TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079095
Played Sep 5Finished
Andrii Vasylets
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11861110121012––
Dmitro Kuzmenko
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:21 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeAndrii Vasylets to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAndrii Vasylets above · Dmitro Kuzmenko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 80 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Andrii Vasylets at 65.7%
80 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Vasylets 14–9 Dmitro Kuzmenko Dmitro Kuzmenko has won 9 of their 23 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:21What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Vasylets
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-9 in 23
Vasylets
Wrong
gap of 5 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vasylets 1696 vs Kuzmenko 1556
Vasylets
Wrong
both rated, 140 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vasylets 60% vs Kuzmenko 100%
Kuzmenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vasylets 80% vs Kuzmenko 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vasylets +1 · Kuzmenko +5
Kuzmenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Vasylets)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzmenko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVasylets 1.50 / Kuzmenko 2.50
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Vasylets)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13079095
Vasylets1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite54% won 28 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it77% 24 of 31
Kuzmenko2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 108 of 311
Down 0–1, comes back18% 32 of 179
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 109
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVasylets5wins
AwayKuzmenko5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVasylets71.4%5 of 7
AwayKuzmenko100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vasylets7Kuzmenko3n = 10Vasylets took 7 of 10
S2Vasylets5Kuzmenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Vasylets4Kuzmenko6n = 10Kuzmenko took 6 of 10
S4Vasylets3Kuzmenko4n = 7Kuzmenko took 4 of 7
S5Vasylets2Kuzmenko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVasyletsKuzmenkoV − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.137.4+0.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVasyletsKuzmenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime240 / 527 vs 374 / 91145.5%41.1%240 / 527 vs 374 / 911Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.736.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VasyletsVasylets 1.50/Kuzmenko 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.7%
Vasylets · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kuzmenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 06:30A. Vasylets—114127102D. Kuzmenko—9111011123
LAug 22 · 14:30A. Vasylets—811991D. Kuzmenko—11911113
WAug 16 · 14:00A. Vasylets—1211113D. Kuzmenko—10950
LJul 25 · 16:00A. Vasylets—511461D. Kuzmenko—11611113
WJul 18 · 14:00A. Vasylets—117912113D. Kuzmenko—911111092
WJul 11 · 17:28A. Vasylets—11411113D. Kuzmenko—711831
LJul 11 · 15:00A. Vasylets—9870D. Kuzmenko—1111113
WJul 4 · 12:30A. Vasylets—118911123D. Kuzmenko—611114102
LJun 6 · 12:30A. Vasylets—11118752D. Kuzmenko—351111113
WFeb 14 · 18:35A. Vasylets—1114113D. Kuzmenko—21270
A. Vasylets10
LSep 5 · 16:30V. Tatarnykov1.50611118113A. Vasylets2.5011671162LSep 5 · 15:00A. Vasylets2.38651171M. Hubenko1.5311118103LSep 5 · 13:30A. Vasylets2.50411471S. Aristarkhov1.5011111113WSep 2 · 11:30A. Vasylets2.0011119113O. Syksa1.73761191LSep 2 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.501211123A. Vasylets2.50108100WSep 2 · 07:30O. Ziakun2.50691151A. Vasylets1.5011115113LSep 2 · 06:30A. Vasylets1.44114127102D. Kuzmenko2.639111011123WSep 2 · 05:30O. Kurylenko3.75951151A. Vasylets1.2511117113WAug 30 · 17:43A. Vasylets2.631111113S. Aristarkhov1.447690WAug 30 · 16:30S. Aristarkhov1.4411129652A. Vasylets2.636101111113
D. Kuzmenko10
LSep 7 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko2.005670O. Kurylenko1.731111113LSep 5 · 17:39D. Kuzmenko3.401399101V. Tatarnykov1.30111111123LSep 5 · 16:00M. Hubenko1.28138611133D. Kuzmenko3.501111119112LSep 5 · 14:30S. Aristarkhov1.337111283D. Kuzmenko3.251141041WSep 5 · 13:00V. Tatarnykov1.307111071D. Kuzmenko3.4011412113WSep 3 · 11:00O. Lyman3.258560D. Kuzmenko1.331111113WSep 3 · 10:00S. Miroshnychenko2.384630D. Kuzmenko1.531111113WSep 3 · 08:30S. Maliuk1.8311711462D. Kuzmenko1.83511511113WSep 3 · 06:30O. Kurylenko1.80119711102D. Kuzmenko1.91511113123WSep 2 · 06:30A. Vasylets1.44114127102D. Kuzmenko2.639111011123
Upcoming Matches
A. Vasylets
Nothing scheduled
D. Kuzmenko
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