 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Ihor Torhachov at 58.1%
72 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Torhachov 97–68 Serhii Priadko Serhii Priadko has won 68 of their 165 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:24What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Torhachov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
97-68 in 165
Torhachov
Correct
gap of 29 in 165, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Torhachov 1308 vs Priadko 1265
Torhachov
Correct
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Torhachov 60% vs Priadko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Torhachov 60% vs Priadko 40%
Torhachov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Torhachov -1 · Priadko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Torhachov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Priadko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTorhachov 1.61 / Priadko 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Torhachov)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13060690
Torhachov1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite69% won 105 of 152
Up 2–0, closes it100% 46 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it85% 69 of 81
Priadko2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog28% won 49 of 177
Down 0–1, comes back14% 15 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTorhachov6wins
AwayPriadko4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderTorhachov leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTorhachov100%4 of 4
AwayPriadko66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Torhachov4Priadko6n = 10Priadko took 6 of 10
S2Torhachov6Priadko4n = 10Torhachov took 6 of 10
S3Torhachov6Priadko4n = 10Torhachov took 6 of 10
S4Torhachov4Priadko2n = 6Torhachov took 4 of 6
S5Torhachov2Priadko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricTorhachovPriadkoT − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.238.8+0.4per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTorhachovPriadkoBasisWin rate · lifetime256 / 511 vs 263 / 62550.1%42.1%256 / 511 vs 263 / 625Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.936.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TorhachovTorhachov 1.61/Priadko 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Torhachov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Torhachov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 29 · 10:00I. Torhachov—421111102S. Priadko—111177123
WAug 26 · 15:00I. Torhachov—1111113S. Priadko—9990
LAug 23 · 14:30I. Torhachov—1111118112S. Priadko—136611133
WAug 19 · 13:30I. Torhachov—11811113S. Priadko—911981
WAug 12 · 15:30I. Torhachov—1111113S. Priadko—9860
LAug 9 · 17:08I. Torhachov—155120S. Priadko—1711143
WAug 9 · 12:30I. Torhachov—111110113S. Priadko—781291
WAug 8 · 10:00I. Torhachov—611711113S. Priadko—11711782
WAug 7 · 15:30I. Torhachov—1011112123S. Priadko—127811102
LAug 5 · 15:30I. Torhachov—99100S. Priadko—1111123
I. Torhachov10
LSep 6 · 17:00I. Torhachov2.2590I. Serdiuk1.57111WSep 6 · 15:30I. Serdiuk1.91671121I. Torhachov1.801111733LSep 6 · 14:30I. Torhachov1.50111261292R. Boklah2.508101114113LSep 6 · 13:30V. Ziakun1.441311833I. Torhachov2.631141121WSep 6 · 12:30I. Torhachov1.67916115113S. Priadko2.10111441172LSep 2 · 17:39S. Miroshnychenko1.20111110113I. Torhachov4.33381251LSep 2 · 15:30I. Torhachov2.637790V. Ziakun1.441111113WSep 2 · 14:00I. Torhachov1.575111210113R. Boklah2.25117101252WSep 2 · 13:00I. Torhachov5.00111176113S. Miroshnychenko1.1465111172LAug 30 · 01:50I. Torhachov2.634610O. Pohonov1.44111153
S. Priadko10
WSep 6 · 16:00S. Priadko1.6181111103R. Boklah2.20115931LSep 6 · 15:00V. Ziakun1.33111191093S. Priadko3.2557111262LSep 6 · 14:00I. Serdiuk1.5711713113S. Priadko2.255111151LSep 6 · 12:30I. Torhachov1.67916115113S. Priadko2.10111441172LSep 2 · 17:10V. Ziakun1.3311115123S. Priadko3.257711101WSep 2 · 15:00S. Priadko1.531181011113R. Boklah2.3851112962LSep 2 · 13:30S. Priadko3.251112951V. Ziakun1.3351411113LSep 2 · 12:00S. Priadko4.504590S. Miroshnychenko1.171111113WAug 29 · 11:30O. Kolos4.503590S. Priadko1.171111113WAug 29 · 10:00S. Priadko2.00111177123I. Torhachov1.73421111102
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