TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060256
Played Sep 2Finished
Maksym Hubenko
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
12101181210––––
Andrii Vasylets
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:13 and never touched — 62.9% is still 62.9%
Graded at full timeMaksym Hubenko to win
62.9%
62.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Hubenko above · Andrii Vasylets below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 63 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Maksym Hubenko at 62.9%
63 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Hubenko 27–16 Andrii Vasylets Andrii Vasylets has won 16 of their 43 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:13What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Hubenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-16 in 43
Hubenko
Correct
gap of 11 in 43, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hubenko 1683 vs Vasylets 1687
Vasylets
Wrong
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hubenko 60% vs Vasylets 80%
Vasylets
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hubenko 70% vs Vasylets 90%
Vasylets
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hubenko -1 · Vasylets +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Hubenko) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vasylets form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHubenko 1.50 / Vasylets 2.50
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Hubenko)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13060256
Hubenko1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite74% won 232 of 315
Up 2–0, closes it94% 116 of 123
Up 1–0, closes it84% 161 of 192
Vasylets2.50
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog32% won 56 of 176
Down 0–1, comes back19% 21 of 109
Down 0–2, comes back11% 7 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHubenko4wins
AwayVasylets6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVasylets leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHubenko50%3 of 6
AwayVasylets75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hubenko6Vasylets4n = 10Hubenko took 6 of 10
S2Hubenko7Vasylets3n = 10Hubenko took 7 of 10
S3Hubenko3Vasylets7n = 10Vasylets took 7 of 10
S4Hubenko3Vasylets5n = 8Vasylets took 5 of 8
S5Hubenko1Vasylets3n = 4Vasylets took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHubenkoVasyletsH − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.440.4−2.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHubenkoVasyletsBasisWin rate · lifetime535 / 1015 vs 239 / 52652.7%45.4%535 / 1015 vs 239 / 526Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HubenkoHubenko 1.50/Vasylets 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.7%
Hubenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hubenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 08:00M. Hubenko—53100A. Vasylets—1111123
WAug 19 · 07:00M. Hubenko—12911113A. Vasylets—1011791
WAug 16 · 15:30M. Hubenko—11119113A. Vasylets—191161
LAug 12 · 09:00M. Hubenko—14118672A. Vasylets—1271111113
LAug 8 · 13:30M. Hubenko—311118102A. Vasylets—115711123
LJul 30 · 16:00M. Hubenko—1013641A. Vasylets—121111113
WJul 18 · 17:03M. Hubenko—1111113A. Vasylets—7880
LJul 18 · 16:00M. Hubenko—1110881A. Vasylets—81211113
WJul 11 · 16:00M. Hubenko—411914113A. Vasylets—117111272
LJul 4 · 16:00M. Hubenko—111151032A. Vasylets—791112113
M. Hubenko10
LSep 6 · 10:30V. Tatarnykov2.00812114133M. Hubenko1.731110911112WSep 6 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.831113113S. Aristarkhov1.8361160WSep 6 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.3011311113O. Lyman3.40411791WSep 6 · 07:00M. Hubenko1.531211113D. Prylepa2.3810570WSep 6 · 05:00M. Hubenko1.5711911133O. Syksa2.256115111LSep 5 · 17:10M. Hubenko1.83121160S. Aristarkhov1.831413113WSep 5 · 16:00M. Hubenko1.28138611133D. Kuzmenko3.501111119112WSep 5 · 15:00A. Vasylets2.38651171M. Hubenko1.5311118103WSep 5 · 14:00V. Tatarnykov2.0010960M. Hubenko1.731211113LSep 5 · 12:30S. Aristarkhov1.836111112113M. Hubenko1.8311491442
A. Vasylets10
LSep 5 · 16:30V. Tatarnykov1.50611118113A. Vasylets2.5011671162LSep 5 · 15:00A. Vasylets2.38651171M. Hubenko1.5311118103LSep 5 · 13:30A. Vasylets2.50411471S. Aristarkhov1.5011111113LSep 5 · 12:00A. Vasylets1.5011610101D. Kuzmenko2.5081112123WSep 2 · 11:30A. Vasylets2.0011119113O. Syksa1.73761191WSep 2 · 07:30O. Ziakun2.50691151A. Vasylets1.5011115113LSep 2 · 06:30A. Vasylets1.44114127102D. Kuzmenko2.639111011123WSep 2 · 05:30O. Kurylenko3.75951151A. Vasylets1.2511117113WAug 30 · 17:43A. Vasylets2.631111113S. Aristarkhov1.447690WAug 30 · 16:30S. Aristarkhov1.4411129652A. Vasylets2.636101111113
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