TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084000
Played Sep 6Finished
Viktor Ziakun
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
131111481132––
Ihor Torhachov
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:51 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeViktor Ziakun to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViktor Ziakun above · Ihor Torhachov below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 3-2
Point 63 set 4, 3-2 — our read held Viktor Ziakun at 60.1%
63 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Ziakun 103–69 Ihor Torhachov Ihor Torhachov has won 69 of their 172 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:51What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Ziakun
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
103-69 in 172
Ziakun
Correct
gap of 34 in 172, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ziakun 1358 vs Torhachov 1325
Ziakun
Correct
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ziakun 80% vs Torhachov 60%
Ziakun
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ziakun 50% vs Torhachov 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ziakun +3 · Torhachov +1
Ziakun
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Ziakun) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Torhachov form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZiakun 1.44 / Torhachov 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Ziakun)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13084000
Ziakun1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite80% won 170 of 212
Up 2–0, closes it95% 104 of 109
Up 1–0, closes it87% 136 of 156
Torhachov2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog34% won 25 of 73
Down 0–1, comes back20% 9 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZiakun6wins
AwayTorhachov4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZiakun leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZiakun62.5%5 of 8
AwayTorhachovn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ziakun8Torhachov2n = 10Ziakun took 8 of 10
S2Ziakun7Torhachov3n = 10Ziakun took 7 of 10
S3Ziakun5Torhachov5n = 10split evenly
S4Ziakun4Torhachov3n = 7Ziakun took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZiakunTorhachovZ − TBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.133.2+4.9per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZiakunTorhachovBasisWin rate · lifetime374 / 624 vs 257 / 50959.9%50.5%374 / 624 vs 257 / 509Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.736.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZiakunZiakun 1.44/Torhachov 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Ziakun · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Ziakun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 23 · 12:30V. Ziakun—81111113I. Torhachov—118951
WAug 19 · 17:05V. Ziakun—1111113I. Torhachov—7840
LAug 19 · 12:30V. Ziakun—911961I. Torhachov—11611113
WAug 12 · 14:00V. Ziakun—1111133I. Torhachov—49110
LAug 9 · 16:00V. Ziakun—11114652I. Torhachov—991111113
WAug 8 · 06:30V. Ziakun—111011113I. Torhachov—712651
LAug 7 · 14:00V. Ziakun—11681192I. Torhachov—511119113
LAug 5 · 14:00V. Ziakun—119981I. Torhachov—81111113
WJul 31 · 15:30V. Ziakun—1111123I. Torhachov—77100
WJul 26 · 12:00V. Ziakun—11118113I. Torhachov—331171
V. Ziakun10
WSep 6 · 17:29R. Boklah4.508680V. Ziakun1.171111113LSep 6 · 16:30I. Serdiuk2.7511116113V. Ziakun1.40631141WSep 6 · 15:00V. Ziakun1.33111191093S. Priadko3.2557111262WSep 6 · 12:00V. Ziakun1.171111113R. Boklah4.504680WSep 2 · 17:10V. Ziakun1.3311115123S. Priadko3.257711101WSep 2 · 15:30I. Torhachov2.637790V. Ziakun1.441111113LSep 2 · 14:30V. Ziakun3.25137981S. Miroshnychenko1.33111111113WSep 2 · 13:30S. Priadko3.251112951V. Ziakun1.3351411113LSep 2 · 12:30V. Ziakun1.1491111982R. Boklah5.00115411113LSep 1 · 11:30V. Ziakun3.403880D. Kuzmenko1.301111113
I. Torhachov10
LSep 6 · 17:00I. Torhachov2.2590I. Serdiuk1.57111WSep 6 · 15:30I. Serdiuk1.91671121I. Torhachov1.801111733LSep 6 · 14:30I. Torhachov1.50111261292R. Boklah2.508101114113WSep 6 · 12:30I. Torhachov1.67916115113S. Priadko2.10111441172LSep 2 · 17:39S. Miroshnychenko1.20111110113I. Torhachov4.33381251WSep 2 · 16:30I. Torhachov1.6111911113S. Priadko2.20711841LSep 2 · 15:30I. Torhachov2.637790V. Ziakun1.441111113WSep 2 · 14:00I. Torhachov1.575111210113R. Boklah2.25117101252WSep 2 · 13:00I. Torhachov5.00111176113S. Miroshnychenko1.1465111172LAug 30 · 01:50I. Torhachov2.634610O. Pohonov1.44111153
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