TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13054082
Played Sep 1Finished
Viktor Ziakun
Home
3.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311811811––––
Dmitro Kuzmenko
Away
1.30
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:45 and never touched — 73.2% is still 73.2%
Graded at full timeDmitro Kuzmenko to win
73.2%
73.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViktor Ziakun above · Dmitro Kuzmenko below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 52 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Dmitro Kuzmenko at 73.2%
52 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Ziakun 8–17 Dmitro Kuzmenko Viktor Ziakun has won 8 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:45What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Kuzmenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-17 in 25
Kuzmenko
Correct
gap of 9 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ziakun 1357 vs Kuzmenko 1498
Kuzmenko
Correct
both rated, 141 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ziakun 20% vs Kuzmenko 60%
Kuzmenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ziakun 30% vs Kuzmenko 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ziakun -2 · Kuzmenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Kuzmenko) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzmenko form (60%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZiakun 3.40 / Kuzmenko 1.30
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Kuzmenko)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13054082
Ziakun3.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog26% won 21 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back16% 7 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 27
Kuzmenko1.30
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 96 of 149
Up 2–0, closes it91% 48 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it79% 72 of 91
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZiakun3wins
AwayKuzmenko7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKuzmenko leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZiakun42.9%3 of 7
AwayKuzmenko100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ziakun7Kuzmenko3n = 10Ziakun took 7 of 10
S2Ziakun1Kuzmenko9n = 10Kuzmenko took 9 of 10
S3Ziakun5Kuzmenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Ziakun1Kuzmenko5n = 6Kuzmenko took 5 of 6
S5Ziakun1Kuzmenko2n = 3Kuzmenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricZiakunKuzmenkoZ − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match34.038.8−4.8per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZiakunKuzmenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime373 / 622 vs 369 / 90560%40.8%373 / 622 vs 369 / 905Avg sets wonper match2.21.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.636.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzmenkoZiakun 3.40/Kuzmenko 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.7%
Kuzmenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kuzmenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 11 · 11:30V. Ziakun—1121251D. Kuzmenko—71114113
WJul 8 · 05:00V. Ziakun—1111113D. Kuzmenko—7970
WJun 26 · 11:00V. Ziakun—111011123D. Kuzmenko—5128101
LJun 12 · 07:00V. Ziakun—11911592D. Kuzmenko—811911113
LMay 20 · 08:00V. Ziakun—1172101D. Kuzmenko—81111123
LMar 31 · 06:30V. Ziakun—11611062D. Kuzmenko—911411113
LFeb 25 · 06:30V. Ziakun—9560D. Kuzmenko—1111113
LFeb 18 · 12:00V. Ziakun—88100D. Kuzmenko—1111123
WJan 7 · 06:00V. Ziakun—1181210113D. Kuzmenko—811101282
LDec 24 · 07:00V. Ziakun—8990D. Kuzmenko—1111113
V. Ziakun10
WSep 6 · 17:29R. Boklah4.508680V. Ziakun1.171111113LSep 6 · 16:30I. Serdiuk2.7511116113V. Ziakun1.40631141WSep 6 · 15:00V. Ziakun1.33111191093S. Priadko3.2557111262WSep 6 · 13:30V. Ziakun1.441311833I. Torhachov2.631141121WSep 6 · 12:00V. Ziakun1.171111113R. Boklah4.504680WSep 2 · 17:10V. Ziakun1.3311115123S. Priadko3.257711101WSep 2 · 15:30I. Torhachov2.637790V. Ziakun1.441111113LSep 2 · 14:30V. Ziakun3.25137981S. Miroshnychenko1.33111111113WSep 2 · 13:30S. Priadko3.251112951V. Ziakun1.3351411113LSep 2 · 12:30V. Ziakun1.1491111982R. Boklah5.00115411113
D. Kuzmenko10
LSep 7 · 09:00D. Prylepa1.5311119113D. Kuzmenko2.38961161WSep 7 · 08:00D. Kuzmenko1.831111113S. Maliuk1.839440LSep 7 · 07:00O. Syksa1.6711911113D. Kuzmenko2.10911861LSep 7 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko2.005670O. Kurylenko1.731111113LSep 5 · 17:39D. Kuzmenko3.401399101V. Tatarnykov1.30111111123LSep 5 · 16:00M. Hubenko1.28138611133D. Kuzmenko3.501111119112LSep 5 · 14:30S. Aristarkhov1.337111283D. Kuzmenko3.251141041WSep 5 · 13:00V. Tatarnykov1.307111071D. Kuzmenko3.4011412113WSep 5 · 12:00A. Vasylets1.5011610101D. Kuzmenko2.5081112123WSep 3 · 11:00O. Lyman3.258560D. Kuzmenko1.331111113
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